Strong to Severe storms possible Thursday

Strong to severe storms may form into KY and TN Thursday. It is a low confidence forecast right now but will mention more details tomorrow as key of warm front is the main key.

Overview of the March 28th event

Corydon is cleaning up after a EF3 tornado did damage to 60 homes. They are fixing any siren issues, and all picking up the pieces.

From the fierce storms was a challenging forecast. The triple point where a warm air mass, occluded front, and cold front formed was focal point for severe storms in this event in West KY. With an MCS in S GA and FL blocking moisture it was a tough forecast had that MCS not been there conditions may of been much worse. Sunlight and destabilization allowed a narrow band of 750 to 1000 CAPE to form to the triple point, and with great shear and dynamics the storms exploded and started to rotate.

Both tornadoes the EF-1 in Union and the EF-3 in East Union into Henderson county both had tornado warnings in effect for them.

Also several large hail reports and some isolated wind damage reports were also recieved.

NWS PAH track maps

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=23586&source=0

With tornado track maps. From the NWS

EF-1 in Union County

000
NOUS43 KPAH 292148
PNSPAH
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-300000-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
448 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR A EF1 TORNADO THAT OCCURRED IN UNION
COUNTY KENTUCKY...

THE FOLLOWING IS A PRELIMINARY DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR THE UNION
COUNTY KENTUCKY TORNADO THAT OCCURRED NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF MORGANFIELD.

* EVENT DATE - SATURDAY MARCH 28 2009

* EVENT TIME - 423 PM CDT /RADAR ADJUSTED/

* EVENT TYPE - EF1 TORNADO

* EVENT LOCATION - BEGAN 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MORGANFIELD NEAR
MOFFET LAKE AND TRACKED SOUTHEAST 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MORGANFIELD...OR 2 MILES SOUTH OF BOXVILLE JUST NORTH OF PERSIMMON
RIDGE ROAD.

* PEAK WIND - 90 MPH

* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 75 YARDS

* PATH LENGTH - 2.5 MILES

* INJURIES - NONE

* FATALITIES - NONE

* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - TWO CAMPER TRAILERS OVERTURNED. FARM SHED LOST
ROOF. SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

$$
SHANKLIN/HOOPER

EF-3 In Henderson County

000
NOUS43 KPAH 292144
PNSPAH
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-300000-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
444 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR THE EF3 TORNADO THAT STRUCK THE
COMMUNITY OF CORYDON IN HENDERSON COUNTY KENTUCKY...

THE FOLLOWING IS A PRELIMINARY DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR THIS EVENT.

* EVENT DATE - SATURDAY MARCH 28 2009

* EVENT TIME - 443 PM CDT

* EVENT TYPE - EF3 TORNADO

* EVENT LOCATION - BEGAN 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF WAVERLY ALONG
 HWY 141 AND TRACKED NORTHEAST...THROUGH CORYDON AT APPPOXIMATELY
 448 PM...AND ENDED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HENDERSON JUST NORTH OF
 JAROBOE LANE.

* PEAK WIND - 140 MPH

* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 300 YARDS (MAX WIDTH 400 YARDS)

* PATH LENGTH - 12 MILES

* INJURIES - 2

* FATALITIES - NONE

* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THE HENDERSON COUNTY
 EMERGENCY MANAGER...6 HOMES DESTROYED...10 HOMES WITH MAJOR
 DAMAGE...60 HOMES AND BUILDINGS WITH MINOR DAMAGE. SOME VEHICLES
 OVERTURNED AND ONE TRUCK PICKED UP AND THROWN ONE QUARTER MILE.

$$
SHANKLIN/HOOPER

Update on Corydon Damage

http://www.news25.us/dsp_story.cfm?storyid=11916&RequestTimeout=500

One minor injury as a man was hit with a TV set but the injury was minor damage is quiet significant and a state of emergency has been imposed for the town just to the southwest of Henderson KY.

Results of a pretty nasty event

POSSIBLE SURVEY/TORNADO AREAS IN MID TN AND WEST KY SO FAR
HUNTLAND TN
ASHLAND CITY TN
CORYDON KY

Also there hasbeen a report on the Christian/Todd County Line of a semi truck traveling on I-24 of being picked up and lifted from the ground.

Several hailstorms also including one in Owensboro where hail flooded streets and roads.

Corydon KY in Henderson County has some decent damage and will need to be surveyed.

NWS PAH reports.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
630 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0358 PM HAIL 5 S STURGIS 37.47N 87.99W
03/28/2009 E0.75 INCH CRITTENDEN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME-SIZED HAIL 5 MILES SOUTH OF STURGIS.

0413 PM HAIL 5 NW STURGIS 37.60N 88.05W
03/28/2009 M1.00 INCH UNION KY TRAINED SPOTTER

0427 PM HAIL MORGANFIELD 37.68N 87.91W
03/28/2009 E1.00 INCH UNION KY TRAINED SPOTTER

WALL CLOUD 10 MILES WEST NEAR STURGIS. CANNOT VERIFY ANY
ROTATION.

