Sunday, May 31, 2009
Saturday, May 30, 2009
Pros and cons of severe.
slight risk of severe wx from Marion KY to Fredonia KY to Hopkinsville KY east. 20-30% chance of thunderstorms 40% up towards Henderson. Overall a pretty good lake day. Lake day confidence of 4 out of 5 south of Eddyville and 3 out of 5 north of there still exists. 5 is the best and 1 is the worst.
Severe wx list. Very low confidence with severe storms in the 1-2 range on confidence level.
Cons:
- Low Dewpoints
- No real good lifting mechanism
- Still the better shear is separated with the best instability.
Pros:
- Moderate Shear
- Decent Instability and sunshine
Expected: A few storms could from in NW KY and move southeast towards Central KY these produce mostly hail/wind but an isolated tornado couldn't be totally ruled. A MCS may or may not form.
Friday, May 29, 2009
Lake forecast and rivers for tommorow.
Tomorrow lake day forecast.
Ohio River from Cairo IL to Owensboro (Confidence Level of 3 out of 5 for a good lake day) Some storms could form in the afternoon and become severe. Overall defiantly not a washout and some good river and lake action will be had.
Land Between the Lakes. Confidence Level of 3 out of 5 from Eddyville north and 4 out of 5 from Eddyville KY South. (Lesser chance of storms closer to the TN border but still a low chance, could be a severe storm forming up towards Grand River no washout expected. If it was'nt for the SPC slight risk it would be a picture perfect lake day instead of a good lake day with uncertainites.
Ohio River from Cairo IL to Owensboro (Confidence Level of 3 out of 5 for a good lake day) Some storms could form in the afternoon and become severe. Overall defiantly not a washout and some good river and lake action will be had.
Land Between the Lakes. Confidence Level of 3 out of 5 from Eddyville north and 4 out of 5 from Eddyville KY South. (Lesser chance of storms closer to the TN border but still a low chance, could be a severe storm forming up towards Grand River no washout expected. If it was'nt for the SPC slight risk it would be a picture perfect lake day instead of a good lake day with uncertainites.
Slight Risk for West KY tommorow
A lot of uncertainties in Tomorrow. It isn't a perfect lake day as some storms could form and some can be severe. First we need a cap to break to allow for some storms to form than we need good instability. Than line segments with damaging wind potential could form also isolated tornadoes and large hail could form if super cells can form.A SPC slight risk is in effect for Marion KY to Gallatin TN line east.
Pretty good lake weather for the most part.
Friday a day with calm winds, temps in the 79-83 range, and sunny skies
Lake Confidence of a 5 out of 5 for today for all of West KY.
Lake Confidence of a 5 out of 5 for today for all of West KY.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Some strong storms possible.
Strong storms possible in West KY some with up to nickel size hail is possible.
Sunday, May 24, 2009
Memorial Day has same Lake Confidence Level
It is that day Memorial Day. Rain appears to be more widespread but overall this appears to be a type of day with a pretty high (70-90) of rain unlike Sunday like I hoped for more hit or miss activity is expected. Since the lake day isn't expected to be a total loss and Confidence level of 3 will be given.
Confidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 3(Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout )
Confidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 3(Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout )
Updates
Washout expected though 1pm will a band of moderate to heavy rain. Than after 1pm it is just scattered stuff and then you will get plenty of breaks to enjoy the lakes due to this break it is still a confidence level of 3 out of 5.
Saturday, May 23, 2009
Sunday May 24th lake day outlook
Sunday May 24th continues the Memorial Day Weekend fun. Rain appears to be more widespread but overall this appears to be a type of day with a pretty high (60-70%) of rain where most everyone will get rain, but it will have breaks in it and become more scattered so while everyone could get rain it won't be a total loss. Since the lake day isn't expected to be a total loss and Confidence level of 3 will be given.
Confidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 3(Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout )
Confidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (Thunderstorms could become very widespread but the day is not expected to be a washout)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 3(Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout )
Friday, May 22, 2009
First Lake Day Outlook for Saturday May 23rd
Saturday May 23rd the first big time lake day for many. Boating adventures, Fishing adventures, and fun times as Memorial Day weekend kicks off. On both rivers and the Land between the Lakes fun times are to be had. Scattered thunderstorms might try to ruin the party, but luckily it shouldn't be a widespread event so don't cancel those lakes and river events, but keep an eye to the sky for some non-severe thunderstorms.
Confidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout. Also some minor flooding is occuring on the Miss. River)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout. Also some minor flooding is occuring on the Ohio)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 4
Confidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout.)
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout. Also some minor flooding is occuring on the Miss. River)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (Scattered Thunderstorms could lead locally heavy rain and some crappy lake time, but not a total washout. Also some minor flooding is occuring on the Ohio)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 4
Expriemental Lake Day Outlook for today
This is an experimental Lake Day Outlook on what today's would of looked like. I will try to get tonight's the first official one out by 10pm tonight, and update it by noon that day if it needs any updates. If a 3 or lower is issued a reason will be beside it.
FRIDAY MAY 22nd- Forecast some isolated showers and t-storms might develop throughout the day across West KY, but will stay very isolated overall a good lake day. Temperatures are in the low to mid 80's with a calm east wind. parts of the Ohio and Miss. River are under minor flooding.
Cofidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 4
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 4
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 4
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (some minor flooding of farmland)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (some minor flooding of farmland)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 4
FRIDAY MAY 22nd- Forecast some isolated showers and t-storms might develop throughout the day across West KY, but will stay very isolated overall a good lake day. Temperatures are in the low to mid 80's with a calm east wind. parts of the Ohio and Miss. River are under minor flooding.
Cofidence Levels (5 best) (1 worst)
LBL (parts of Trigg, Marshall, Calloway, Lyon, and Livingston counties) 4
Green River (from Calhoun to Rochester KY) 4
Lake Malone (parts of Todd, Muhlenberg, Logan counties) 4
Miss River (from Cairo IL to Hickman KY) 3 (some minor flooding of farmland)
Ohio River (from Cairo IL to Smithland KY) 3 (some minor flooding of farmland)
Ohio River (from Smithland KY to Owensboro KY) 4
Starting Tommorow!! The West KY Lakes Forecast
A new idea for lakes season starting for tomorrow's lake's forecast. I will use the confidence level forecast that I use for winter wx, severe wx, flash flooding, etc. Except it will be used for how confident I am for a great lake day. This will be used for all of West KY. Including the popular Land in Between the Lakes area. Also could be used for surrounding smaller ponds or lakes around West KY. River conditions for events on the river will also be used. I will post an experimental one for how it would work for today.
What Makes a Great Lake Day
- Sunny and clear days. Many late spring and summer days have at least a 20% of summer time heat of time isolated showers. Usually unless there is a organized low it isn't an all day event. Of course on days were are washouts expected are you 1 or 2 days.
- Lack of severe thunderstorms- This goes along with the first one. Since KY severe wx season is Apr-Jun and May and June are prime lake months this can be an important one. SPC outlooks assign risks Slight, Moderate, and High for potential for severe weather. Any time a Moderate or High Risk is assigned expect a lake day rating no higher than 3 for a Moderate and 2 for a High. As damaging winds especially can become big time Lake hazards. Also Tornadoes and Hail if it is forecasted can mess up great lake day.
- Lack of High and Gusty Wind (non thunderstorm) High Wind days can be bad news for the lake days. These days can disrupt fishing, cause boating and swimming hazards, knock down weak limbs and in extreme cases entire trees, and if the ground is really dry can cause wild and brush fires. NWS for lake season issues Lake Wind Advisories for 35MPH gust or higher or when 25mph is sustained. Some high wind events a Wind Advisory or High Wind Watch or Warning may be issued. This can really lower the lake rating even if the day is expected to be clear.
