The Next Storm

- The Winter Storm will move to our north. Thankfully we will miss out on the worst impacts on this storm.
- Precipitation will start off as normal rain Monday Night, and rain will continue into Tuesday Night, Early Wednesday, before a changeover to snow is possible.

There will be some impacts for us still.
- Depending on track of storm, a Wintry Mix of precipitation may occur Tuesday Night,Early Wednesday, with minor accumulation possible, but nothing major.
- If the low deepens, and becomes wound up, wind gusts in excess of 40MPH will be an issue.
- Locally Heavy Rain with some areas getting 2-3 inch amounts, especially if thunderstorms occur, this may cause localized flooding issues.

A Very Nice Day

http://www.kymesonet.org/
What a wonderful day. Some 60's may move into Western KY today.

Update on the Monday-Tuesday system

As for the next system, a lot of uncertainties, as the track is still not settled. Monday a chance of freezing drizzle changing to light rain is possible across all of West KY. Then on Tuesday into Tuesday Night, and even into Monday, a Wintry Mix(still to early to tell how much, or what precipitation will be dominant) will occur in NW KY(Webster/Mclean counties, and the counties along the Ohio River)

The areas closer to the TN border should be all rain throughout this main event. Then late Tuesday,early Wednesday some backside snow showers are possible(nothing major expected here). At this time most of West KY appears to be too warm for major winter accumulations, but NW KY(Henderson,Marion,Owensboro) may have to deal with winter accumulations, esp. if models trend a bit cooler.

If the storm deepens more, the threat of Non-Thunderstorm Winds would increase(Wind gusts in excess of 40-45MPH)

Nice range of tempartures.

A wide range of temperatures today. 45 degree high in Henderson KY, Murray KY High 54, Hopkinsville KY, High 51. So get out and enjoy. SW Mid TN(Waynesboro,Decaturville, Linden) are expected to get into the 60's today.

Updates

- Warm up is coming this weekend. Temperatures range from the Mid to upper 40's in Henderson/Owensboro, to the Mid 50's in from Clinton to Hopkinsville south. It will also be nice and sunny to so quite a warm weekend.

- Tuesday we will watch for a system. A Wintry Mix is possible across the Ohio River counties of West KY, will an all or mostly rain event, or even Freezing Rain to Rain event possible from a Fulton to Mayfield to Providence to Livermore line south. Things can still change, and models can tend one way or another, so will need to watch that.

2 years ago Ice Storm of 2009

^^ Map from the NWS of Louisville ^^

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=21421&source=0

From NWS Paducah.

2 years ago on January 28th-30th 2010, a historic Ice Storm struck West KY. Many areas of West KY got hit with 1 to even 2 inches of glaze. Southern Christian/Todd got about 1/4 to 1/2 inch of ice, before changing to plain rain to spare them some of the worst effects(but still caused some power outages, and travel issues), before they changed.

A devastating 1.5 to 2 inches of ice fall across the Mississippi River counties eastward towards Paducah, Calvert City, Princeton, Madisonville, Dawson Springs, Central City KY area. Most of the rest of West KY except for extreme Southern Todd, Christian, saw anywhere from a half inch to inch and a half of ice.

- Some counties had 90-100% of their county without power
- Power didn't return in some areas for 10 to 75 days.
- National Guard had to be called in some areas
- Fatalities sadly occurred, some froze to death, some died helping with repairs after the storm, some used improper heating devices.

2 to 4 inches of snow also fell from Bardwell to Calvert City KY to Livermore KY line north, with up to 4 in the Henderson KY area, and an half inch to 2 south of that line, towards the end of the storm.

The NWS did a great job, as Watches were out 36 to 48 hours before the storm, the storm was mentioned up to a week out, and Warnings went out for everyone.

Some snowfall reports

Paris TN: 2 to 3 inches

Owensboro KY: 5.1 inches(big surprise)

Clarksville TN: 3 inches

Hopkinsville: 3.5inches(my area) up to 5 inches in the northern parts of the town.