0430 PM HAIL MORGANFIELD 37.68N 87.91W
03/28/2009 M0.75 INCH UNION KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME SIZE HAIL HAS FALLEN FOR THE PAST 15 MINUTES.

0439 PM HAIL LAFAYETTE 36.66N 87.66W
03/28/2009 M1.00 INCH CHRISTIAN KY EMERGENCY MNGR

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG CORYDON 37.79N 87.71W
03/28/2009 HENDERSON KY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

DAMAGE REPORTED FROM ONE END OF TOWN TO THE OTHER ALONG
HIGHWAY 60. ADDITIONAL DAMAGE REPORTED NEAR HOUSE BRIDGE
ROAD. DOT RESPONDING.

0440 PM HAIL DAWSON SPRINGS 37.17N 87.69W
03/28/2009 M0.88 INCH HOPKINS KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

NICKLE SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 109.

0443 PM HAIL HERNDON 36.71N 87.60W
03/28/2009 M1.00 INCH CHRISTIAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

0450 PM HAIL HOPKINSVILLE 36.85N 87.49W
03/28/2009 M1.00 INCH CHRISTIAN KY EMERGENCY MNGR

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG INTERSTATE 24 AT
ASHBERRY CIRCLE.

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG HOPKINSVILLE 36.85N 87.49W
03/28/2009 CHRISTIAN KY CO-OP OBSERVER

DOWNED TREE ON SOUTH END OF TOWN. WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT
59 MPH.

0457 PM HAIL HOPKINSVILLE 36.85N 87.49W
03/28/2009 M1.00 INCH CHRISTIAN KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 41 BY STATE
POLICE.

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E OAK GROVE 36.67N 87.34W
03/28/2009 TODD KY EMERGENCY MNGR

SEMI-TRUCK PICKED UP AND TOSSED NEAR MILE MARKER 88 ON
I-24.

0506 PM FUNNEL CLOUD MADISONVILLE 37.34N 87.51W
03/28/2009 HOPKINS KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORT OF TWO FUNNEL CLOUDS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE
COMMUNITY.

0511 PM FUNNEL CLOUD MADISONVILLE 37.34N 87.51W
03/28/2009 HOPKINS KY TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED ROTATING FUNNEL CLOUD ALONG HIGHWAY 121. PEA
SIZE HAIL REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.

0515 PM HAIL MADISONVILLE 37.34N 87.51W
03/28/2009 M0.88 INCH HOPKINS KY TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKLE SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR EXIT 44 ALONG CARROL
GENTRY ROAD. HAIL LASTED FROM 510 TO 515 PM.

0522 PM TSTM WND DMG APEX 37.10N 87.34W
03/28/2009 CHRISTIAN KY EMERGENCY MNGR

ROOF OF GARAGE DAMAGED. DIME TO NICKLE SIZE HAIL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM.

0522 PM HAIL 2 N ELKTON 36.84N 87.16W
03/28/2009 M0.75 INCH TODD KY TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

0526 PM FUNNEL CLOUD EVANSVILLE 37.98N 87.54W
03/28/2009 VANDERBURGH IN EMERGENCY MNGR

ROTATING FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 164 AND THE LOLYD EXPRESSWAY.

0536 PM HAIL 5 WSW CALHOUN 37.51N 87.34W
03/28/2009 M0.88 INCH MCLEAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

0538 PM TORNADO 7 SW OWENSBORO 37.69N 87.21W
03/28/2009 DAVIESS KY TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL ROPE TORNADO OCCASIONALLY LIFTING OFF THE GROUND
MIDWAY BETWEEN CALHOUN AND OWENSBORO.

0542 PM HAIL CALHOUN 37.54N 87.26W
03/28/2009 M1.00 INCH MCLEAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL. WIND GUST 55 MPH REPORTED WITH THIS
STORM.

0546 PM HAIL CALHOUN 37.54N 87.26W
03/28/2009 M0.88 INCH MCLEAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

0548 PM HAIL NEWBURGH 37.95N 87.40W
03/28/2009 E0.75 INCH WARRICK IN TRAINED SPOTTER

0555 PM FUNNEL CLOUD WEST LOUISVILLE 37.70N 87.29W
03/28/2009 DAVIESS KY TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF 2 ROPE LIKE FUNNEL CLOUDS NEARING THE GROUND.
WINDS ESTIMATED WITH THIS STORM IS 50 TO 60 MPH.

0605 PM HAIL 1 N OWENSBORO 37.77N 87.12W
03/28/2009 M1.00 INCH DAVIESS KY TRAINED SPOTTER

QUATER SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR ARNOLD HIGH SCHOOL.

0615 PM HAIL SE OWENSBORO 37.76N 87.12W
03/28/2009 E1.75 INCH DAVIESS KY TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET AND DITCHES FLOODED ALONG WITH HAIL UP TO GOLF
BALL SIZE IN THE BURLEW BLVD VCTY.


&&

$$

SMITTY

Severe threat about over for West KY

With storms along the Green River the threat of severe weather in West KY should end in about an hour in our eastern counties. After the front passes you will notice a sharply cooler west wind.

