Tornado Watch 117 for parts of West KY

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0117.html

 KYC007-039-075-083-105-145-010800-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0117.100501T0205Z-100501T0800Z/
 
  KY
  .    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  BALLARD              CARLISLE            FULTON             
  GRAVES               HICKMAN             MCCRACKEN 

April 30th overview and update

Click to enlarge

Tonight's threat

A MDT risk is now in effect from Hickman KY to Wickliffe KY west. A Slight Risk of Severe weather remains in effect from Murray to Kentucky Lake Dam to Uniontown KY line West. Although the threat of severe will be less than in MO, and Arkansas any long track supercell that forms in SE MO, or NE Arkansas may be able to maintain itself across into the Purchase area of West KY. The Flooding threat may begin late tonight after 3am in Far West Kentucky.

This could be a long night so have you NOAA weather radio on charge esp. if you live from a Wickliffe to Hickman KY line, or west towards Missouri.

Update

Tornadoes reported in Missouri, and Arkansas. North of West Plains, and SW of Clinton Arkansas. Severe storms may move into the purchase area of Western Kentucky tonight. Although they will weaken, they still may be severe west of the lakes.

Prom Weekend Wash Out

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

A lot of rain in the forecast. This is a HPC linl.

April 30 overview

Prom, Spring, Rivers, and Rain

If you now of anyone, or you are going to any prom events, any events in any of our West KY towns, or traveling in around the KY, TN area and surrounding areas a flash flood event is likely.

A call map is below this message.

April 29th overview

Virtual Chase Time

http://www.wxchat.com/index.php?categoryid=1

What to participate in a contest of severe weather.

Try Virtual Chase the contest kicks off tomorrow, and the rules are on this page.

All you got to do is register on this site, and follow the rules.

Can you choose the Right Target Area?

Survey Results for KY and TN.

The surveys are in. First I will post the EF Scale line, for those who don't know what it means on the top.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/faq/tornado/ef-scale.html EF Scale for those who may not know about the ratings.

The first tornado of the decade for Western Kentucky occurred near Pembroke and moved to the Southeast of Pembroke which is near the Christian and Todd County Line. Also a microburst occurred from NE part of Clarksville near Exit 1(the TN part may be surveyed more by the NWS of Nashville) towards Oak Grove, and over towards Trenton in Todd County. Winds up to 90MPH occurred in this microburst. I am thankful that no injuries, or deaths occurred in this event, although there were 2 injuries reported near the Exit 1 area in Montgomery County.

Other tornadoes occurred in Macon County TN(EF-0), Decatur County TN(EF-1), Perry and Humphreys Counties in TN (EF-1).

Overall I am very thankful that we were spared some of the worst storms from this outbreak. My thoughts and prayers are with the families in Mississippi and Alabama as devastating tornadoes occurred in that region. The Yazoo City MS Tornado was rated a very violent EF-4, and was over a mile wide.

Weather wise some cool and showery type days for today, and Tuesday. Then we warm up, and get nice days from Wednesday-Thursday, and maybe Friday. Then we have storm chances for Next Weekend, but it is to early to determine if any storms will be severe or not.

Some Links.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=51404&source=0
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/meg/?n=apr2324severeweather (one of surveys is the Parsons/Bible Hill TN Tornado)
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=ohx&storyid=51374&source=0
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=ohx&storyid=51381&source=0