Portland TN: 3 to 4 inches

Greenville KY: 4 to 4.5 inches

Cerulean KY(NE Trigg County) 6 inches

Henderson KY: 2 inches

Nebo KY(Hopkins County) at least 5.5 inches.

NWS Special Weather Statement.

For Post 1600

000
WWUS83 KPAH 261126
SPSPAH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
526 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011

ILZ087-090-091-094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ112-114-
261500-
GALLATIN-POPE-HARDIN-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-
SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHAWNEETOWN...GOLCONDA...
ELIZABETHTOWN...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...
POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...CHARLESTON...
NEW MADRID
526 AM CST WED JAN 26 2011

...SLICK AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING...

A BLANKET OF SNOW COVERS MUCH OF WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST
INDIANA EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A LITTLE SNOW IN FAR SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL. IN GENERAL...
SNOW TOTALS RANGE FROM A DUSTING FROM WEST OF PADUCAH TO NORTH OF
EVANSVILLE...TO AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE PENNYRILE REGION
OF KENTUCKY...FROM CADIZ TO OWENSBORO EASTWARD. IN BETWEEN...TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE ARE COMMON.

WHILE THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS...ROAD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS FOR SEVERAL HOURS TO COME. ROAD CONDITIONS ARE MOST
TREACHEROUS IN WESTERN KENTUCKY ALONG THE PENNYRILE...WEST
KENTUCKY...AND AUDUBON PARKWAYS...AND ALONG INTERSTATE 24 EAST OF
PADUCAH TO HOPKINSVILLE. IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ALONG U.S. 41...WITH BLACK ICE EVEN
REPORTED AS FAR NORTH AS INTERSTATE 64. EVEN IN LOCATIONS WHERE
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WERE LESS THAN ADVISORY CRITERIA...SUCH
AS PADUCAH AND EVANSVILLE...TRAVEL IS HAZARDOUS IN SOME AREAS...
PARTICULARLY ON SECONDARY ROADS AS WELL AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

TRAVEL ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA IS
STRONGLY DISCOURAGED EARLY THIS MORNING. IF YOU MUST VENTURE
OUT...USE EXTREME CAUTION...SLOW DOWN...AND GIVE YOURSELF EXTRA
TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. YOU WILL LIKELY ENCOUNTER SLOW
MOVING SNOW REMOVAL EQUIPMENT. HEED TO THESE ROAD CREWS WHO ARE
DOING THEIR BEST TO MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS BETTER FOR ALL OF US.

$$

RJP

Morning Update

There appears to be an heavier band from Hopkinsville to the West, down to Lafayette TN on the Eastern part, and along the KY/TN border. Oak Grove KY, Clarksville TN, Springfield TN, Guthrie KY. Where heavier snow may fall throughout the morning.

Winter Storm Warning remains until 9am for Trigg, Christian, Daviess, Mclean, Muhlenberg, Todd.

Final Update

- Moderate to locally heavy snow bands are expected to occur across West KY tonight
- This event should end in Far West KY by 11pm-Midnight, and along the Green River by about 5am-6am.
*From Roaring Springs(SE Trigg County) to Guthrie(Southern Todd County) 3 to 5 inches of snow expected.
*North of that from Murray to Hopkinsville to Nortonville to Central City KY about 2 to 4 inches.
*1 to 3 inches from Mayfield to Princeton to Calhoun
* Around .5 to 1 inch along the Ohio River from Paducah to Henderson/Owensboro

- Heavier snow bands could produce locally heavier amounts.

New Additions to the Winter WX Advisory Crew.

Fulton, Hickman, Graves, Marshall, Lyon, Caldwell, and Mclean are now included in the Winter WX Advisory. 1 to 3 there, with 3 to 5 inches possible in Southern Trigg, Christian, and Todd counties.

