Out of the Blue Severe Thunderstorm Watch 553

From NWS of Paducah.  Bolded are the Western Kentucky Counties.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 553
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2010

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 553 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC001-003-009-031-033-035-047-053-055-057-061-107-139-141-143-
157-169-171-177-183-207-213-219-221-227-010200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0553.100731T1850Z-100801T0200Z/

KY
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR                ALLEN               BARREN
BUTLER               CALDWELL            CALLOWAY
CHRISTIAN            CLINTON             CRITTENDEN
CUMBERLAND           EDMONSON            HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON           LOGAN               LYON
MARSHALL             METCALFE            MONROE
MUHLENBERG           OHIO                RUSSELL
SIMPSON              TODD                TRIGG
WARREN
$$

Lake Day of 3 out of 5 tom. A weak frontal boundary will move though, and spark some scattered showers/storms throughout the day. Not expected to be severe, but could contain vivid lightning.

D1 Drought has entered Western Kentucky.

Drought has entered far Western Kentucky. Fulton, Hickman, Carlisle, and most of Ballard counties are under D1(Moderate Drought). Areas from around New Concord Resort on Kentucky Lake to Dawson Springs to Morganfield Kentucky westward, are not officially in drought, but are D0(abnormally dry), and could go into drought if significant precipitation doesn't occur.

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_state.htm?KY%2CMW

Cool Past Warning Site.

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/

Contains past Severe Thunderstorm/Tornado/Flash Flood Warnings back to 1986. Select your NWS region to get the texts. Remember some counties that are in the Paducah or Nashville CWA today, may of not been in the CWA the entire period. Areas east of the lakes in West KY select NWS Indianapolis for events prior to Feb. 1996.

Everything else winter wx, hurricanes, and others are archived from 2005 on.

Those who do not get isolated storms the next few days will be quite hot. Already 30+ days with temps above 90 this summer. Compared to only around 13 for last year. August could be a top 10 warmest month.

Heat Advisory time this weekend

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
347 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND...

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-231700-
/O.CON.KPAH.HT.Y.0009.100723T1600Z-100725T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
347 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CDT SATURDAY...

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
CDT SATURDAY.

* HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SATURDAY WILL SOAR INTO THE UPPER
 90S...WITH SOME LOCATIONS ACTUALLY REACHING THE CENTURY MARK.
 COMBINED WITH MODEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY...THIS WILL PUSH THE HEAT
 INDEX ABOVE 100 FOR 3 CONSECUTIVE DAYS...AND IN SOME AREAS NEAR
 105 EACH AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE LITTLE RELIEF
 FROM THE HEAT TONIGHT WHEN TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BRIEFLY DROP
 TO NEAR 75.

* THIS PROLONGED HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BE A DANGER...
 ESPECIALLY TO THE YOUNG AND ELDERLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$

DRS

Heat Advisory Weekend

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
829 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

...HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND...

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-230930-
/O.CON.KPAH.HT.Y.0009.100723T1600Z-100725T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
829 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM CDT
SATURDAY...

A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM CDT
SATURDAY.

* HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL APPROACH THE CENTURY
 MARK. COMBINED WITH HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY...THIS WILL PUSH THE
 HEAT INDEX ABOVE 100 FOR 3 CONSECUTIVE DAYS...AND IN SOME AREAS
 NEAR 105 EACH AFTERNOON.

* THIS PROLONGED HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BE A  DANGER...
 ESPECIALLY TO THE YOUNG AND ELDERLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$

Slight Risk today

There is a slight risk of severe weather today, from a Mayfield Kentucky to a Hendersonville Tennessee to a Monterey Tennessee line north. Some of the strongest storms could produce damaging winds.

Confidence Level of 1 out 5 since storms will probably just pulse severe.

Update: a MCS could produce some damaging wind threat across the Henderson/Owensboro within the next 30mins to an hour. Strong to severe storms may move across Webster, Mclean counties in the next few hours.

A Severe Thunderstorm Warning for damaging winds is in effect for Uniontown, Henderson, Owensboro areas.

Slight Risk of Severe tonight for NW KY. A line from Bardwell to Hanson KY north.

Also a Thunderstorm Watch for SW Indiana has been extended into Northwestern Kentucky. Daviess, Union, Henderson, Mclean, and Webster counties till 9pm.

July 18th outlook

Heat Advisory continues today. Heat Index values from 102-107 are expected.

A Heat Advisory Kind of Day

Heat Advisory For West KY(Wed. and Thurs.)

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
332 PM CDT TUE JUL 13 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MAINLY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE QUAD STATE REGION...BRINGING
HOT AND HUMID AIR TO THE REGION. THIS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS HEAT
INDEX VALUES FOR RESIDENTS AND TRAVELERS ALIKE.