- Warm day but not extreme heat days (days were high index values are expected to be over 105) Of course coming into the summer days will be hot. I am not talking about days that are in the low 90's with little humidity. Or typical hot summer days what could be hazardous even to a lake day is these days were the heat index (what the temperature feels like to you combining the temperature with humidity) is around or over 105 degrees, or those triple digit days where being out and overworking yourself is dangerous to your health. These dangerous temperatures can even make a lake day sticky and dangerous. When a Heat Advisory or Excessive Heat Warning is in effect expect no better than a 3 for a Heat Advisory and 2 for a Excessive Heat Warning on the lake day rating scale. Also if the temperature is forecasted to be under 72 degrees than that is a horrible lake day and will probably have a 2 or 3 rating at best.
5- Very confident to near certain of a great lake day (best rating)
1- Very great chance of a total ruined lake day this is a day you might as well stay home for. (worst rating)
The rating goes from 5 to 1. 1 is worst possible day as far as confidence in a good lake day. 5 is the best possible day as far as confidence of a good lake day.
What Makes a Great Lake Day
- Sunny and clear days. Many late spring and summer days have at least a 20% of summer time heat of time isolated showers. Usually unless there is a organized low it isn't an all day event. Of course on days were are washouts expected are you 1 or 2 days.
- Lack of severe thunderstorms- This goes along with the first one. Since KY severe wx season is Apr-Jun and May and June are prime lake months this can be an important one. SPC outlooks assign risks Slight, Moderate, and High for potential for severe weather. Any time a Moderate or High Risk is assigned expect a lake day rating no higher than 3 for a Moderate and 2 for a High. As damaging winds especially can become big time Lake hazards. Also Tornadoes and Hail if it is forecasted can mess up great lake day.
- Lack of High and Gusty Wind (non thunderstorm) High Wind days can be bad news for the lake days. These days can disrupt fishing, cause boating and swimming hazards, knock down weak limbs and in extreme cases entire trees, and if the ground is really dry can cause wild and brush fires. NWS for lake season issues Lake Wind Advisories for 35MPH gust or higher or when 25mph is sustained. Some high wind events a Wind Advisory or High Wind Watch or Warning may be issued. This can really lower the lake rating even if the day is expected to be clear.
- Warm day but not extreme heat days (days were high index values are expected to be over 105) Of course coming into the summer days will be hot. I am not talking about days that are in the low 90's with little humidity. Or typical hot summer days what could be hazardous even to a lake day is these days were the heat index (what the temperature feels like to you combining the temperature with humidity) is around or over 105 degrees, or those triple digit days where being out and overworking yourself is dangerous to your health. These dangerous temperatures can even make a lake day sticky and dangerous. When a Heat Advisory or Excessive Heat Warning is in effect expect no better than a 3 for a Heat Advisory and 2 for a Excessive Heat Warning on the lake day rating scale. Also if the temperature is forecasted to be under 72 degrees than that is a horrible lake day and will probably have a 2 or 3 rating at best.
5- Very confident to near certain of a great lake day (best rating)
1- Very great chance of a total ruined lake day this is a day you might as well stay home for. (worst rating)
The rating goes from 5 to 1. 1 is worst possible day as far as confidence in a good lake day. 5 is the best possible day as far as confidence of a good lake day.
Monday, May 18, 2009
One more night of blackberry winter.
A little frost possible cannot be totally ruled out in shelter and outlying areas of West KY. Mid TN does has a frost advisory out in which temps will be in the mid to upper 30's in some areas.
It is not uncommon to have frost all the way into early May, but at least no freezing temperatures are expected but with temps in the 38 to 42 range in West KY it will be cold. It will warm up 25 to 40 degrees as temps shot up into the mid to upper 70's by afternoon.