It's all about what band plays

Final Call for Snow Map.

Heavier bands(higher amounts) Lighter Bands(lower amounts)

Link for Winter WX Safety.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/?n=safety-winter

Update

Moderate to Heavy returns of precipitation are starting to form across Southern Kentucky from Benton/Murray eastward to Central City. Temps. are in the mid to upper 30's and expected to drop throughout the night. Rain will eventually begin to change to snow.

Murray/Mayfield/Fulton/Madisonville KY, could be reporting snow as of now.

Update on the Winter storm chance tonight/early tom.

Click to Enlarge

Winter WX Advisory for parts of West KY.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1155 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2011

...ACCUMULATING SNOWS EXPECTED ACROSS PART OF WESTERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM WESTERN ARKANSAS TO
SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE OVERNIGHT WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWS TO
PART OF WESTERN KENTUCKY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
KENTUCKY...TENNESSEE BORDER.

KYZ009-012-017-021-022-260400-
/O.NEW.KPAH.WW.Y.0006.110126T0100Z-110126T1500Z/
CALLOWAY-TRIGG-CHRISTIAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURRAY...CADIZ...HOPKINSVILLE...
GREENVILLE...ELKTON
1155 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
9 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR PART OF WEST KENTUCKY.

THIS ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR CALLOWAY...TRIGG...CHRISTIAN...TODD
AND MUHLENBURG COUNTIES IN WEST KENTUCKY...ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM MURRAY...CADIZ...CROFTON AND GREENVILLE KENTUCKY.

* TIMING...THE PRECIPITATION THAT WILL BE EXPANDING ACROSS THE
 ADVISORY AREA WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
 BY OR SHORTLY AFTER 7 PM CST...THEN PERSIST OVERNIGHT...TAPERING
 OFF TOWARD DAYBREAK...6 AM CST...WEDNESDAY.

* MAIN IMPACT...THE GREATEST SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL LIKELY OCCUR
 BETWEEN 9 PM CST TO 4 AM CST...WITH SNOW AMOUNTS RANGING NEAR
 ONE AND A HALF INCHES TO SLIGHTLY MORE THAN THREE INCHES ALONG
 THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF CHRISTIAN AND TODD COUNTIES. ISOLATED
 HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

* OTHER IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW FREEZING
 OVER THE ENTIRE ADVISORY AREA BY 9 PM CST...UNTREATED ROADS
 WILL RAPIDLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK DURING THE OVERNIGHT
 HOURS. THIS MAY MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL FOR DRIVING ON
 SECONDARY ROADS AND SOME HIGHWAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

SMITH

Overview for today

- Watching out for fog this morning.
- Since the ULL system has had a NW Trend watching out for a dusting to 2 inch event for SE parts of West KY. Higher amounts in Oak Grove/Trenton/Pembroke/Guthrie area, lower amounts as you quickly go NW. If the ULL tracks further NW than expected, than more of West KY can have potential for 1+ inch snowfall amounts. This should be a heavy wet snow, so travel issues except for elevated surfaces, and secondary roads shouldn't to big of an issue.

Dense Fog Advisory for all of West KY

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
255 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2011

...DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING...

ILZ090-094-INZ088-KYZ001>022-MOZ112-114-251500-
/O.NEW.KPAH.FG.Y.0002.110125T0855Z-110125T1500Z/
POPE-MASSAC-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-
GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-
CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-
MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLCONDA...METROPOLIS...ROCKPORT...
HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...
SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...
PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...
HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...
CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
255 AM CST TUE JAN 25 2011

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING.

* VISIBILITY: WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A
 QUARTER MILE OR LESS EARLY THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS SHOULD
 IMPROVE BETWEEN SUNRISE AND 9 AM.

