This is not out of the realm of reality. An event we have been watching most of this week is starting to consistently show on the models. There is a lot of uncertainty or precip amounts and exact types because of the nature of this system. This appears to be an overrunning event. In which a stalled out front will stall out somewhere in TN or even N MS and N AL. You will have that warm gulf moisture that we have been waiting for and an arctic air mass created a temp gradient along the mentioned stalled out front.
Tommorow if there is enough confidence in it I will make a hazards map and assign a confidence level number to it if the trends are favorable.
Friday, January 23, 2009
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