New Years outlook

For New Years: Cloudy today, with temperatures from 48 to 50 across West KY. New Years eve to see temps. rise to the 60's even flirt with 70 in SW Mid TN.

Rain and even some thunderstorms could fire New Years Eve night, as everyone is celebrating. These storms will probably not be severe, but some of the strongest storms could contain some dangerous lightning, and locally heavy rains. Temperatures cool down as we go into New Years Day, and fall to average.

Minor Snow Accumulations and Slow Traffic

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ012&warncounty=KYC221&firewxzone=KYZ012&local_place1=9+Miles+SW+Cadiz+KY&product1=Special+Weather+Statement
Minor Snow Accumulations and slow traffic across parts of West KY today.

Some potential for a dusting to 3/4 inch of snow in strongest bands today.

Merry Christmas

Click to enlarge this picture.

Merry Merry Christmas

Merry Christmas Western Kentucky, for those dreaming of a White Christmas, it is not a dream it, is a reality.

So say hello to the first White Christmas since 2004, and Merry Merry Christmas :)

Snow Amounts across PAH County Warning area

000
NWUS53 KPAH 251055
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
455 AM CST SAT DEC 25 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
           ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     SNOW             MOUNT ERIE              38.51N 88.23W
12/24/2010  M2.5 INCH        WAYNE              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SNOW BEGAN AT NOON WITH HEAVY SNOWFALL AT TIME OF
           OBSERVATION.

0428 PM     SNOW             DEXTER                  36.79N 89.96W
12/24/2010  M0.2 INCH        STODDARD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

           ROADS COVERED WITH SLEET AND SNOW AND ARE BECOMING SLICK.


0536 PM     SNOW             MOUNT CARMEL            38.42N 87.77W
12/24/2010  M2.2 INCH        WABASH             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0536 PM     SLEET            10 S POPLAR BLUFF       36.62N 90.41W
12/24/2010  E0.00 INCH       BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SLICK COATING ON CARS AND GRASS.

0638 PM     SNOW             NEWBURGH                37.95N 87.40W
12/24/2010  M1.3 INCH        WARRICK            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

           STREETS IN NEWBURGH WERE SNOW COVERD AND SLUSHY...MAKING
           THEM SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. THIS INCLUDED ROUTES 261, OUTER
           LINCOLN, HIGHWAY 662 AND SECONDARY STREETS IN TOWN AND
           SURROUDING SUBDIVISIONS.

0652 PM     SNOW             BEECH CREEK             37.18N 87.06W
12/24/2010  M3.2 INCH        MUHLENBERG         KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SEVERAL VEHICLES STUCK ON HILLS AND SOME VEHICLES RUNNING
           OFF ROADS.

0659 PM     FREEZING RAIN    7 NW POPLAR BLUFF       36.84N 90.50W
12/24/2010  E0.00 INCH       BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

           FREEZING DRIZZLE MIXED WITH OCCASIONAL VERY LIGHT SNOW.
           DECKS GLAZED OVER. SOME ICE SPOTS ON ROADS. DUSTING OF
           SLEET AND LIGHT SNOW IN POPLAR BLUFF.

0903 PM     SNOW             SESSER                  38.09N 89.05W
12/24/2010  M5.0 INCH        FRANKLIN           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

1026 PM     SNOW             HOPKINSVILLE            36.85N 87.49W
12/24/2010  M3.5 INCH        CHRISTIAN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SNOW STILL FALLING AND ROADS ARE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS.

1030 PM     SNOW             CARRIER MILLS           37.69N 88.63W
12/24/2010  M2.1 INCH        SALINE             IL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

           REPORT FROM SALINE COUNTY E-911.

1030 PM     SNOW             HARRISBURG              37.74N 88.55W
12/24/2010  M2.2 INCH        SALINE             IL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

           REPORT FROM SALINE COUNTY E-911.

1036 PM     SNOW             5 SE BENTON             37.05N 89.50W
12/24/2010  M1.0 INCH        SCOTT              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1050 PM     SNOW             FORT BRANCH             38.25N 87.57W
12/24/2010  M3.0 INCH        GIBSON             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

           APPROXIMATELY 1.4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FELL IN THE LAST TWO
           HOURS.

1104 PM     SNOW             8 SE GREENVILLE         37.12N 87.08W
12/24/2010  M4.5 INCH        MUHLENBERG         KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SNOWFALL REPORT LOCATED 4 MILES WEST OF PENROD KENTUCKY.

1112 PM     SNOW             KEVIL                   37.08N 88.89W
12/24/2010  M3.0 INCH        BALLARD            KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

           REPORT FROM OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE.