* IMPACTS: MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO
 REACH THEIR DESTINATIONS THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION TO THE
 REDUCED VISIBILITIES...THE AREA GENERALLY WEST OF THE
 LAKES...MAY EXPERIENCE SOME LIGHT ICING ON ELEVATED
 OBJECTS...AND ON ELEVATED ROAD SURFACES DUE TO SUB FREEZING
 TEMPERATURES. MOTORISTS ON INTERSTATES 55...57...AND 24...AS
 WELL AS THE PURCHASE PARKWAY IN WEST KENTUCKY SHOULD BE
 PARTICULARLY CAUTION THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

DRS

Quick Update

Some areas got a dusting to 1 inch in parts of Western Kentucky.

- The next system not only appears to have boundary temp. issues, but is too far SE for most of West KY to see any significant precipitation(whether it be snow, or rain)

Today's System

The next system today/tonight has been drying up. So only about a dusting to maybe 3/4 of an inch for all of West KY expected.

Jan. 22nd overview.

Click to Enlarge.

A light snow is also possible on Thursday.

Next Event

Our next event, is a piece of northern stream energy. This could impact us tomorrow night, and send a band of 1 inch, maybe locally more across Western KY. Most areas that aren't in the band will only get a dusting, areas in the band could get an inch of snow. We will update this afternoon.

Another system which would effect areas to our south and east, is possible Tuesday-into Early Wednesday. As of now West KY will miss out on most if not all of it's effects.

Snow map of the last event

- Snow map for West KY
- Watch out for slick roads, and black ice.
- Wind Chills from zero to +10 today
- Highs in SW KY barely making it above 20, and in NW KY not even making
it to 20.

Winter Event review.

The Advisory, and Winter Storm Warning have been allowed to expire, as precipitation leaves the area. Slick roads, black ice, will be an issue tonight, and tomorrow. Be careful tonight, and tomorrow when traveling.

Overall snow amounts appear to range from 1.5- 2 inches(on the low side to locally 4-5 inches(on the high side) across all of West KY, with higher amounts in NE part of West KY, and lower amounts in Far West KY.

Special Weather Statement for NWS PAH

---

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
559 PM CST THU JAN 20 2011

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-211100-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
559 PM CST THU JAN 20 2011

...SHARPLY COLDER WIND CHILLS AND ICY ROADS WILL BE AN ISSUE TONIGHT...

ALTHOUGH THE FALLING SNOW IS MOVING EAST OF THE QUAD STATE REGION...TRAVEL
WILL STILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR THOSE PLANNING TO VENTURE OUT THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

QUITE A NUMBER OF REPORTS FROM ACROSS THE REGION INDICATE THAT
MANY ROADWAYS HAVE ALREADY BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL REFREEZE ANY REMAINING WATER INTO
ICE ON SIDEWALKS...AS WELL AS UNTREATED OR WET ROADWAYS. SOME
ROADWAYS THAT APPEAR DRY MAY BE COATED WITH A THIN LAYER OF
ICE...COMMONLY KNOWN AS BLACK ICE...DUE TO ITS TRANSPARENT NATURE.
THESE SURFACES CAN BECOME SLICK AND DANGEROUS FOR PEDESTRIANS...AS
WELL AS DRIVERS THAT TRAVEL TOO FAST FOR CONDITIONS.

PEDESTRIANS AND DRIVERS SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR
DESTINATION. FOR THE SAKE OF SAFETY...CONSIDER LETTING OTHERS KNOW WHAT
ROUTE YOU MAY BE TRAVELING AND WHAT TIME YOU EXPECT TO ARRIVE AT
YOUR DESTINATION.

TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL FALL THROUGH THE
TEENS EARLY ON...SETTLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS
BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE COLD TEMPERATURES...WINDS WILL PICK UP DURING
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL GENERATE WIDESPREAD
WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. NEAR
ZERO TO BELOW ZERO READINGS WILL BE COMMON OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH
DAYBREAK FRIDAY. BE SURE TO DRESS IN LAYERS AND COVER ANY EXPOSED SKIN
FROM THE COLD AIR TO MINIMIZE THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPING
FROSTBITE.