Take cover in these areas.

Tornado Warning for Far NE Todd County.

And eastern Mclean and Southern Daviess County till 6:15PM

Take cover in these areas.

Hopkins CO update

Spotters have reported a funnel c loud south of Madisonville if you live in this area take cover right now.

Update severe

Tornado Warnings continue from East of Hopkinsville to parts of Mclean County. if you are under a tornado warning take cover.

If a tornado occurs it will be after the hail hits.

Tornado Warnings for Trigg, Christian area

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
412 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
EAST CENTRAL LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN TRIGG COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 411 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR CADIZ...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
COBB BY 425 PM CDT...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF HAWKINS BY 430 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

DO NOT USE HIGHWAY OVERPASSES FOR SHELTER. OVERPASSES DO NOT PROVIDE
PROTECTION FROM TORNADIC WINDS. VEHICLES STOPPED UNDER BRIDGES BLOCK
TRAFFIC AND PREVENT PEOPLE FROM GETTING OUT OF THE STORM'S PATH AND
TO SHELTER. IF YOU CANNOT DRIVE AWAY FROM THE TORNADO...GET OUT OF
YOUR VEHICLE AND LIE FLAT IN A DITCH AS A LAST RESORT.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

SMITH

T-storm Warning for North Union

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC225-282130-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0035.090328T2108Z-090328T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
408 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 NORTHERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 405 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
 DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14
 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MORGANFIELD...OR NEAR STURGIS...AND MOVING
 NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THE HAIL IS EXPECTED NORTH OF THE CENTER OF
 THE STORM MOVING INTO SOUTHERN UNION COUNTY. SOUTH CENTRAL UNION
 COUNTY REMAINS UNDER A TORNADO WARNING.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
 BRECKINRIDGE CENTER AND MORGANFIELD BY 430 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

LAT...LON 3752 8788 3761 8798 3751 8805 3752 8807
     3758 8813 3765 8815 3774 8797 3780 8785
     3776 8780 3776 8777 3768 8776 3765 8774
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 228DEG 27KT 3751 8804

$$

Sturgis KY area Tornado warning urgent

TORNADO WARNING
KYC055-225-233-282130-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0014.090328T2058Z-090328T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
358 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
 SOUTH CENTRAL UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 SOUTHWESTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 NORTHEAST CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 356 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 12 MILES
 SOUTHWEST OF STURGIS...OR NORTHEAST MARION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
 STURGIS BY 420 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3761 8798 3748 8783 3738 8798 3747 8807
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 218DEG 25KT 3741 8807

$$

Tornado Warning for Marion KY area

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
347 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 347 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR MARION...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MARION BY 355 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

&&

T-storm Warning for NW caldwell and Crittenden county

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC033-055-282115-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0034.090328T2034Z-090328T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
334 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 333 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARION...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF EDDYVILLE...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MARION BY 405 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 8821 3718 8823 3722 8820 3723 8821
3725 8821 3730 8824 3748 8808 3728 8785
3717 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 226DEG 19KT 3720 8821

$$

T-storm Warning for NW Marshall, South Livingston county

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC139-157-282030-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0033.090328T1955Z-090328T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
255 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
 NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 254 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL.  THIS
 STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CALVERT CITY...OR 7 MILES
 NORTHWEST OF BENTON...AND MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
 CALVERT CITY BY 310 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.

&&

LAT...LON 3719 8841 3714 8825 3688 8840 3690 8850
TIME...MOT...LOC 1955Z 198DEG 31KT 3693 8844

$$

Good thoughts

A Tornado Watch is in effect. The main threat here is large hail but with the shear downbursts and isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. The shear may tear up several storms. Still watch out for any warnings that you may get.

Tornado Watch for parts of West KY

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 91
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

TORNADO WATCH 91 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC003-027-031-033-035-047-055-059-061-085-091-101-107-139-141-
143-149-157-177-183-213-219-221-225-227-233-290200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0091.090328T1920Z-090329T0200Z/

KY
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEN                BRECKINRIDGE        BUTLER
CALDWELL             CALLOWAY            CHRISTIAN
CRITTENDEN           DAVIESS             EDMONSON
GRAYSON              HANCOCK             HENDERSON
HOPKINS              LIVINGSTON          LOGAN
LYON                 MARSHALL            MCLEAN
MUHLENBERG           OHIO                SIMPSON
TODD                 TRIGG               UNION
WARREN               WEBSTER
$$

---

Tornado Watch coming soon

SPC said a Tornado Watch is likely with supercells possible. In the next hour. Beware and watch out for severe weather. Large Hail, Damaging Winds, and Isolated Tornadoes are the main threats.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0318.html

Mar 28th

A very uncertain severe weather threat. Evidence is mounting for a bust still a triple point may produce a supercell with hail, wind, and damaging wind potential.