1116 PM     SNOW             GRACEY                  36.88N 87.66W
12/24/2010  M3.5 INCH        CHRISTIAN          KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SPOTTER REPORTED THAT TRAFFICE ON ROUTE 68 WAS MOVING
           AROUND 45 MPH. SOME SLICK SPOTS ON AREA ROADS AND SOME
           ROADS WERE COMPLETELY SNOW COVERED.

1130 PM     SNOW             8 ESE GREENVILLE        37.16N 87.04W
12/24/2010  M4.8 INCH        MUHLENBERG         KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SNOWFALL REPORT FROM SPOTTER IN BEECHMONT KENTUCKY AND
           REPRESENTS A 11 1/2 HOUR STORM TOTAL SINCE NOON. AIR
           TEMPERATURE WAS 33 DEGREES.

1144 PM     SNOW             KELLY                   36.95N 87.48W
12/24/2010  M4.0 INCH        CHRISTIAN          KY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

           STORM TOTAL DURING THE PAST EIGHT HOURS. LIGHT SNOW WAS
           STILL FALLING. NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS REPORTED SINCE
           NOON...WITH AT ONE INJURY REPORTED AT THE TIME OF THE
           REPORT.

1159 PM     SNOW             EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
12/24/2010  M3.0 INCH        VANDERBURGH        IN   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

           CALENDAR DAY SNOWFALL FOR EVANSVILLE FOR DECEMBER
           24...2010. OBSERVATION TAKEN AT FIRE STATION AT
           EVANSVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT. THIS SNOWFALL ALSO
           REPRESENTS A NEW RECORD SNOWFALL FOR THIS DATE.

1159 PM     SNOW             PADUCAH                 37.07N 88.64W
12/24/2010  M3.2 INCH        MCCRACKEN          KY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

           CALENDAR DAY SNOWFALL FOR DECEMBER 24...2010. ALSO
           REPRESENTS A RECORD SNOWFALL FOR THAT DATE FOR PADUCAH.

1203 AM     SNOW             NEWBURGH                37.95N 87.40W
12/25/2010  M3.2 INCH        WARRICK            IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

           STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. ROADS SLUSHY AND SNOW COVERED.
           TEMPERATURE 28 DEGREES AT TIME OF REPORT.

1212 AM     SNOW             2 NE MADISONVILLE       37.36N 87.48W
12/25/2010  M2.2 INCH        HOPKINS            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

           MAJOR ROADS PASSABLE. SIDE ROADS SLICK AND SNOW COVERED.

1222 AM     SNOW             OWENSBORO               37.76N 87.12W
12/25/2010  M2.2 INCH        DAVIESS            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SNOWFALL TOTAL SINCE 6 PM CST.

0208 AM     SNOW             NEW HARMONY             38.13N 87.93W
12/25/2010  M6.0 INCH        POSEY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0208 AM     SNOW             POSEYVILLE              38.17N 87.78W
12/25/2010  M6.0 INCH        POSEY              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

           SNOWFALL TOTAL SINCE THE SNOW STARTED AT 1130 AM ON
           12/24/2010.

0436 AM     SNOW             EVANSVILLE              37.98N 87.54W
12/25/2010  M3.0 INCH        VANDERBURGH        IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

           REPORT FROM SPOTTER IN THE ANGEL MOUNDS AREA.

0444 AM     SNOW             MOUNT ERIE              38.51N 88.23W
12/25/2010  M5.0 INCH        WAYNE              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

           APPROXIMATELY 2.5 INCHES FELL IN THE LAST 10 HOURS. ROADS
           ARE SNOW COVERED AND SLICK.


&&

$$

K SMITH

Update: Snow continues across Western Kentucky with several areas received 2+ inches, and some with a good deal more than that. There is a band moving across Western and South Central KY now, and another one in MO/IL associated with the upper level low. Total Snow Accumulations of 2 to 6 inches seem to be plausible to wake up to tomorrow.

Heavier amounts in the local bands.

Winter WX Advisory for Murray,Hopkinsville, Elkton for this event. Around 2 inches total expected.

WPSD-TV

Jhibbs: The McCracken County Sheriff's Department asks drivers to stay off the roads unless it's an emergency. Due to snow accumulation, they are responding to an extremely high number of automobile accidents.

Merry Christmas, snow amounts look on track, some may get a little more than expected in the bands. Merry White Christmas the first since 2004 for most of West KY.

