Wild Tuesday MDT Risk

your public severe weather outlook


Public Severe Weather Outlook Print Version ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALLWOUS40 KWNS 291641ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-300045-PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1041 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2008...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER OH ANDMISSISSIPPI VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THEDEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER OHAND MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDENORTHEAST ARKANSASSOUTHERN ILLINOISSOUTHWEST INDIANAWESTERN KENTUCKYSOUTHEAST MISSOURIWESTERN TENNESSEESURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OFSEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPINORTHEASTWARD TO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY.AN INTENSE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD FROM KANSASAND OKLAHOMA TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEY REGION. ASTRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD FROMILLINOIS TO MICHIGAN IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM...AND ANINTENSE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIOVALLEYS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE AREA.LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD FROM TEXAS ANDLOUISIANA TO ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI AS OF LATE MORNING...AND WILLCONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD TO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY BY LATE AFTERNOON INADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. INSTABILITY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT WILLBE RELATIVELY WEAK COMPARED TO MANY SPRING STORM SYSTEMS...BUT ITWILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS IN A BAND ALONG THE COLD FRONT.VERY STRONG WINDS IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE AND STORM MOTIONSEXCEEDING 50 MPH THIS AFTERNOON SUGGEST THAT WIDESPREAD DAMAGINGWINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA THIS AFTERNOONINTO THIS EVENING. EVEN THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BECOME QUITE WEAKBY EARLY TONIGHT...THE THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDSMAY PERSIST WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ALONG THE INTENSE COLDFRONT.THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHERSAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHERRADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY...THOMPSON.. 01/29/2008