Severe threat March 28th

A complex situation here. A strong low pressure system will move along the Ohio River across parts of West KY. With incredible shear present in this situation. If higher CAPES can reach into the Triple Point than tornadoes are possible esp in the Hopkinsville/Elkton/Cadiz/Greenville. The Main Threat is Large Hail and Damaging Winds.

Advantages
- Great Shear
- Triple point is near or in West KY

Disadvantages
- Timing could come in the morning hours
- Cloud cover and rain could hamper instability
- Moisture may not recover and inflow may be blocked from storms in the Deep South.

All and all this could be an dangerous event even for West KY if things do like they could go.

Another thought

Something that could make the West KY threat more dangerous. Is something called a triple point (cold front, warm front intersection, sometimes with another boundary) may move across the area late tomorrow morning into early afternoon hours. If it can make it into the area say around the 11am-4pm range there may even be an tornado threat if a supercell can form in this triple point. So do watch out for it. This is a low confidence forecast so far but it is defiantly a possible scenario that could increase our severe weather chances for Saturday.

Severe threat/High wind pushed to Saturday

Not as Dangerous As once thought but still a threat for Mid TN

In Mid TN. Isolated Tornadoes are possible along the TN/AL border. For tomorrow night. Large Hail and Damaging Winds for the rest of Mid TN from after 10PM until Saturday.


There could be an enhanced severe threat over SE Mid TN early Saturday Afternoon in which large hail, damaging wind, and isolated tornadoes are possible but it is a low confidence forecast for now.

Update Confidence Levelso

An active weekend system is expected to move across West KY and IL Friday Night though Midday Saturday. Damaging Winds, Large Hail, Locally Heavy Rain, Non Thunderstorm High Gradient Winds are the main threats. The main kicker is moisture in South MS, South AL, and South GA, and FL may cut off some good inflow keeping instability low kinda like during the March 27th 2005 event. If that doesn't happen severe weather can make it to West KY.

Mar 25

Updated Confidence Level Map.

Just click on the map for a larger image.

Locally Heavy Rain tonight

Locally heavy rain amounts of 1 to 3 inches is possible in West KY. Some ponding on low water crossings is possible but expect some rain, lightning, and maybe a brief strong to severe wind gust.

March 23rd Outlook

Some strong to isolated severe storms are possible late this evening into tonight mostly West of the lakes where brief damaging wind gusts can't be ruled out.

Today Non Thunderstorm winds could gust 40 to 50MPH from the south.

Later on a very complex and dangerous system could bring heavy rain and severe weather to Western Kentucky Fri Evening- Early Sat Morning (4PM Friday- 4am Saturday) shear is impressive and instability and moisture return appear pretty sufficient with dew points into the 60's and CAPES over 1000 across pretty much most of West KY. Even areas of 1500 to 2000CAPE can't be ruled out across parts of KY and TN. More later on on this potential severe weather outbreak.

Slight risk of Severe wx from Paducah to Fulton KY West Tommorow.

A slight risk of severe storms tomorrow and early tomorrow night is possible from Paducah to Fulton west. The main threat is brief heavy rain, lightning, and maybe some damaging winds. Will watch it and early tomorrow will have updated confidence level maps. Wind gusts near 35 to 39MPH may also be present with the storm.

Also Fri Night/Saturday we will have to watch another system that could be strong winds, severe weather, and heavy rain.

March 23rd I been kind of slacking

1 year ago a Flood Event

A very sig. and historic flood event occurred in MO,IL, and IN. West KY wasn't hit as hard but still got hit pretty hard. 2 to 6 inches of rain feel in the area with 5 to 6 inches from Arlington KY to Henderson/Owensboro areas. A state of emergency was declared in Henderson county as boat rescues had to occur on the night of March 18th and early March 19th 2008. Parts of US 60 were closed esp in Union and Henderson counties. Main roads in Carlisle County were closed, and Owensboro experienced some major urban and street flooding. Flooding effects occurred though March 21st and minor to moderate flooding of Ohio, Mississippi, and Green Rivers closed some highways and threatened low land homes.

Although not as bad as to the NW about 1 million dollars of damage occurred in West KY.

Great Post by NWS from Flood Awareness Week

000
NOUS44 KOHX 181626
PNSOHX
TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-191200-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1125 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...DAY 3 OF 2009 NATIONAL FLOOD SAFETY AWARENESS WEEK...

YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) INVITES YOUR PARTICIPATION IN
ITS ANNUAL NATIONAL FLOOD SAFETY AWARENESS WEEK...MARCH 16-20 2009.

TODAYS THEME IS FLOODING AND RELATED PHENOMENA. FLOODS OCCUR
NATIONWIDE AND ARE THE DEADLIEST WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN THE
UNITED STATES. FLOODING CAN BE CAUSED BY A VARIETY OF WEATHER
HAZARDS INCLUDING TROPICAL CYCLONES...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS...
THUNDERSTORMS...SNOWMELT...AND DEBRIS FLOWS. THE IMPACTS OF FLOODING
CAN RANGE FROM RIVER FLOODING...TO URBAN FLOODING...TO FLASH
FLOODING. NO MATTER WHAT TYPE OF FLOODING IS OCCURRING IT IS LIFE
THREATENING...SO STAY INFORMED OF DEVELOPING SITUATIONS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION TO AVOID DANGER.

