slight risk of severe wx from Marion KY to Fredonia KY to Hopkinsville KY east. 20-30% chance of thunderstorms 40% up towards Henderson. Overall a pretty good lake day. Lake day confidence of 4 out of 5 south of Eddyville and 3 out of 5 north of there still exists. 5 is the best and 1 is the worst.
Severe wx list. Very low confidence with severe storms in the 1-2 range on confidence level.
Cons:
- Low Dewpoints
- No real good lifting mechanism
- Still the better shear is separated with the best instability.
Pros:
- Moderate Shear
- Decent Instability and sunshine
Expected: A few storms could from in NW KY and move southeast towards Central KY these produce mostly hail/wind but an isolated tornado couldn't be totally ruled. A MCS may or may not form.
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