It is not uncommon to have frost all the way into early May, but at least no freezing temperatures are expected but with temps in the 38 to 42 range in West KY it will be cold. It will warm up 25 to 40 degrees as temps shot up into the mid to upper 70's by afternoon.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
A little blackberry tonight and not the phone
http://kyclim.wku.edu/factSheets/folklore.htm
A little blackberry winter tonight. With lows forecasted in the 39 to 42 range. A NE wind and temperatures not getting cold enough should prevent frost. Some sensitive plants in outlying areas may need to be covered though.
A little blackberry winter tonight. With lows forecasted in the 39 to 42 range. A NE wind and temperatures not getting cold enough should prevent frost. Some sensitive plants in outlying areas may need to be covered though.
Lake Wind Advisory Again
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1035 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009
...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR AREA LAKES TODAY...
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-180000-
/O.NEW.KPAH.LW.Y.0006.090517T1600Z-090518T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
1035 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2009
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE REGION.
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 25 MPH WILL BE
ENCOUNTERED ON AREA LAKES TODAY. WHITE CAPS CAN BE EXPECTED ON
AREA WATER WAYS TODAY...ESPECIALLY ON THE WESTERN SHORES AND OPEN
WATERS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.
&&
$$
Saturday, May 16, 2009
Cofndence Level of winds is 3 Lake Wind Advisory in effect
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1123 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009
...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE WAKE OF A FRONTAL PASSAGE
TODAY...
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-170000-
/O.CON.KPAH.LW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090517T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
1123 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
A COLD FRONT WILL BE ALONG THE OHIO RIVER BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS EVENING. IN ITS
WAKE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO
SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
MPH. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE SHORTLY BEFORE SUNSET.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.
&&
$$
Thursday, May 14, 2009
T-storm Watch for West KY till 7am
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 302
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
WESTERN TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 100 AM UNTIL 700 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 298...WW 299...WW
300...WW 301...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN IL
INTO EASTERN OK. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD
OVERNIGHT THROUGH A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS. BOW/LEWP
STRUCTURES WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL FOR
ANOTHER SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...HART
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Monday, May 11, 2009
From NWS PAH West Graves CO survey
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
745 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2009
...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR GRAVES COUNTY MICROBURST ON MAY 8 2009...
THE FOLLOWING IS THE FINAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR THE MICROBURST
THAT OCCURRED IN WESTERN GRAVES COUNTY ON MAY 8 2009.
* EVENT DATE - MAY 8 2009
* EVENT TIME - 100 PM CDT /APPROX./
* EVENT TYPE - MICROBURST
* EVENT LOCATION - 0.5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FANCY FARM.
* PEAK WIND - 90 MPH
* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 50 YARDS.
* PATH LENGTH - 500 YARDS.
* INJURIES - NONE
* FATALITIES - NONE
* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - METAL TOP BLOWN OFF OF CINDER BLOCK SILO.
SIDING DAMAGE TO A RESIDENCE. A LARGE SECTION OF A CHICK HOUSE
ROOF BLOWN OFF.
$$
STORM SURVERYOR...PAT SPODEN
PREPARER...SMITH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
745 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2009
...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR GRAVES COUNTY MICROBURST ON MAY 8 2009...
THE FOLLOWING IS THE FINAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR THE MICROBURST
THAT OCCURRED IN WESTERN GRAVES COUNTY ON MAY 8 2009.
* EVENT DATE - MAY 8 2009
* EVENT TIME - 100 PM CDT /APPROX./
* EVENT TYPE - MICROBURST
* EVENT LOCATION - 0.5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FANCY FARM.
* PEAK WIND - 90 MPH
* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 50 YARDS.
* PATH LENGTH - 500 YARDS.
* INJURIES - NONE
* FATALITIES - NONE
* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - METAL TOP BLOWN OFF OF CINDER BLOCK SILO.
