Monday, April 13, 2009

Severe storms possible esp east of the lakes


Some severe storms are possible in West KY today. As a low moves into South Illinois and Central/South Indiana there will be a narrow band of dewpoints in the mid to upper 50's and 1000CAPE. This could allow for supercells to form starting along and east of the Lakes area and move into rest of West/Central KY and Mid TN by around lunchtime.

Storms could with steep lapse rates contain large hail but some storms could produce tornadoes. Due to low confidence on whether the worst storms form in West KY or Central KY only a confidence level on severe storms of 2 will be issued. But if they form they could form large hail, damaging winds, and even maybe a tornado or two.

Still watch this situation even though it is just a slight risk as I posted on the blog.

Timeframes (storm is a little faster than expected)
West KY: 10am-3:15pm
Mid TN: 11:30am-7pm

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