Overview of the April 24th Storms

The first high risk of the decade, and the year was issued not only locally, but nationwide. As seen from Below. The Storm Reports are below. As you can say I was, along with the SPC had a outbreak of severe weather in the forecast across the area including West KY, and West TN, and Mid TN. High Risk events are quite rare, and only occur one in about a year and a half. The last one was on Super Tuesday 2008, and we all know what happened on that fateful day. If you look at the reports the action was quite limited in Far West KY and NW TN. This is not a bash on the SPC, as they do a great job, and they know more about severe weather than I do. There are a few lessons that could be learned. Besides the High Risk as a whole didn't bust, as there was a brief tornado in Pembroke KY, and a Tornado hit the north outskirts of Parsons TN. Overall storms didn't get as violent as expected in West KY, due to the mass of rain that formed in the early afternoon, this brought down instability, and also the way the storms formed in West KY limited real bad weather. In Mississippi where there was a devastating tornado a supercell formed alone, and was able to survive a long time, because no other storms ran into it, and there was great instability for it to survive. In West KY the instability was kept under 1000, so therefore most storms didn't remain tornadic very long, and nothing really got going bad.

In great shear environments there was enough for a few worthy storms. A big time bow echo developed briefly, along with areas of rotation. This caused 60-72MPH wind gusts across areas east of the lakes with some damage. A brief tornado in Pembroke KY also occurred. A supercell in the line did some wind damage, and produced quarter sized hail from Clarksville to Guthrie. There was siginficant damage to one business, and some damage to homes in the Bible Hill area, into the northern outskirts of Parsons TN that will probably be surveyed. Also at least some wind damage, with funnels in the area (possibly a weak tornado) in the Eastern Sumner/Western Macon County TN area. I will update everyone with any surveys.

Some things to learn:
- High Risk events are not guarantees for severe weather, but it does mean that the setup for a high end tornado event and, or, a big time derecho is there. If everything falls in line as expected a historic event can occur. That if everything falls in line as expected is a key word. Sometimes we don't know how the storms will form, or act even 6 hours before the event. Still if a MDT, and HIGH risk is issued expect at least the potential for some nasty severe storms. In many High Risk areas there is a small portion of it that doesn't quite the severe weather as expected,but usually in the SE US someone gets something significant. this was the case with this one, it doesn't mean the whole thing went bust so if you are in the High Risk in the future beware.
- Heavy Rain before the event can tamper with the instability. It lowers how unstable the atmosphere is, and that limits the amount of inflow a storm can get, which influences how big it becomes, and how long it lasts.
- Sometimes HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE events can produce sig. events. Parsons area tornado of this event was an example, so was the Super Tuesday outbreak. As I found out though the further you get into spring the more instability it does take to get severe weather though. A 500CAPE may work in Feb. but not in May.


I will give updates on any surveys that could be done in TN, and KY.

Please pray for the MS people. As a devastating tornado did hit throughout the central part of the state. Keep them in your thoughts throughout the day and week to come. Sadly that can be a result of a high risk day.

New Tornado Warning for Montgomery County TN, Robertson County TN, Southern Todd counties. This storm can produce golf ball size hail, and a good likelihood of a tornado. If you live in NE Clarksville, Guthrie, Adams, Daysville, Trenton, Allensville take cover right now

Take cover in Clifty KY area, also if you live in West Logan County take cover now

Tornado confirmed in Pembroke KY. Tornado Warning for Todd COunty

Tornado Warning

Tornado Warning for SE Trigg, and Central and Southern Christian County.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=0.193&noclutter=0&ID=PAH&type=N0R&showstorms=99&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=0.193&centerx=-147&centery=43&showlabels=1&rainsnow=1&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ017&warncounty=KYC047&firewxzone=KYZ017&local_place1=Hopkinsville+KY&product1=Severe+Thunderstorm+Warning

More Storms with T-Storm Warnings. Damaging Winds up to 60MPH, and maybe even a brief spinup is possible.

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ005&warncounty=KYC145&firewxzone=KYZ005&local_place1=Paducah+KY&product1=Severe+Thunderstorm+Warning

Watch out in Paducah for storms producing hail, and winds 70MPH+. In a highly sheared environment I wouldn't be surprised to see some of these storms start to rotate.

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pah&wwa=severe%20thunderstorm%20warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Fulton,Hickman Counties. Wind Speeds up to 70MPH are expected in this storm. Clinton, Columbus, and Hickman KY are in the path of this storm.