SIDING DAMAGE TO A RESIDENCE. A LARGE SECTION OF A CHICK HOUSE
ROOF BLOWN OFF.
$$
STORM SURVERYOR...PAT SPODEN
PREPARER...SMITH
Damage Surveys from last weeks storms in West KY
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=27316&source=0
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1132 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009
...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR LIVINGSTON COUNTY KENTUCKY DAMAGE
EVENT...
THE FOLLOWING IS THE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR A STORM DAMAGE EVENT THAT
OCCURRED EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...MAY 8 2009...NEAR SMITHLAND
KENTUCKY...
* EVENT DATE - FRIDAY MAY 8 2009
* EVENT TIME - APPROXIMTELY 3:00 AM CDT
* EVENT TYPE - MICROBURST
* EVENT LOCATION - 1 MILE NORTH OF SMITHLAND KENTUCKY.
* PEAK WIND - 80 MPH
* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 1/2 MILE
* PATH LENGTH - 1/2 MILE
* INJURIES - NONE
* FATALITIES - NONE
* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - POORLY TIED DOWN MOBILE HOME MOVED SEVERAL
FEET. TWO METAL SHEDS BLOWN DOWN. A NUMBER OF TREES EITHER SNAPPED
IN TWO OR UPROOTED.
$$
SURVEYOR...SPODEN
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
928 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR CALVERT CITY KENTUCKY DAMAGE
EVENT...
THE FOLLOWING IS THE DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR A STORM DAMAGE EVENT
THAT OCCURRED EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...MAY 8 2009...IN CALVERT CITY
KENTUCKY...
* EVENT DATE - FRIDAY MAY 8 2009
* EVENT TIME - APPROXIMTELY 335 AM CDT
* EVENT TYPE - MICROBURST
* EVENT LOCATION - CALVERT CITY KENTUCKY...CENTERED AROUND 9TH
AVENUE EXTENDED FROM ABOUT 1 MILE WEST OF THE CALVERT CITY WATER
TOWER/S MAIN ST TO APPROX. 1 MILE EAST OF PARK AVENUE/ HWY 1523
* PEAK WIND - 90 MPH
* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 1/3 MILE
* PATH LENGTH - 3 MILES
* INJURIES - NONE
* FATALITIES - NONE
* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - HUNDREDS OF TREE LIMBS DOWN ALONG WITH
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. ROOF PARTIALLY OFF 1 BUSINESS...AND SEVERAL
HOMES WITH ROOF DAMAGE. NUMEROUS SHEDS AND CARPORTS DESTROYED.
Friday, May 8, 2009
Very severe winds in the Evansville Tri State
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ILC047-059-185-193-INC051-129-163-KYC101-225-082015-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0110.090508T1916Z-090508T2015Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
216 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
WESTERN HENDERSON COUNTY...
NORTHERN UNION COUNTY...
IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...
EDWARDS COUNTY...
WABASH COUNTY...
EASTERN WHITE COUNTY...
NORTHEASTERN GALLATIN COUNTY...
IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
GIBSON COUNTY...
POSEY COUNTY...
VANDERBURGH COUNTY...
* UNTIL 315 PM CDT.
* AT 211 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CROSSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
NEW HARMONY...
BLAIRSVILLE...
POSEYVILLE...
CYNTHIANA...
HAUBSTADT...
FORT BRANCH...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WINDS OVER 80 MPH AND
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.
&&
LAT...LON 3850 8764 3846 8775 3842 8773 3846 8767
3845 8762 3850 8758 3851 8754 3850 8751
3852 8749 3769 8747 3769 8815 3858 8813
3858 8767
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 246DEG 39KT 3795 8827
$$
Storm Update 2
A squall line continues into Todd, Muhlenberg, Mclean county area with 60-75mph winds and 75 mph winds reported.
Meanwhile to affect Henderson is a powerful mesolow center. In which 70+ winds are possible for the Henderson KY area. SO beware in that area and towards SW Indiana.