Update from the land of Christmas

The event is really starting to kick off. Snow/Sleet/Rain has all been reported across Western Kentucky. Most areas along and north of the West KY Parkway are still, or about to be snow. Areas south of that are sleet, or a rain/sleet mix, in which a change to all sleet, snow/sleet mix, and snow is likely in the next few hours.

1-3 north of the West KY Parkway, and 0.5 to 1.5 inches south of the West KY Parkway.

Band in Union/Webster County area.

Nice little band in Union/Webster county area, there could be some heavy snow in that area, so beware if your traveling around there through midday.

NWS PAH Update

.UPDATE...
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA IS NOW IN EFFECT VS.
NOT GOING INTO EFFECT AT NOON. SNOW IS SPREADING EAST MUCH MORE
RAPIDLY THAN MODEL DEPICTIONS. THE RUC IS THE CLOSEST...BUT ALL
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS FAILED MISERABLY AT CATCHING ON TO THIS LEAD
WAVE OF PRECIPITATION. 1 TO 2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS HAVE ALREADY
BEEN REPORTED WEST OF THE FARMINGTON AREA...AND THE PRECIPITATION
CONTINUES TO PUSH RAPIDLY EAST INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THE REST OF THE FORECAST MAY
STILL BE SUBJECT TO ADDITIONAL UPDATES...GIVEN THE MUCH FASTER
PROGRESSION OF PRECIPITATION WITH THIS LEAD WAVE.

- Precipitation is depicted on radar in NW KY, and should begin to fall, if it hasn't already.

Merry Christmas Eve

This is Christmas Eve, and here are the latest thoughts. The area in the light blue is under a Winter Weather Advisory by the NWS of Paducah.

Let it Snow, Let it Snow, Let it Snow

- Snow starts on Christmas Eve, later in the afternoon into the evening. By Midnight everyone in Western Kentucky should start to see snow, this should continue on and off at least on Christmas Day.
- Model's are having a hard time, so I just combined what I have seen into a call map.
- Hoping for a White Christmas, and even if we don't have one Merry Christmas Anyway.

The Night before the Night before the Night.

Since the low has trended southward, we are going to be impacted by northern stream energy. As of now a band of 1 to 3 inches is possible across Western Kentucky, with better chances in NW KY, if the EURO is right then all of the energy will go to our south. Confidence is not high in any situation as of now.

Travel issues could occur on Christmas Eve Night, Christmas Day, and if there is enough snow, maybe even the morning of the 26th. Stay Tuned.

Dreaming of a White Christmas

1 to 2 inches across all of West KY, NW Mid TN, Nashville Metro possible during Christmas. Could be even more along the Alabama border, and the Cumberland Plateau depending on how models trend, whether storms phase and how close they are to phasing, and amount of precipitation.

This could change as we are a few days away. Be careful traveling from Christmas Eve to Dec 26th period. Another update by tonight on the system

Christmas Special update

For our Christmas Special the low has trended southward. There are concerns about dry-slotting, how much moisture will be available, and low track. Right now looks like rain changing to sleet to snow, too early for any accumulation forecast. Holiday Travelers beware, of any potential hazards that could occur from Dec 24th-26th. Only a few days till Christmas :)

Christmas System?

For the Christmas storm, I wish I had no idea was an option. Latest models have really trended south(Middle TN friends will love this), with the heaviest precip-possible snow in Middle TN. This was quite a reversal, from previous thoughts, and throws a big wrench into everything.

- Some show potential in West KY, while others to the south. So It will be interesting to watch for sure.

morning update

Precipitation is back to rain for most everyone in West KY and Mid TN. The only exception is around Henderson/Owensboro where a little freezing rain is occurring, and mixing with rain. Most precipitation of any-type should end by 10am

NW KY Winter Storm Warning

Locally Heavier Ice Accumulations of around (0.25 inch) could occur in Henderson, Daviess, and Mclean Counties so a Winter Storm Warning is in effect, 0.05 to 0.15 inch of ice is possible for the rest of Western Kentucky.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
139 PM CST WED DEC 15 2010

INZ081-082-086>088-KYZ018>020-160345-
/O.UPG.KPAH.WW.Y.0010.101215T2100Z-101216T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPAH.WS.W.0005.101215T2100Z-101216T1500Z/
GIBSON-PIKE-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...EVANSVILLE...
BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN
139 PM CST WED DEC 15 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
9 AM CST THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND NORTHWEST
KENTUCKY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...AREAS OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP BY THE
END OF THE DAY. TONIGHT...MAINLY FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH
SOME SLEET POSSIBLE AS WELL.