Warnings for Far NW KY

 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
 EAST CENTRAL SCOTT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
 SOUTHEASTERN ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
 SOUTH CENTRAL PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
 WESTERN BALLARD COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
 NORTHWESTERN CARLISLE COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

WIll it stay bowed out, and become a derecho. 
Or is it just a pulse storm?

PDS Tornado Watch #96

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0096.html

NWS PAH getting kinda ugly.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1156 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2010

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-251700-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1156 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2010

...TORNADO WATCH 94 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT FOR AREAS OF THE
QUAD STATE SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM PINCKNEYVILL TO ELDORADO
ILLINOIS TO MURRAY KENTUCKY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY GENERALLY SOUTH
AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CALHOUN TO MORGANFIELD KENTUCKY TO DEXTER
MISSOURI. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE QUAD STATE REGION A MODERATE RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS. DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...HOWEVER LONG TRACK TORNADOES WITH LARGE HAIL ARE
A GOOD BET...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGH RISK AREA. THIS IS A
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE
SHOULD MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THEIR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY BUT SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SP0TTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO BE ACTIVATED THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

JAP

A High Risk of Severe WX is in effect.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0094.html

This is a PDS Tornado Watch for this area. Includes the cities of Paducah, Murray, Mayfield, Fulton KY.

Tornado Watch 94

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

For the Jackson Purchase area

For West KY and North Mid TN we are probably looking at a serial derecho, or sometype of wind event, but if and that is a big if, if tornadoes can form in this sheared environment they could be strong and long tracked. The best chance for Tornadoes is some of our TN counties.

Tornado Watch is coming

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0370.html

The setup for cells, some could produce destrutive winds, large hail, and tornadoes that could be strong across Western Kentucky late this morning into the afternoon stay tuned for more updates.

April 24th storms

Moderate Risk of Severe Weather is in effect from Paducah to Livermore KY south. North of the Line a slight risk is in effect. Still watch out for the possibility of line segments and a squall line. Discrete Supercells cannot be ruled out. Storms can produce damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes.

April 23rd update.

High Probs on this watch box

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0083.html

Tornado Number 83 until 3 am for these counties

KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
    219-221-240800-
    /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0083.100423T2350Z-100424T0800Z/
   
    KY
    .    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
    BALLARD              CALDWELL            CALLOWAY           
    CARLISLE             CHRISTIAN           CRITTENDEN         
    FULTON               GRAVES              HICKMAN            
    HOPKINS              LIVINGSTON          LYON               
    MARSHALL             MCCRACKEN           MUHLENBERG         
    TODD                 TRIGG              

Mesoscale Possible Watch here

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0355.html

Update

A moderate Risk for Severe Weather is now in effect for all of Western KY, and Middle TN. In a complex situation a cluster of Long Track Supercells, and a MCS will move from Arklatex region to the Arklamiss region. Out ahead of it including West KY and West and Mid TN more storms could form that could produce large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The time-frame should be anywhere from 10AM to 4 PM for West KY, and from 11:30am-7:30PM for Middle TN. towards the end of the time-frame a serial derecho may form.

The danger is if any storm tomorrow can produce a tornado, it can produce a long track tornado. With storm motions of 55 to 75MPH from SW to NE expected there will not be a lot of time to take cover, so if a Tornado Warning is issued take cover immediately.

A conference call is in the works right now, with more details.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/?n=briefs
Link to Conference Call.

Instability will be an issue. Shear, and Moisture return will be sufficient. Some of the Shear measurements are Four Times more than necessary for storm rotation. Instability with CAPE values only being in the 500-1000 range may limit the storms along with LI of only about -2 which isn't that great. Wind Shear, and Moisture Return will allow for storms to develop, and become severe whether it is just another event, or a potentially historic tornado outbreak will decide on if we can get any breaks in clouds, any more instability, where any MCS systems are at.