Quick heavy rains have caused problems esp east of the lakes.
Meanwhile to affect Henderson is a powerful mesolow center. In which 70+ winds are possible for the Henderson KY area. SO beware in that area and towards SW Indiana.
Quick heavy rains have caused problems esp east of the lakes.
Paducah storms
The storm with a bow echo is now moving towards Paducah area in 30 mins. Damaging Winds of 55 to 75MPH can be expected with this line of T-storms
Storm Update 1
Storms will arrive in Hickman in about 20 minutes. Clinton and Bardwell KY in 25 mins.
Damaging winds of 70 to 80MPH are possible with this storm.
Damaging winds of 70 to 80MPH are possible with this storm.
First T-storm Warning for West KY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ILC003-153-181-KYC007-039-MOC031-133-201-081700-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0095.090508T1553Z-090508T1700Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1053 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN CAPE GIRARDEAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY...
EASTERN SCOTT COUNTY...
ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
PULASKI COUNTY...
UNION COUNTY...
WESTERN BALLARD COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN CARLISLE COUNTY...
* UNTIL NOON CDT.
* AT 1050 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 20
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SCOTT CITY...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
SCOTT CITY...
OLIVE BRANCH...
HORSESHOE LAKE CONSERVATION AREA...
TAMMS...
DONGOLA...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS LINE OF STORMS. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED
TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.
&&
LAT...LON 3756 8951 3757 8948 3761 8945 3760 8905
3688 8906 3688 8956
TIME...MOT...LOC 1553Z 248DEG 42KT 3709 8981
$$
What is a Derecho
Derechos are very powerful windstorms. They appear as bowed out squall lines and can travel for over 400 miles and produce upwards to 135 MPH Winds. Damaging Winds are the main threat with these, but they can contain large hail and isolated tornadoes.
There are types of Derechoes: Serial (a long bowed out squall line with supercells and many bow echos ex: Memorial Day Weekend 2004, and West Virgina Derecho of 1991, and April 2nd 2006 also produce the most tornadoes along with damaging winds), Progressive (a narrow bow echo or group of small bow echos but can travel for long distances es: July 13th 2004 and May 5th 1996 Derecho. This one we are under the threat is a progressive), and Hybrid( cross between both of them and quite rare Southern Great Lakes Derecho of 1998 and maybe Texas Boaters Derecho of May 1987).
They are dangers to boaters, people in moblie homes, and anyone outside because they can produce hurricane force winds.
There are some links.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/derechofacts.htm#types
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/science/convection/may5/may51.php
Picture is from StormTrack Forums
Derecho is coming
A very intense Derecho event is expected to rake West KY and Mid TN. Damaging Winds are expected and could be very violent and widespread. Most people in the part of this Progressive Derecho will exprience at least 70MPH winds with gusts of 105 to 125MPH in the strongest storms
Isolated tornadoes and locallized flooding will be possible.
Tornado Watch out
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 267
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
MUCH OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 920 AM UNTIL 400
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 105 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 266...
DISCUSSION...A MATURE VERY INTENSE DERECHO IS MOVING VERY RAPIDLY
ALONG THERMAL/INSTABILITY GRADIENT ACROSS MID MS VLY INTO TN AND
LOWER OH VALLEYS. WITH A VERY MOIST UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND STRONG
VEERING SHEAR PROFILES...EMBEDDED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE DERECHO ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
650. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27055.
...HALES
update
Several storms will move into West KY though 6am and become
severe with large hail and damaging winds possible
in the strongest ones.
There is one warning.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ILC069-151-KYC055-139-225-233-080730-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0085.090508T0655Z-090508T0730Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
155 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
SOUTHWESTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
EASTERN HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
EASTERN POPE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
* UNTIL 230 AM CDT.
* AT 155 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF ROSICLARE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
35 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
MARION...
CAVE IN ROCK...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.