WINTER CAN BE AN ENJOYABLE TIME...BUT BE SURE TO USE COMMON SENSE
AND SAFETY WHEN DRIVING OR WALKING OUT IN THE COLD WEATHER THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

$$

SMITH

Very quick snow exit

This should end in West KY by 6:15 it is really starting to dissipate, and NW TN by 6:30-6:45pm. The Advisory/Warning will soon expire in 10 minutes

Predicted End Times for Snow.

Predicted End Times:(some flurries may still occur afterward, but nothing of significance)
Henderson to Fulton KY: By 5:30pm
Owensboro to Murray: By 6:15pm
Greenville KY to Hopkinsville KY to Dover TN: By 6:45pm
Morgantown KY to Springfield TN to Linden TN: By 7:30pm

Event is settling down.

Snow is ending faster than expected. It should end by 5 pm across Ballard, Carlisle counties. End by 8pm for most everyone in West KY, with the exception of the far SE portion, and clear everyone by 9pm.

Total Snowfall appears to be 3 to 5 in Henderson/Owensboro KY area, and about 1 to 3 elsewhere(locally 3.5 to 4 near the Ohio River).

Even though the snow will be over, travel will be hazardous tonight and most of the day tomorrow(temps. won't get much above 20 for all of West KY, and probably won't even make it to 20 in the Henderson/Owensboro KY area)

As of 3pm reports so far.

The reports are coming in.
Owensboro- 3 to 3.5 inches
Murray- 1.5 inches
Hopkinsville- I got 1.4 inches
Wickliffe- 2 inches

Henderson- 2- 2.5 inches
Gracey- 1 inch

Final Prediction update

- Doesn't appear to have quite as much moisture as expected, and a little bit more dry air than expected.
- Still 2 to 2.5 amounts in the Henderson/Owensboro area, and a dusting to an inch elsewhere a of now.
- Heavier bands of snow are moving though West KY, and will continue for a few hours.
- Snow should dissipate to flurries, light snow showers in NW KY by 5-7pm, and in SW KY by about 7-9pm.

Link for KY Road Conditions

http://511.ky.gov/kyhb/main.jsf

Snow Run Update

Heavier snow is starting to spread all across Western Kentucky. The Ohio River Counties, and Miss. River Counties have the heavier snows. Some of the bands could produce bands of 1 inch an hour, and more moderate snow is expected to spread across the rest of Western Kentucky.

Update

Update: Heavier snow bands will extend from La Center(Ballard County) across the Ohio River counties of West KY, and into the Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Sebree area. Lighter to moderate snow will continue across the rest of West KY. Far NW Mid TN may begin to see sleet, quickly changing to snow.

As of now Morganfield, Owensboro, Wheatcroft(Webster County) have around an inch of snow as of 10:15am.

Heavier snow bands are possible in this area, more accumulation is expected for NW KY, and all of the Ohio River counties.

Snow!!

Snow is falling across Western Kentucky, mostly light to moderate snow, but some heavier bands are forming to. Southern Christian,Southern Todd from Oak Grove to Elkton are starting off as sleet, before a quick change to snow. Everyone else is all snow.

Jan 20th overview

Click to Enlarge

Winter WX Advisory elsewhere

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
341 AM CST THU JAN 20 2011

ILZ085>094-KYZ001>017-020>022-MOZ086-087-100-107>112-114-201745-
/O.EXT.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.110120T0941Z-110121T0000Z/
WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-
PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-
SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...
WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...
MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...
MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...
MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...
POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
341 AM CST THU JAN 20 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
 THE AFTERNOON.