* MAIN IMPACT...AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH SLIGHTLY GREATER AMOUNTS
OF ICING POSSIBLE FROM PETERSBURG TO ROCKPORT INDIANA. SOME
SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

* OTHER IMPACTS...IMPACT TO TREES AND POWER LINES IS EXPECTED TO
BE FAIRLY LOW...BUT SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
TRAVEL IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT...ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY OR
LESSER TRAVELED ROADS...AND ON UNTREATED SURFACES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH EITHER SLEET OR SNOW. TONIGHTS EVENT SHOULD
BE MAINLY FREEZING RAIN...BUT OCCASIONAL SLEET MAY OCCUR AS WELL.
IF YOU MUST TRAVEL TONIGHT...USE EXTREME CAUTION. ROAD CONDITIONS
COULD BECOME VERY DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

update

Like many overrunning events in this part of the nation, we are on the fence. I think you should start to see a trend towards West TN, West Mid TN, and West KY of increasing precipitation with that Arkansas low. It may take another hour or two to saturate the atmosphere, so it may not begin till 4 to 5 for some people. At about 9 to 10pm for Southern portions of TN, and Midnight, 1am-3am for portions of Central Kentucky, and NE Mid TN, but it is hard to pindown the changeover. This will determine whether you have areas of .15 to .30 of ice, or just a few hundredths of ice before changing to rain.

Watch out SW KY, some icing has been reported from a freezing rain shower, back in Lake County TN from the Tennessee Weather Forum. This is heading towards Hickman/Fulton/Mayfield KY areas.

Little Ice on a Foggy Window Pane

Update

For Western KY- up to .1 inch of ice expected from 2pm-midnight. By 1am most everyone except for areas near Evansville IN area will be rain or about to change to rain. NW KY could pick up .15 inch of ice. Same for Mid TN except for those NE counties under a Winter Storm Warning that could pick up .25 or a little bit more of ice, along with minor snow/sleet accumulation.

Some Ice in the future window.

- Precipitation starts at noon in SW KY, and by 3pm most of Western KY should get the leading edge of precipitation.
- This should start as snow briefly, then change to sleet, the change to freezing rain.

By Midnight KY/TN border counties should change to rain, and by 6am it should change to rain along Western Kentucky Parkway, and end as 9am. A little uncertainity on how quick the warm air gets there.

- As of now expect about a few hundredths to an tenth of an inch in SW KY, Purchase area, and KY/TN border area(locally more in the Southern Pennryle). Up to .10 to .19 inch of ice, with half inch of snow and sleet in NW KY closer to Evansville.

- Although Significant icing isn't expected, travel issues tomorrow afternoon/evening, overnight, and even into the morning will be hazardous.

Winter Weather Advisory coming

For Western Kentucky and NW Mid TN. A little snow or sleet to begin, then you change to freezing rain(about .10 to .20 inch of ice) then end as rain by Midnight for KY/TN border area, and NW Mid TN, end by 3 am along with the Western KY Parkway, then taper off for later Thursday Morning as rain for pretty much everyone.

Winter Weather Advisory will now be issued for all of Western Kentucky.

Dec 14th update

Details later today

Winter Storm Watch for areas from the Lakes eastward.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
411 AM CST TUE DEC 14 2010

...SIGNIFICANT ICING POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN
TENNESSEE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD AHEAD
OF THIS SYSTEM...CAUSING SNOW AND SLEET TO TRANSITION TO FREEZING
RAIN BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ010>022-141815-
/O.NEW.KPAH.WS.A.0005.101215T2100Z-101216T1500Z/
GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-CRITTENDEN-LYON-
TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-
DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...
PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...
HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON
411 AM CST TUE DEC 14 2010

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

* THIS WINTER STORM WATCH INCLUDES SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND THE
 PENNYRILE REGION OF WESTERN KENTUCKY.

* TIMING...AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET WILL OVERSPREAD THE WATCH
 AREA WEDNESDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE STEADIEST AND HEAVIEST
 WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHEN ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF GLAZE
 COULD ACCRUE ON EXPOSED SURFACES. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY
 CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN FOR A WHILE NEAR THE TENNESSEE STATE LINE.
 ALL THE PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL COME TO AN END ON THURSDAY MORNING.

* MAIN IMPACT... ROADWAYS WILL BECOME ICY BY WEDNESDAY
 EVENING...RESULTING IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

* OTHER IMPACTS... SOME ICING OF TREES AND POWER LINES IS
 EXPECTED...POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
 HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE ARE NOT
 EXPECTED.

* CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE AMOUNT AND TYPE OF
 PRECIPITATION. THE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED TO ALERT THE PUBLIC TO
 THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT WINTER PRECIPITATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

MY