HERE ARE SOME TERMS THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE USES TO CONVEY THE
FLOOD THREAT:

- A FLOOD WATCH OR FLASH FLOOD WATCH INDICATES THAT CONDITIONS ARE
 FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING TO HAPPEN.

- A FLOOD WARNING OR FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS OCCURRING
 OR IMMINENT.

- MINOR FLOODING IS WHEN MINIMAL OR NO PROPERTY DAMAGE IS EXPECTED
 TO OCCUR...BUT THE FLOODING COULD POSSIBLY CAUSE SOME PUBLIC
 THREAT.

- MODERATE FLOODING IS WHEN SOME INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES AND ROADS
 NEAR STREAMS AND RIVERS OCCURS. SOME EVACUATIONS OF PEOPLE OR
 TRANSFERRING PROPERTY TO HIGHER GROUND MAY BE NEEDED.

- MAJOR FLOODING IS WHEN THERE IS EXTENSIVE INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES
 AND ROADS ALONG WITH POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT EVACUATIONS OF PEOPLE
 AND PROPERTY TO HIGHER GROUND.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT AHPS AND FLOOD SAFETY CHECK OUT
THESE HELPFUL LINKS:

WWW.WATER.WEATHER.GOV

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLOODSAFETY/

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NASHVILLE

$$

LAROSA

Back in St Patrick's Day 1892

Memphis and Nashville had a twenty-four hour record snowfall on March 17th 1892. With 17 inches the most ever for Nashville and that still stands today. Train travel and community activities were shut down in a very widespread and wicked late season snowfall. Even West KY more than likely had widespread 10"+ snowfall.

Good luck finding the Four Leaf Clovers in 1892

Happy St. Patrick's Day.

Some locally dense fog again tonight

Some locally dense fog tonight that has been around for a few days could return.

Scary tornado stats this decade across West KY

Map below is of F2/EF 2 or above torandoes this decade in West KY With this being severe weather month I thought I would share with you some pretty alarming trends looking at NCDC and PAH archives about West KY.

Esp. So far this decade. Typically West KY looking at trends from 1950 West KY averages around 4 tornadoes a year of any strength and the chance of those being strong or violent is pretty low.

I heard on radio and on new era that West Ky is one of the most dangerous places in the country for strong to violent tornadoes even beating out some areas of TX, OK, KS, and NE this decade.

Even though we still trail them in overall tornado number a higher percent of our tornadoes we get are F/EF 2 and above. West KY has had to date this decade with 9 more months to go a whooping 105 tornadoes (38 are EF2 or above 37 F/EF2's and 3's and 1 F4)

Daviess and Webster have had 5 EF2 or higher tornadoes since 1/3/2000.

Hopkins and Critteden have had 4 tornadoes so far this decade that were EF2/F2 or above.

Christian, Calloway, and Mclean have had 3 tornadoes so far this decade that were EF2 or above. Other counties had 0 to 2.

Only Hickman, Fulton, Carlisle, McCracken, Graves, and Union counties are the only counties to not of had an EF2/F2 or above tornado so far this decade.

Four Rivers Severe Weather Symposium

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=22595&source=0

NWS PAH is announcing the Four Rivers Severe Weather Symposium. The link above is from the NWS Paducah about the event and the schedule of the events.

It will be hosted in John A. Logan College in Carterville IL just outside of Marion IL.

Talks about the Tri-State Tornado, Nocturnal/Cool Season Tornado Outbreaks, and a lesson learned on Storm Chasing lecture will be available.

It is free of charge but CJ's Bus will be there to accept toy donations. These are donated toys that CJ's bus will give to tornado victims this is a great cause.

Tornado Facts and Maps

^^ Tornadoes in this decade alone so far ^^
^^ Tornadoes from (1950-Present)
- West KY has had 105 out of 216 tornadoes occur in the 2000's alone so far.
- 2003 has had the most tornadoes of any year in West KY history
- Calloway County not only has the overall lead in tornadoes in West KY since 1950 (22), but has also had the most tornadoes since 2000 (11) in West KY.
- Daviess County is second in both tornadoes since 1950 (17) and tornadoes since 2000 (10)
- So far Daviess and Calloway county are in double digits in the number of tornadoes they have received since 2000,but if Crittenden or Webster County receives one more tornado this year they will be in double digits for this decade. Fulton County is the only county in the west ky 22 that has not had a tornado so far this decade.
- Overall Carlisle County has the least amount of tornadoes since 1950 with only one, and that was a brief F-0 with the connection of two outflow boundaries back in Aug 2006.
- These maps and info talk about all tornadoes (F/EF0-F/EF5)
- West KY 22 even going back to the 1800's has not had an F5 tornado yet even though there were a few that occurred close by like the Tri-State Tornado (SE MO, S IL, S IN) and the Bradenburg Tornado in North Central KY during the 1974 Super Outbreak.