* AMOUNTS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE
 LIKELY. ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT IN SOME
 AREAS. SNOW COVERED ROADS...ESPECIALLY SECONDARY AND LESSER
 TRAVELED ROADS WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

Winter Storm Warning for Henderson/Daviess counties

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
341 AM CST THU JAN 20 2011

KYZ018-019-201745-
/O.UPG.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.110120T1200Z-110121T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPAH.WS.W.0001.110120T0941Z-110121T0000Z/
HENDERSON-DAVIESS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO
341 AM CST THU JAN 20 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KENTUCKY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL SNOW IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

* AMOUNTS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE
 LIKELY.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANT IN SOME
 AREAS. SNOW COVERED ROADS...ESPECIALLY SECONDARY AND LESSER
 TRAVELED ROADS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

Our 20th Day, of the 1st Month, Snow Rush.

Click to Enlarge.

Timeframe

This is from the NWS Paducah.

- Things may be a little quicker, but this is a good idea of the timeframe.

Jan 19th overview.

Winter WX Advisory continues more details later this afternoon.

Winter Weather Advisory for all of Western KY.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
359 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011

...ACCUMULATING SNOWS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.A WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL LEAVE A BLANKET OF SNOW IN ITS
WAKE...AS IT MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

ILZ085>094-KYZ001>022-MOZ086-087-100-107>112-114-191100-
/O.NEW.KPAH.WW.Y.0004.110120T1200Z-110121T0000Z/
WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-
PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-
BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...
WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...
MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...
MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...
GREENVILLE...ELKTON...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...
VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...
CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
359 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM
CST THURSDAY.

* TIMING: LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWS WILL SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST
 ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND NORTHWEST
 KENTUCKY DURING THE MORNING...AND THEN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
 WEST KENTUCKY PRIMARILY IN THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL COME TO
 AN END FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* MAIN IMPACT: CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT A TOTAL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
 SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE THROUGHOUT THE AREA.

* OTHER IMPACTS: TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING
 THROUGHOUT THE EVENT...SO ROAD CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON LESSER
 TRAVELED AND UNTREATED ROADS...WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE QUICKLY
 DURING THE DAY THURSDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

DRS

Jan. 18th overview

- Rainfall likely today(total amounts of .15 to .30 of an inch expected today)
- Some Flurries may mix in on the backside, but nothing of significance.
- Will watch for a possible Winter Storm on Thursday(should be mostly snow, even though some sleet may mix in, and the SE part of West KY may start as rain/sleet, or mix with rain/sleet during the event).
- How much moisture is generated is also a question/

Happy Martin Luther King Jr. Day

Happy Martin Luther King JR. Day. Lets all continue to work hard on fighting Racism, in our area. We have come a long way, but we still got awhile to go.

Some early frz drizzle.

For southern portions of Western Kentucky: Some freezing drizzle is possible for the morning hours, before a change over to rain. No accumulation is expected, but elevated surfaces may become slick before a changeover to rain. As of now this exists from a Bardwell to Benton to Greenville KY line south.

The next two systems

Temperatures should start in the 40's for Monday,Tuesday, then Highs will fall to the 30's the rest of the week. Temp forecasts after Thursday, are pretty uncertain, as models diverge, and there is a possibility for snowcover.

There are two systems to watch for our area. (One could be wintry)

- The first is a mostly rain event, although some a few sleet pellets/frz drizzle may start early Monday, it should change to rain very quickly. About a quarter to half-inch of rain is expected from Monday into Tuesday. A slight chance of light snow may occur Tuesday Night.

- The next system is a possible Winter Weather Event on Thursday. Some model uncertainties on how much moisture will be present, or if any rain/sleet could mix in West KY. Snow Accumulation is possible with this system, but it is too early to go into specific amounts.

Next System

Temperatures have rose to average today. The next system should be mostly a rain event, but you can't rule out a wintry mix to start before it changes over to rain Sunday Night into Martin Luther King JR. Day.

We will watch the system, and make sure the wintry precipitation doesn't hang around to long, but indications are that it won't and should go to rain fairly quickly. That will be followed by the next period of solidly cold, but not extremely cold temperatures through the rest of next week into newxt weekend.

