Thursday, January 6, 2011

Overview of the Weekend Event


Today/tonight watch for a quick hitting clipper. A dusting cannot be ruled out(in eastern sections of Western Kentucky), but that should be about it.

The Attention shifts to the Sunday/Monday system. A gulf low is expected to form, and this needs to be watched, because if it trends northward, there could be a snow event for Western Kentucky. As of now the best chance for the Winter Event should be along I-40 and south. The call map, using Weather Underground is posted, to display possible thoughts of this system.

- Along the KY/TN border measurable snow is possible, but we appear to be on the northern fringe of it, if we trend NW this area could get a decent snow event, now it appears the better chance for Measurable South will Nashville southward, but a few models are pushing the precipitation border in the KY/TN border area.
- The Rest of West KY needs a NW Trend, or the northern energy to get involved to get measurable snow. Will need to watch the models to see how far north the measurable snow event makes it.

The labels snow(means at this point the event should be all snow) snow/sleet(means mostly snow, but mixed with some sleet) Wintry Mix(Means mix of snow/sleet/frz.rain/rain). Since we are 3 days out it should be noted at this is possible, but far from certain. We still have 3 days of model runs to go, and things can change, and some questions remain.

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