Interesting Topic from Kentucky New Era

Link to Hopkinsville's Kentucky New Era

This is a quote from the Kentucky New Era about Tornadoes and why you need to get a noaa weather radio.

http://www. kentuckynewera. com/articles/2009/03/14/news/free/doc49bb2f72dcd25178781145. txt


"By Julia Hunter, New Era Staff Writer
Published: Friday, March 13, 2009 11:40 PM CDT
Meteorologist Rick Shanklin can’t predict what tornado season will look like this year, but he can say with almost certainty that this region will likely see the worst of it.


“We have had among the highest frequency of strong and violent tornadoes this decade than anywhere in the nation,” Shanklin told the New Era in a recent interview.


Shanklin, a Hopkinsville native, works in the National Weather Service’s Paducah office, which covers 58 counties in southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana and western Kentucky.


Although the highest frequency of tornadoes previously occurred near the Great Plains area, commonly referred to as “tornado alley,” Shanklin said that since the turn of the century, the tornado region has shifted east, encompassing western Kentucky.


Shanklin said the peak season for tornadoes is April, May and June, with most occurring in May.


“We average about half of all tornadoes we get year round in those three months,” Shanklin said.


The Paducah Warning Area sees an average of about 22 tornadoes a year, which is about one tornado every three years within a given county, he said.


Of all the counties in the warning area, Calloway, Christian and Hopkins counties are most prone to tornadoes, Shanklin said. Shanklin said the location is favorable because of its geography and proximity to the Gulf of Mexico and Canada.


“Those features can help yield more unstable air mass environments and stronger winds throughout the atmosphere.
”

Still, Shanklin said tornadoes are difficult to predict. As far as he can tell, nothing indicates that the season will produce a particularly large number of storms.


“It only takes one strong weather system to move through the area, though,” he said.


Shanklin said particularly during the next several months it’s important for people to be prepared for these storms.


Shanklin said of the 38 tornado fatalities the Paducah Warning Area has seen in the last 13 years, 34 of them occurred at night.


This is why, he said, it’s important to have a weather radio — and to use it properly.


Kelli Keller’s Happy Hollow Road home was heavily damaged during the April 2006 tornado, said since then her family has upgraded their weather radio. The never turn it off.


“It will wake you up. That’s the point of those,” Keller said.


Martha Marcum lived on Gilkey Lane next to the Sinking Fork Baptist Church in the April 2006 tornado. As soon as she and her husband moved back into their home after two months of repair, they bought a weather radio. They didn’t own one before the storm.


She also said she’s started to watch the weather reports and be much more cautious.


Shanklin said it’s important to have a “designated weather watcher” in each home to keep up with weather reports daily, especially during a tornado watch.


Keller said another thing she learned from the tornado was not to try to out-run it.


“I actually did something that nobody should do,” she said. “I jumped into my car and flew out of (the area). If I would have gone the other direction, I would have driven right into it.
”

Keller said she later discovered that the tornado struck near her home about 20 seconds later.


“Now that it’s happened, I see the power of just weather and natural disasters,” Keller said. “It can destroy everything you’ve got in a matter of seconds and it can take your life.
”

JULIA HUNTER can be reached at 270-887-3262 or by e-mail at jhunter@kentuckynewera.com."

Snow is falling

East of the Lakes and South of West KY Parkway and most of Mid TN snow will continue it may mix with sleet. With heavier bands I wouldn't rule out an inch or two in West KY around Cadiz, Murray, Hopkinsville, Greenville, and Elkton areas over towards Bowling Green.


Also in Mid TN A winter WX Advisory is on till Midnight. Snow north of I-40 could accumulate 1 to 2 inches along with sleet. 1/2 to 1 inch of snow and some minor ice accumulations are possible south of I-40 and the Nashville metro area.

Mar 12

Why does the last March for Winter have to be so complex?

A low confidence event is unfolding. With slight overrunning occurring a system can move across the Mid South. This will cause snow to mix with the rain and even a little sleet and freezing rain. Right now advisories are issued for West TN and parts of West Mid TN as moisture doesn't seem to be abundant in this situation. This is a situation in which the most intense moisture is in the warm sector.


A lot of uncertainties in how much and if any bands of wintry precipitation can form. With models going more northwards and with less moisture in the colder part of the storm.


It appears that accumulations of snow and sleet 1 to 2 inches thick and up to 1/10 inch of ice are possible in the advisory in West TN and NW Mid TN

With up to 1/2 to 1 inch of snow and sleet in West KY south of the West KY Parkway and flurries and light snow showers with probably nothing more than dusting north of that.


In this complex situation big time surprises can happen and Tomorrow we will see if this threat still exists or if a big time surprise occurred.

