Monday, February 4, 2008

West KY Mid TN outbreak on Super Tuesday

A severe threat I brought up in past few days in coming to life. I will briefly discuss the threats and slimarties for this event.
Thisi s our biggest threat since OCt 18th some of us biggest threat since April 7th 2006 the Number 1 weather event of 2006.
There could be 3 rounds of severe weather of severe weather tonight and tomm night across West KY and Mid TN.
First Round- (8pm-2am) West KY
This round will start at about 8PM as storms possibily supercells will move along a moist boundary layer from Arkasas to Kentucky and Far west TN. Isolated Tornadoes, Hail, and Damaging Winds appear all possiblie locally heavy rain will also be a problem. This event could set outflows for the next to events to bust out.
Second Round- Whole Area (2pm-7pm)
This round is mostly supercells that will form depending on insatblity with temps in the 70's this time of year that wont be too hard though. Tornado threat a storng tornado threat may occur at this time and the serial derecho may start to line up. Storm motions will be 60-75mph so these storm are fast rockets. If occurs in school listen to teachers and duck down and protect your head no matter if winds and torandoes cause with both ocntaining wind gusts in excess of 90mph it can cause severe damage.
Round 3 (9pm-3am) west KY esp MID TN
This is when the codl front plows though. Derecho event seems likely with damaging winds of 90mph plus with supercells in the line and out ahead. This oculd lead to widespread power outages and a dangeorus night event.
For TN there are taking part in Super Tuesday and important political day. Still get out and vote for TN people but be careful of this risk of storms. Several tornadoes upwards to ef2 or ef3 and damging winds of 90-125mph may be possible.

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