Snowy USA

Every state with the exception of Florida has snow on the ground, even Hawaii which has Winter Storm Warnings, and Severe Thunderstorm Warnings as we speak.

That is 49 out of 50 states with snow on the ground.

Beware of Black Ice

Beware of Black Ice, from any snowmelt today, as temps. will be well below freezing today, and tomorrow. Temps. should rise above freezing either Friday, or Saturday for the northern areas.

Jan 11th snowfall

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=62622&source=0

Jan 11th snowfall. From about a half inch near the TN border, to 2 inches in the Henderson/Owensboro KY area.

Flurries/Light Snow Showers should continue this morning with little or no accumulation expected to occur.

Morning totals map

Should range from just under an inch near the TN border, to 2 to 3 in the Henderson Owensboro KY areas.

Winter WX Advisory

Winter WX Advisory for the lakes eastward till 6am, for the Purchase area till Noon.

Updated Call map for West KY.

Updated Call map for the area. Winter WX Advisory for everyone in West KY. 1 inch amounts the further SW and S you go, and more 3, maybe even locally 4 towards Indiana the further NE you go.

Winter WX Advisory for all of West KY till Noon Tuesday

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ017&warncounty=KYC047&firewxzone=KYZ017&local_place1=Hopkinsville+KY&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory

Clipper system

- A few stray snow showers may hang around today, from last night's TN winter storm, but shouldn't amount to much.
- A clipper system will track across IL/IN/OH. While we will not be under the best dynamics, we will have enough moisture for some snowfall, best chances would in the Evansville IN/Henderson KY/Owensboro KY areas. The chances decrease the further south, and southwest one goes. Most snow will fall from late tonight-into the morning hours of Tuesday, with some stray snow showers maybe lasting into early Tuesday Night.

Winter WX Advisory

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ018&warncounty=KYC101&firewxzone=KYZ018&local_place1=Henderson+KY&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory

The next system NW KY is under a Winter WX Advisory.

Overview of Minor Winter Threats

- The northern band of an intense winter storm to affect TN southward, is expected to move across the TN/KY border, because of that some measurable snow is possible tonight/Monday. Any shift further north, than even greater amounts could occur, any shift further south, then pretty much nothing.

- On Tuesday Night(after 1am), may be a little earlier, a Clipper/North Vort is expected to move across MO/IL/IN. This could spread 1 inch to locally 2 inches across West KY. Will have to watch that track, and see if a band can form, from this that could produce locally greater snow amounts.

Neither are expected to be major events for West KY, but if you have travel plans today, and tomorrow, and even Tuesday across TN,GA,AL,Far SE KY,MS,LA,ARK,Carolinas you want to watch the first storm. Any snow that falls in Kentucky, due to colder ground temperatures may stick easier, so if your area gets snow, you want to exercise caution when traveling.

Winter Threats are possible.

- Will continue to watch the Sunday/Monday system, and the Tuesday system.

- Sunday-Monday system, may feature measurable snow in the KY/TN border area, and a Witner Storm just to the south of there.

- Tuesday system, features a northern vort, that could cause a possible 1-3 inch snowfall.

Jan 7th overview.

Winter WX Advisory for today.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ018&warncounty=KYC101&firewxzone=KYZ018&local_place1=3+Miles+NW+Baskett+KY&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory

Winter Weather Advisory for Henderson, Daviess, Mclean county. 1-2 inches is expected today, and a dusting to inch east of the Lakes is possible.

Clipper Map

There is the map for the clipper in Western Kentucky.

Dusting to an inch along the Green River, A dusting to half inch in the Madisonville/Hopkinsville/Elkton area, and probably nothing more than flurries elsewhere.

