Although not a strong or very sig. tornado threat. There may be enough shear and instability to cause some damaging winds in excess of 58MPH and brief tornadoes. Remains of Gustav will run along a cold front that will move though West KY instead of stall. The cold front is powerful but will only drop temperatures a little bit. As it loses its punch moving across west ky. Gustavs last spin and the cold front should lead to our first fall severe wx threat of the year.
Non supercell thunderstorms in a sheared enviorment cant be ruled out with tornadoes and wind a maybe.
An tornado outbreak is not expected and whether West KY gets a tornado or not is a very low confidence prediction. Enough shear and instability may exist from 10am-6pm tomorrow to allow the possibly of a isolated tornado and maybe strong wind also locally heavy rain will be a threat stay tuned for news and radio and media.
I may not because of family and dentist be able to track this. If something happens heed the warnings, but there is also a good chance that we luck out the chance for tornadoes is not great and intense shouldnt be too much of a problem, but up to an EF-1 can cause damage.
So don't panic, but don't ignore tornado warnings if issued. We could have a few tornadoes and wind damage, but also we could not get anything a watch, storm report, or a warning at all.
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
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