Special Weather Statement from PAH 3/11 a little snow possible

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
409 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

ILZ088>094-KYZ001>013-015>017-020>022-MOZ086-087-100-107>112-114-
120900-
UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-
HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-
CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-
MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...
ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...
ELKTON...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...
DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...
NEW MADRID
409 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

A SERIES OF MINOR UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEMS WILL STREAM NORTHEAST
OVER THE QUAD STATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IN
RESPONSE...PRECIPITATION MAY DEVELOP NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...WEST KENTUCKY...AND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS
BEGINNING THURSDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE A VERY SHARP NORTHERN
EDGE TO THE PRECIPITATION...WHICH WILL LIKELY BE SOMEWHERE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. ANY PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BEFORE DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOSTLY
SNOW OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND A MIX OF RAIN
AND SNOW OVER WEST KENTUCKY. WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT OR JUST
ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE DAY AND MUCH OF THURSDAY EVENING...THE
SNOW WILL HAVE A HARD TIME ACCUMULATING. AT THIS TIME...ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO AN INCH ARE FORECAST NEAR THE ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE
BORDERS...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FARTHER NORTH.

$$

DRS

Mar 11th Winter isn't over yet.

Slight Risk added to West KY

Mar 10

Webster County EF-1 Tornado Occured.

000
NOUS43 KPAH 092121 CCA
PNSPAH
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-100600-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
409 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

...DAMAGE SURVEY RESULTS FOR WEBSTER COUNTY KENTUCKY EF1 TORNADO...

THE FOLLOWING IS THE FINAL DAMAGE ASSESSMENT FOR THE WEBSTER
COUNTY KENTUCKY EF1 TORNADO.

* EVENT DATE - SUNDAY MARCH 8 2009

* EVENT TIME - 241 PM CDT /RADAR CORRECTED/

* EVENT TYPE - EF1 TORNADO

* EVENT LOCATION - 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DIXON KENTUCKY ON JIM
 VILLINES ROAD.

* PEAK WIND - 95 MPH

* AVERAGE PATH WIDTH - 75 YARDS

* PATH LENGTH - 250 YARDS

* INJURIES - NONE

* FATALITIES - NONE

* DISCUSSION/DAMAGE - THE TORNADO DESTROYED 4 FARM OUTBUILDINGS
 AND ONE GARAGE. A 16 TO 18 FOOT CAMPER WAS ROLLED AND DAMAGED.
 ONE HOUSE HAD STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO AN ATTACHED GARAGE /GARAGE
 PARTIALLY BLOWN OFF OF FOUNDATION/.

$$

STORM DAMAGE SURVEYORS...SHANKLIN/WILSON
REPORT PREPARER...SMITH

Survey today in Hopkins County

I will post the results of the survey that will occur in Mortons Gap in Southern Hopkins County. Yesterday a Tornado Warned storm occurred in the area and damage occurred.

A survey today will determine whether it was a tornado or just damaging winds.

T-storm Warning for Muhlenberg County

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC177-082115-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0028.090308T2048Z-090308T2115Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
348 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 NORTHERN MUHLENBERG COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT.

* AT 347 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
 DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12
 MILES WEST OF GREENVILLE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MADISONVILLE...
 AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
 POWDERLY...
 GREENVILLE...
 CENTRAL CITY...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3717 8732 3719 8732 3722 8736 3731 8738
     3733 8734 3737 8712 3734 8711 3737 8710
     3738 8706 3721 8692
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 261DEG 43KT 3726 8736

$$

These 5 counties Tornado Watch continues till 6PM

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
338 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

KYC035-047-177-219-221-082300-
/O.EXT.KPAH.TO.A.0049.000000T0000Z-090308T2300Z/

TORNADO WATCH 49...PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES

IN WESTERN KENTUCKY

CALLOWAY              CHRISTIAN             MUHLENBERG
TODD                  TRIGG

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CADIZ...ELKTON...GREENVILLE...
HOPKINSVILLE AND MURRAY.

$$

URGENT Tornado Warning for Southern Hopkins County

TORNADO WARNING
KYC107-082100-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0009.090308T2033Z-090308T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
333 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
 SOUTHERN HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT.

* AT 331 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
 SOUTHWEST OF EARLINGTON...OR 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF DAWSON SPRINGS...
 MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH. RADAR INDICATES INCREASINGLY STRONG
 ROTATION WITH THIS STORM MOVING TOWARD MORTONS GAP.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
 EARLINGTON...
 MORTONS GAP...
 NORTONVILLE...

NOW IS THE TIME TO IMPLEMENT YOUR TORNADO PLAN OF ACTION. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS IN A BASEMENT...OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A HOME OR BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3733 8740 3719 8738 3715 8767 3726 8770
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 257DEG 51KT 3721 8759

$$

Hopkins County T-storm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC107-082100-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0027.090308T2017Z-090308T2100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
317 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT.

* AT 313 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
WEST OF DAWSON SPRINGS...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF PRINCETON...AND MOVING
EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAWSON SPRINGS...
EARLINGTON...
MADISONVILLE...
MORTONS GAP...
NORTONVILLE...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3715 8764 3716 8771 3724 8781 3732 8781
3732 8783 3734 8784 3741 8759 3741 8734
3732 8735 3731 8738 3728 8740 3720 8734
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 252DEG 51KT 3722 8778

$$

The Threat for March 8th Update

Even though over time the threat will shift more north some isolated severe should still occur. As always storms could contain lightning and locally heavy rain.