Complex storm here

A powerful system is currently on the move across the Plains. This system has produced tornadoes already in Colorado, Kansas, and the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandle Region. This storm is expected to drift on to the Northeast in which the threat of severe storms and tornadoes will go along with it.

Western Kentucky and surrounding areas will also get to deal with this storm. For Western Kentucky the stage is setting for a long lived event that could start in after midnight tomorrow night, and go on into the afternoon and early evening hours of Saturday. This means that up to 18 hours of severe weather and heavy rain is possible.

The first round will be later on Friday mostly after might, but an isolated strong to severe storm cannot be ruled out in the late afternoon and early evening hours either, as the forcing and dynamics start to edge into the region. The threat for the most part here will be Large Hail, and maybe a Severe Wind Gust, although tornadoes cannot be totally ruled out the greatest threat on Friday Night will exist to our West.

The complex situation occurs on Saturday. Another low is expected to take over, as the low in IL occludes. This low is expected to move across East Arkansas into Far West KY and into Central Indiana. Along with this strengthening low the forcing, and shear(the change in wind direction or speed with height) will very strong. If sufficient instability can occur? Than a severe weather event is likely, maybe even a Severe Weather Outbreak. If instability struggles to build, and a big moisture sucking Deep South MCS is present, and lingers throughout the afternoon, than the threat will probably be limited to an isolated or scattered wind/hail event, with a brief spin-up possible. Locally heavy rain could also be possible with flooding issues in the heavier storms, along with strong Non-Thunderstorm Winds with gusts up to 45-50MPH.

Stay tuned to further details on this event.

Quick update on April 24th system

Back for an event part 2

Click on map to enlarge.

Back for an event part 1

Back after a 2 week absence of working on college things. We will be tracking now an entertaining system for the weekend.

After a boring start to the year, or the decade we have the potential for action. The next post will go in a little more detail.

T-storm Warning for Christian, Todd, and Southern Muhlenberg. Winds up to 55 to 60MPH in Hopkinsville, Oak Grove, Elkton, Greenville are in the path of this storm.

T-storm Warning for Mclean and Daviess Counties. A 70MPH wind gust was measured at Madisonville. For the rest of West KY strong storms, but non-severe are producing... locally heavy rain, a lot of lightning, and some sub-severe but gusty winds.

Hopkins County T-storm Warning

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Hopkins County in Kentucky. Till 8:45PM A bow echo is shown on radar so damaging winds of 60 to 70MPH could be poss...ible in Earlington, Madisonville, Mortons Gap KY area.

Tornado Watch 61 extended due to precaution

With that due to the precaution of any spinup Tornado Watch extends for The Lakes area up towards Madisonville and the Henderson area.

Line in West KY

It appears that although a brief wind/spinup/threat cannot be ruled out. With the loss of sunlight, and the instability decreasing as you go further east that severe threat will lower the further east you go. That does not mean warnings cannot be issued, and if any warning goes in effect you should heed it.

Tornado Watch number 61

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0061.htmlTornado Watch has been issued for parts of Western Kentucky mostly the northern Purchase, and part of the Western Coal Fields, and Far NW Pennyroyal area. More details after 3.

As I got to go back to class for a short lecture.

April 7th overview

Strong to Severe storms are possible in the afternoon and evening hours. Damaging Winds, Isolated Large Hail, Locally Heavy Rain, and Vivid Lightning are possible threats in the strongest storms.

April 6th update

Overview

HAPPY EASTER

Same post about the Super Outbreak just another year has past.

The Super Outbreak of April 3rd 1974. Deadly tornadoes IN, OH, KY,TN,AL devastated. 6 F5's and 24 F4's

West KY didn't get hit by a tornado but got hit by several storms producing baseball sized hail. Central KY and Mid TN was a different story.