&&
LAT...LON 3736 8783 3725 8804 3742 8846 3744 8832
3746 8826 3759 8817 3758 8815 3760 8814
3746 8777
TIME...MOT...LOC 0655Z 297DEG 30KT 3744 8821
$$
Severe possible on May 8th
Severe WX is possible with damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes possible.Click on map for more details.
Thursday, May 7, 2009
May 7th overview
Some storms late this afternoon and tonight could produce damaging winds and large hail. SPC slight risk is in effect from Wingo KY (SW Graves County to Crofton KY (North Christian County) north.
Wednesday, May 6, 2009
May 6th 2003 6 years Ago
FROM NWS PAHThis is the 6th year anniversary of the May 6th 2003 Tornado Outbreak. In which 10 separate tornadoes occurred in West KY. Luckily none were greater than F2. The biggest tornado was a F2 that passed just to the north of Wickliffe KY and damaged several houses in the area. That supercell moved all the way from SE MO to Cairo IL and produced tornadoes from Ballard County to McCracken and Graves County into Marshall County with the last tornado touchdown ending near Kentucky Lake.
Also a distarous F4 occured just north of West KY across Far South IL killing 2 and injuring 33. In which several homes were totally wiped out across the area.
Over 11 tornadoes occured on May 4th of this year along with one of the most damaging hailstorms in West KY history. Also on the early morning of May 11th a f3 tornado occured in Sacremento in McLean County.
Several hail and wind reports occured on other days from May 1st till the 15th as part of the very active and historic 2003 Tornado Outbreak Sequence that sweeped the nation from the Rockies to the East Coast.
Moderate Flooding expected along parts of Ohio River
OHIO RIVER AT CAIRO (Effecting Carlisle, Ballard, Fulton, Hickman counties)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=ciri2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 40 feet. Forecast crest is 48.5 feet that is Moderate Flooding.
OHIO RIVER AT GRAND CHAIN (Effecting Ballard, and McCracken Counties)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=gcti2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 40 feet. Forecast crest is 49.5 feet that is Moderate Flooding.
OHIO RIVER AT BROOKPORT (McCracken County)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=brki2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 37 Feet. Forecast crest is 43 feet Minor Flooding is expected.
OHIO RIVER AT PADUCAH (McCracken and Livingston County)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=pahk2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 39 Feet. Forecast crest is 40.5 that is minor flooding.
Possible minor flooding at the Ohio River at Smithland will be watched to.
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NEW MADRID (Fulton, Hickman, Carlisle, and Ballard Counties)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=nmdm7&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 34 Feet. Forecast crest is 38.0 feet that is minor flooding.
GREEN RIVER AT PARADISE (Muhlenberg County)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=prdk2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 380 Feet. Forecast Crest is 381 Feet. Minor Flooding is expected.
TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. Do Not cross any roads where the river may be over the roads.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=ciri2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 40 feet. Forecast crest is 48.5 feet that is Moderate Flooding.
OHIO RIVER AT GRAND CHAIN (Effecting Ballard, and McCracken Counties)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=gcti2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 40 feet. Forecast crest is 49.5 feet that is Moderate Flooding.
OHIO RIVER AT BROOKPORT (McCracken County)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=brki2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 37 Feet. Forecast crest is 43 feet Minor Flooding is expected.
OHIO RIVER AT PADUCAH (McCracken and Livingston County)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=pahk2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 39 Feet. Forecast crest is 40.5 that is minor flooding.
Possible minor flooding at the Ohio River at Smithland will be watched to.
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NEW MADRID (Fulton, Hickman, Carlisle, and Ballard Counties)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=nmdm7&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 34 Feet. Forecast crest is 38.0 feet that is minor flooding.
GREEN RIVER AT PARADISE (Muhlenberg County)
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=prdk2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Flood Stage is 380 Feet. Forecast Crest is 381 Feet. Minor Flooding is expected.
TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN. Do Not cross any roads where the river may be over the roads.
Tuesday, May 5, 2009
Minor Flooding occuring at West KY rivers
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=ciri2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Minor Flooding expected in Ohio River at Cairo.
Flood stage is at 40 Feet the forecast stage is 46.5
Counties effected are Ballard, Carlisle, Hickman, and Fulton.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=gcti2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Minor Flooding expected in Ohio River at Grand Chain
Flood stage is at 42 Feet the forecast stage is 47.0
Counties effected McCracken and Ballard
Flood stage may also be reached at the Ohio River at Brookport. And the Mississippi River at New Madrid.
Minor Flooding expected in Ohio River at Cairo.
Flood stage is at 40 Feet the forecast stage is 46.5
Counties effected are Ballard, Carlisle, Hickman, and Fulton.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pah&gage=gcti2&view=1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Minor Flooding expected in Ohio River at Grand Chain
Flood stage is at 42 Feet the forecast stage is 47.0
Counties effected McCracken and Ballard
Flood stage may also be reached at the Ohio River at Brookport. And the Mississippi River at New Madrid.
Sunday, May 3, 2009
Saturday, May 2, 2009
Updated Flash Flood Watch for West KY
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
407 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009
.HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH A STALLED FRONT TO OUR
SOUTH.
ILZ085>094-KYZ001>022-MOZ086-087-100-107>112-114-030300-
/O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-090504T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-
PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-
BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...
WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...
MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...
MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...
GREENVILLE...ELKTON...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...
VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...
CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
407 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM VAN BUREN AND
MARBLE HILL MISSOURI...THROUGH MARION ILLINOIS...TO OWENSBORO
KENTUCKY.
* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
* THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL PERSIST IN
THIS AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. WITH SOIL CONDITIONS ALREADY SATURATED...ANY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD EASILY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND WORSEN ANY
RIVER FLOODING.
THE BEST CHANCES OF FLOODING WILL COME TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY
ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE BORDERS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. THOSE LOCATED IN LOW-LYING
AREAS OR NEAR STREAMS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
SHOULD WATERS BEGIN TO RISE.
&&
$$
Friday, May 1, 2009
Washout Weekend.
Heavy rain is expected from today to Monday Morning. Rainfall amounts of 2 to isolated amounts as high as 6 to 7 inches may occur from this morning heavy rains that dumped 1 to 3 inches to more rain that is expected tonight and tomorrow. To other periods of heavy rain that are expected from Saturday Night which is Prom Night for many highschoolers to Sunday Night. These heavy rain events could aggravate any flooding issues. The maps from HPC and my own map are from today to Monday Morning.
Remeber that all of West KY is under a Flash Flood Watch so turn around and don't drowm.
Even these heavy rain events could make it to Louisville so it appears that a wet one is in store for the derby.
May 1st overlook and flooding
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
408 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009
...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING STARTING
TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
.ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH A STALLED FRONT
AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE. WITH SOIL CONDITIONS ALREADY SATURATED...
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL COULD EASILY RESULT IN FLASH
FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING.
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-011700-
/O.NEW.KPAH.FF.A.0001.090502T0000Z-090504T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
408 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2009
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
WEST KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA.
* THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FIVE
INCHES WILL BE COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS
HEAVY RAIN FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL COULD LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING. THE BEST CHANCE OF FLOODING WILL BE OVER THE WEEKEND.
HOWEVER...WITH THE FRONT COMING INTO THE HEARTLAND TODAY...SOME
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER
PORTIONS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY... SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND FAR
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.
SMALL STREAMS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.
RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES AND
MAY GO INTO FLOOD THIS WEEKEND. THOSE PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES
SHOULD BE ALERT AND CAREFULLY MONITOR WATER LEVELS.
SOME RIVERS WERE ALREADY IN FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL
ONLY EXACERBATE THE FLOODING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
&&
$$
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