Northern Caldwell T-storm Warning

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC033-082030-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0026.090308T2004Z-090308T2030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
304 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 NORTHERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT.

* AT 300 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
 DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
 FREDONIA...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF EDDYVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 55
 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
 FREDONIA...
 FARMERSVILLE...
 CRESWELL...
 FRYER...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3717 8774 3714 8802 3720 8809 3727 8801
     3736 8783 3732 8786 3732 8782 3723 8781
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 259DEG 47KT 3721 8798

$$

T-storm Warning for parts of Webster, Crittenden, Union, and Hopkins counties

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KYC055-107-225-233-081945-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0025.090308T1913Z-090308T1945Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
213 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 NORTH CENTRAL HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 SOUTHERN UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 NORTHEASTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT.

* AT 209 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
 DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES
 SOUTHWEST OF STURGIS...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF MARION...AND MOVING EAST
 AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
 STURGIS...
 CLAY...
 DIXON...
 PROVIDENCE...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA AS WELL.

LAT...LON 3737 8806 3748 8810 3749 8807 3752 8807
     3755 8810 3759 8753 3757 8752 3738 8750
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 267DEG 50KT 3746 8801

$$

T-Storm Warning for NW Crittenden and NW Livingston County

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ILC069-151-KYC055-139-081915-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0024.
090308T1841Z-090308T1915Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
141 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
CENTRAL POPE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
NORTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 215 PM CDT.


* AT 140 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF GOLCONDA...OR 15
MILES EAST OF VIENNA...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.


* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
GOLCONDA...
ROSICLARE...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA.
IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.


LAT...LON 3746 8870 3759 8816 3757 8814 3737 8806
3729 8864
TIME...MOT...LOC 1841Z 258DEG 46KT 3738 8860

$$

Wind Advisory for West Today

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
144 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009


.STRONG WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON.

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-090000-
/O.NEW.KPAH.WI.Y.0002.090308T1844Z-090309T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
144 PM CDT SUN MAR 8 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG THIS
AFTERNOON...ALONG AND IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSING EAST
THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS WILL AVERAGE 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG AND
IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH SOME GUSTS FROM 40 TO 50
MPH. THIS WIND WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME TREE HANGERS TO BREAK LOSE
AND FALL TO THE GROUND.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE FORECAST.
THE WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. THE STRONG WINDS MAY
CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA PRECAUTIONS.

$$

Strong to Severe Storms coming for West KY

Though 4pm-5pm a line of thunderstorms will move across West KY. Some storms may be strong to severe with damaging winds and large hail in the strongest storms. The best chance of severe storms will be in NW KY. Also a lot of lightning will be possible in these storms the thunderstorm threat should clear the Green River area by 5-6pm timeframe.

A little Update

Squall line with potential for severe storms should be here around the 2pm-5pm timeframe. Hail, Wind, and even isolated tornadoes are possible.

Tornado Watch 49 remains in effect till 4pm.

Severe threat is increasing

From a narrow line from Uniontown to Owensboro north a MDT risk is in the effect. includes cities of Henderson and Owensboro KY

Rest of West KY is under a slight risk.

In the MDT risk Large Hail up to quarter to golfball size, Widespread Damaging Winds in excess of 70MPH and Isolated Tornadoes are possible.

In the Slight risk Large Hail and Damaging Winds are possible.

Mar 8

Slight Risk for March the 8th

There is a slight risk of severe storms for tomorrow. Storm threats include large hail, damaging winds, and even isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out.

Storms should develop as a low pressure system hits the great lakes area. This will move a cold front into TN. This cold front will eventually move back up into the area as a warm front by Monday as the front isn't that strong. We will have to watch this front again Tues/Tues Night.

With this there is enough shear and forcing to develop thunderstorms some as bow echos and supercells for tomorrow afternoon and early evening. Beware of the chance of severe weather with this system.

Mar 9th outlook

March 6th outlook

Warm, Windy, and Dry for 3 days.

Tornado facts from NOAA for KY

"· Kentucky averages around 10 tornadoes per year, however the number each year can vary greatly, for instance in 1997 Kentucky experienced 39 tornadoes.

· Kentucky’s highest chance for a tornado is in the month of April.

· Most tornadoes are rated as EF0 to EF1.

· 80 people on average die each year from tornadoes across the U.S..

· Over 1,500 are injured from tornadoes in an average year.

· Most often tornadoes travel around 30 mph but are capable of going 70 mph or are even capable of standing still."

March is Severe WX Awareness Month in KY.

Week 1- Tornadoes
Week 2- Lightning
Week 3- Flash Flooding
Week 4- Safety and Preparedness.

Nashville WX Links for snow pics

http://nashvillewx.com/

A great link for snow pictures in Southern Middle TN

March Snow Pic for far SW Ky and TN

That is not clouds that is snowcover. Even across areas like Fulton and Hickman KY over to Wingo KY where several inches probably accumulated.