In Middle TN 38 deaths occurred more than the Super Tuesday Outbreak. As a strong 986MB low moved across North IL to Central MI area bringing a strong cold front until the area. A very strong pacific jet along with a gulf jet collided ahead of the strong cold front. Strong Instability, Off the charts shear, lift, and great moisture return were all present. Several F3 and F4 tornadoes hit the area of Mid TN

One of the most damaging tornadoes in Mid TN was Putnam County. A tornado formed around Macedonia. This tornado rapidly booked to the northeast across SE outskirts of Cookeville. It went though the Upper Cumberland Regional Airport before entering the Poplar Grove area. There it crossed I-40 between Rocky Springs and Sand Springs before crossing the north outskirts of Monterey and moving ton Fentress County along the Green Pond and Hanging Limb areas.

One hit in Fentress County NE of a town called Obey City to just Se of Jamestown. In a subdivision to the south of Jamestown 50 homes were completely demolished. 7 deaths occurred

In Pickett County the Moodyville area suffered 5 deaths with houses demolished.

In Livingston TN 2 tornadoes struck the town of Livingston. One of them was an F1 the most devastating one was an F3 that destroyed a good deal of the buildings in the town and killed 3 people.

The most devastating one was an upper end F4 originally an F5 but changed to an upper end F4 in Lincoln and Franklin counties in TN. another F4 hit the same area after the first F4 struck the area causing homes to be destroyed foundation and all. it started around Vantown along AL border. one F4 went into Flintville the other to a mile to the east so after. the town of Lexie TN got hit by two F4's back to back and was devastated. Than one F4 went more NE into the Arnold AFB. into Coffee county. the other smacked into Estill Springs and finally came to rest in Woods Reservoir.

The first one that came from Alabama is the most devastating one and the deadliest Mid TN tornado. Originally it was rated a F5 but upon investigation was changed to a upper end of F4.

April 2nd Tornado Outbreak: 4 years ago

The following image is of a tornado just to the north of Hopkinsville Kentucky on the night of April 2nd 2006.

Today is the third year anniversary of the April 2nd 2006 Tornado Outbreak.

This outbreak features a handful of tornadoes in West KY and West Mid TN, and also a serial derecho across Northwest Kentucky.

A F-3 crossed Christian and Todd counties and impacted the north part of Hopkinsville, and the communities of Allegre and Sinking Fort as well. Around 30 injuries and 38 million dollars of damage occurred in those two counties luckily no fatalities occurred.

A F-1 caused damage across the Camden TN area of Benton County TN.

A brief F-0 tornado touched down in Gage KY on the Ballard/McCracken county line.

Widespread wind damage occurred across Henderson and Owensboro due to a Serial Derecho.

Sadly there were fatalities in West TN, Thankfully Mid TN and West KY got spared that aspect of the event, still hold prayers for some of the victims in Dyer, and Gibson Counties in West TN.

Links for more details.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/?n=apr0206event
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/060402_rpts.html
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/?n=stormsurvey04022006

Tornado Warnings for the Two main Supercells
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2006-O-NEW-KOHX-TO-W-0021
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2006-O-NEW-KPAH-TO-W-0053
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2006-O-NEW-KPAH-TO-W-0054

Red Flag Warning for east of the lakes

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
424 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

.ANOTHER DAY OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ENTRENCHED
OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD.

INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ010>022-021730-
/O.NEW.KPAH.FW.W.0001.100402T1700Z-100402T2300Z/
GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-CRITTENDEN-LYON-
TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-
DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
424 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND PARTS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE
RED FLAG WARNING AREA IS EAST OF KENTUCKY LAKE...AND IT INCLUDES
THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES NATIONAL RECREATION AREA.

BURNING CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO THURSDAY...EXCEPT THAT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER TODAY IN THE WARNING
AREA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 25
PERCENT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 15 MPH IN
OPEN AREAS...WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. FUEL
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN BELOW THE CRITERIA FOR A RED FLAG WARNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE VERY
HIGH FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

YORK