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-140930-
/O.NEW.KPAH.HT.Y.0004.100714T1800Z-100716T0100Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
332 PM CDT TUE JUL 13 2010

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE REGION.

* ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...HEAT INDEX VALUES
 WILL MEET OR EXCEED 105 DEGREES OVER ALL OF SOUTHEAST
 MISSOURI...SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST
 KENTUCKY...GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM INTERSTATE 57 AND 24.
 ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105
 DEGREES OR HIGHER WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
 ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST
 KENTUCKY. THE PERIOD OF GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE FROM 1 PM TO 8
 PM CDT EACH DAY.

* WITH LITTLE OR NO SIGNIFICANT WIND EXPECTED THE NEXT TWO
 DAYS...THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BUILD QUICKLY DURING THE
 AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THIS WILL LEAD DANGEROUS
 CONDITIONS FOR THOSE PERSONS THAT MUST BE OUTDOORS. INDIVIDUALS
 SHOULD TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS TO KEEP FROM GETTING OVERHEATED
 AND REMAIN HYDRATED. FOR HEAT SAFETY TIPS...PLEASE REFER TO THE
 LATEST PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
 WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS
EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY
WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE
POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED
ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS.

&&

$$

July 12th overview

Last Night went off with limited severe weather. Still some chance of severe weather today, but like yesterday is not expected to be a great threat. Still watch for hail/wind in the strongest storms.

Western Fulton County is under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 SOUTHEASTERN NEW MADRID COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
 WESTERN FULTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT.

* AT 512 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...
 AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
 NEAR MARSTON...OR 7 MILES EAST OF PORTAGEVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT
 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
 MARSTON...

Scattered storms are starting to form some severe over Middle TN. One strong storm could also go severe over Graves County.

  KYC007-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-120400-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0455.100711T2040Z-100712T0400Z/
 
  KY
  .    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  BALLARD              CALLOWAY            CARLISLE           
  CRITTENDEN           FULTON              GRAVES             
  HICKMAN              LIVINGSTON          LYON               
  MARSHALL             MCCRACKEN        

Well there is the watch

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0455.html

Here it is. It has been out for awhile now. Thunderstorm Watch 455 till 11pm

Check the Mesoscale

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1254.html

A Thunderstorm Watch is looking to be issued for at least portions of Western Kentucky. Damaging winds are possible with lines of thunderstorms.

a july 11th

Lake Day 4 out of 5 tommorrow

I kind of dropped the ball on today's lake day forecast. Overall tom. will be clear, but there be some stray maybe even widely scattered showers/thunderstorms. Because of that will go 4 out of 5 Lake Day for tomorrow July 11th. Still a good lake day, but like today there may be an unpredictable thunderstorm or two.

Some Dry Conditions developing in West KY.

From Drought Monitor. Noaa watches this for possible drought. The D0 you see in the Jackson Purchase region doesn't necessary mean drought, but it was one of the early stages of drought. It does mean some abnormally dry conditions are occurring. Although no one wants rain on the weekend, we could use some rain on the weekdays.

We do get some rain chances this week, scattered summertime thunderstorms will pop up across the areas. Some of these will contain lightning and locally heavy rain.

Meanwhile today is a perfect 5 out of 5 lake day. So get out and enjoy it.

A much better day for the lake for Saturday. Lake Day 5 out of 5.

July Days

Happy 4th of July

Finally a sunny, clear, and dry 4th of July.

5 out of 5 Lake Day. Get out there and enjoy it.

Fourth of July at the Lakes

It is not to late to enjoy Lake Events for this 4th of July. Remember great weather this weekend, although a tad bit, but still dry and nice.

http://www.explorekentuckylake.com/lakesarea/events/fourthofjuly.htm

Some 4th of July Events from the Lakes area. Remember no weather concerns to worry about. Highs will be in the low to mid 90's, and lows around 70. So it will be a tad bit hot, but it will be dry and nice as well.

Great Weather Warning continues again today. 5 out of 5 Lake Day. For Independence Day guess what Great Weather Warning runs though the hoildays. A Great Weather Warning means that wonderful lake, and outdoor weather is occuring as we speak. If your under a Great Weather Warning go out, and enjoy it.

Great Weather Warning

Hurricane Alex landfall

This is a picture from NOAA. Of Alex making landfall just south of El Gato Mexico, or about 110 miles south of Brownsville. Alex was a CAT 2 with 105MPH winds at landfall.

June overview.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=54108&source=0

June was a blowtorch for the area. Both in KY and TN. Precipitation it really ranged from quite wet, to quite dry. Which is a common for the area, due to some areas getting a whole lot of rain from isolated thunderstorms, while others miss those storms,... and don't get a lot of rain.