Wednesday, October 8, 2008

MAPS for my Winter 08-09 outlook part I





This forecast has moderate to somewhat low confidence. Due to the SE Ridge. all the cold air in the Arctic, and the ENSO being neutral/weak la nina and not a strong ENSO signal

MAP MEANINGS
TEMP
Below Average- Temp will average at least 1 degree below the mean for the Nov- March period.
Average- Temp will average within 1 degree above or below the mean for the Nov-March period.
Above Average- Temp will average at least 1 degree above the mean for the Nov-March period.

SNOW
Below Average- Snow will average at least 2 inches below normal
Average- Snow will be within the average no more or less than 2 inches from the average
Above Average- Snow will average at least 2 inches above the normal

SO what is Average here is example for Nashville and Paduach. For temps

PADUCAH
Nov. 47.9
Dec. 35.2
Jan. 32.6
Feb. 37.0
Mar. 47.6

NASHVILLE
Means
Nov. 50.0
Dec. 40.5
Jan. 36.2
Feb. 40.4
Mar. 50.2

SNOW AVERAGES ( in inches)
Nashville TN- 9.1
Paducah KY- 10.2
Hopkinsville KY- 9.2
Owensboro KY- 11.9
Evansville IN- 14.2

MY FAV ANALOGS 1950-51, 1976-77, 1989-90, 2000-01

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