Tonight's Clipper

Clipper expected tonight and into Friday. 1 to 3 inches in NE Mid TN in the Advisory area. Higher amounts on the Plateau, for West KY a dusting to an inch cannot be ruled out along the Green River. In NW Mid TN about a dusting to under an inch, and pretty much a non-event along the TN River, and in the Purchase area of Western Kentucky.

We will also continue to watch, and see how much moisture can sneak into southern portions of Western Kentucky on the Sunday Night/Monday system.

Overview of the Weekend Event

Today/tonight watch for a quick hitting clipper. A dusting cannot be ruled out(in eastern sections of Western Kentucky), but that should be about it.

The Attention shifts to the Sunday/Monday system. A gulf low is expected to form, and this needs to be watched, because if it trends northward, there could be a snow event for Western Kentucky. As of now the best chance for the Winter Event should be along I-40 and south. The call map, using Weather Underground is posted, to display possible thoughts of this system.

- Along the KY/TN border measurable snow is possible, but we appear to be on the northern fringe of it, if we trend NW this area could get a decent snow event, now it appears the better chance for Measurable South will Nashville southward, but a few models are pushing the precipitation border in the KY/TN border area.
- The Rest of West KY needs a NW Trend, or the northern energy to get involved to get measurable snow. Will need to watch the models to see how far north the measurable snow event makes it.

The labels snow(means at this point the event should be all snow) snow/sleet(means mostly snow, but mixed with some sleet) Wintry Mix(Means mix of snow/sleet/frz.rain/rain). Since we are 3 days out it should be noted at this is possible, but far from certain. We still have 3 days of model runs to go, and things can change, and some questions remain.

today's update

Today expect a snow/light rain mix in Southern KY and Mid TN. As it appears most precipitation will slide to the south of Western Kentucky, so at this point a dusting to half inch at best for areas right along the TN border, with just flurries/light snow showers at best elsewhere.

A Chance of Snow tommorrow.

A weak clipper like system, is expected to move across Kentucky tomorrow. The models are starting to start precipitation, with borderline temperatures. Some models are showing hardly nothing, some accumulating snow, some mostly rain mixed with flurries. As of right now will mention the chance of a dusting to inch is possible, and will continue to watch the model runs tonight, and now-casting trends tomorrow.

Another clipper is possible closer to the weekend, and a possible winter system/cold rain maker is appearing on the models for the Sunday/Monday period.

11 Years Ago

Click to Enlarge Image.

- A Severe Weather struck Western Kentucky, this occurred on January, 3rd, 2000.

* The most notable events of this severe wx event, were the Owensboro KY F3 tornado, and the Crittenden/Webster County Tornado.

- 100 homes were destroyed, and 700 with major damage in Owensboro, but luckily no fatalities occurred. The tornado struck just after 4pm, before that a F3 tornado struck the Crayne(Crittenden County) to Diamond(Webster County) were a few injuries occurred, and 100 homes damaged and destroyed.

- Flooding was also an issue with bridge washouts in Carlisle County and a State of Emergency Declared. Some flooding also occurred across most of West Kentucky from Far Western Kentucky to the Purchase area, to the West KY Parkway area northward. Baseball sized hail occurred in Graves County near Mayfield.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/storm/Owb_tor/jan3stm.php
^^ PAH Summary ^^

Warm January??? Models/Arctic Blocking disagrees.

Day 6 to 10 Outlook

8 to 14 Day Outlook




In the long range, it looks like the idea of a Warm January may be in jeopardy. It appears the -AO signature should continue, and models are showing intense arctic blocking, which could lead to cold air being locked into the country at least through the middle of the month. If those models are right, then this CPC longer range outlook shows what the results will be.

New Year cool tempartures.

After a warm New Years Eve, and very Early New Years Night temperatures will be in the Upper 30's today, briefly warm up to the 40's this week. Other than maybe a light snower/flurry mix on Wednesday, this week appears dry.

Welcome to 2011, Hope you all had a great New Years, and ready for 2011