NWS PAH Snow Map

Help explains where the snow fell during this past event. Still Watching the Wednesday-Early Thursday event. Confidence Level of 2 out of 5 for that one.

Wedensday-Thursday System

Looks like for West KY at least at this juncture is snow changing to sleet which will change to freezing rain, areas in NW KY may stay wintry the whole way through, while SW and South Central KY goes to rain before it ends.

Still some uncertainties on how much we get of each type of precipitation, or how much overall precipitation there will be. So it remains to be watched.

Overview of our Recent Winter Blast.

^^ Mile Marker 7 Paducah KY, notice the shine on the roads, is really Ice, so be careful if you have to travel.^^

^^ US 41 at the KY/TN Stateline. Looking towards Kentucky notice some slick spots on the road^^.

Overall most of Western KY received 1 to 3(locally even 4 inches of snow) for our first widespread snow of the winter. This is also the most widespread a December snowstorm has been since the great Dec. 22nd-23rd snowstorm. Blowing winds of 30 to 40MPH caused some areas to have drifts near a foot, and caused snow to blow on to the roads. Wind Chills of Zero to -10 are possible till Noon. Windchills could drop again to 0 to -5 or even -10 Tonight, with lows well into the Single Digits due to widespread snowcover

Last storm update

For Weather: For Western Kentucky, and probably NW Mid TN soon the accumulating stuff should start to dissipate, and clear out by 8 or 9pm. Storm should end up around 1 to 3 inches across NW Mid TN and Western KY. Eastern Mid TN and the Plateau will be the focus overnight, into early tomorrow.

Advisory Update

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pah&wwa=winter+weather+advisory
Advisory still for Western Kentucky till 6pm, so is heaviest from lakes eastward, starting to taper off West of the Lakes, minor accumulation still possible east of the lakes till 9 or 10pm.

0130 PM     SNOW             MURRAY                  36.61N 88.32W
12/12/2010  M2.0 INCH        CALLOWAY           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

Updated

1210 PM     SNOW             5 E FULTON              36.51N 88.79W
12/12/2010  M2.7 INCH        GRAVES             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

- I just measured a half inch in Hopkinsville KY just a little bit ago. Widespread
snows are spreading across Western Kentucky.

- Bands with locally heavy snow are present in Western Graves County,
and from Paducah to Calvert City to Murray KY. An heavier band may
be about to form from Union County into Hopkins and Christian County
as well.

recent Snowfall amounts

1000 AM     SNOW             WEST PADUCAH            37.08N 88.74W
12/12/2010  M1.5 INCH        MCCRACKEN          KY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1030 AM     SNOW             2 SW LONE OAK           37.02N 88.69W
12/12/2010  M2.0 INCH        MCCRACKEN          KY   NWS EMPLOYEE

for West KY east of the Lakes, South Central KY, and a good deal of Middle TN, the bands are increasing, looking over at Livingston/Crittenden Counties in KY, the two along the Ohio River east of Paducah, you can see a nice band. This is part of the band that produced 4 inch snow amounts in Southern Illinois. We will need to watch that as it creeps ESE or SE. Some blowing snow bursts likely in those heavier bands.

Link for KY Transportion Department

http://511.ky.gov/kyhb/main.jsf

Conditions now

Now: Scattered bands of snow, and snow showers are moving across Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee. Blowing snow is an issue, and slick spots are developing on roads so use caution when traveling. Snow-showers and bands should continue throughout the day, and taper down to flurries by the overnight hours for most, except the Plateau.

Locally snow amounts of up to an inch could fall from Paducah to Mayfield, due to an heavy band in the area. Blowing snow is an issue.

Winter Safety Link

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/pah/pdf/winterweathersafety.pdf

Dec 12th update

Click to Enlarge

Morning roundup

Not much changed.

Throughout the morning expect snow showers to start, and continue throughout the day.

* 1 inch for most of West KY west of the Lakes, and 1-2 East of the Lakes
* Wind Chills fall to single digits today
* Wind gusts of 35 to 45mph could create blowing of snow
* Monday Morning, and Tuesday morning will feature even with limited snowcover below zero windchills.

Updated Winter WX Advisory Statement from Paducah.

000
WWUS43 KPAH 121043
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
443 AM CST SUN DEC 12 2010

...FIRST BOUT OF REAL WINTRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TODAY...

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ003>022-121800-
/O.CON.KPAH.WW.Y.0008.101212T1200Z-101213T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-
MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-
HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...
PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...
EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...
MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...
GREENVILLE...ELKTON
443 AM CST SUN DEC 12 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING.

* LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD
 ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS EARLY THIS MORNING. IT IS EXPECTED TO
 GRADUALLY EXPAND AND SHIFT EASTWARD INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY AND
 SOUTHWEST INDIANA DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOW
 WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW
 SHOWERS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE PENNYRILE AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA
 THIS EVENING BUT THE BULK OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS WILL OCCUR
 DURING THE DAY.

* WITH TEMPERATURES ALREADY IN THE 20S EARLY THIS MORNING...THE
 SNOW SHOULD HAVE LITTLE DIFFICULTY ACCUMULATING ON MOST SURFACES
 INCLUDING ROADS. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED GENERALLY
 NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM MURPHYSBORO ILLINOIS TO MAYFIELD
 KENTUCKY. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST
 INDIANA AND THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY.

* WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THE SNOW BEGINS.
 SUSTAINED SPEEDS 20 TO 35 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED...WHILE GUSTS
 COULD REACH AS HIGHS AS 45 MPH AT TIMES. THE STRONG WINDS MAY
 RESULT IN SOME BLOWING SNOW WHICH COMBINED WITH THE LIGHT TO
 MODERATE SNOWFALL COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES.
 TRAVEL WILL BECOME POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TODAY. WIND CHILL
 TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO THROUGH
 THE DAY...AND WILL GENERALLY FALL THROUGH THE DAY AT ANY GIVEN
 LOCATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

DRS

Last update for the night.

Click to enlarge. Will update in the morning

Breaking Weather News: A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for much of Western Kentucky, with the exception of the far SW part. 1 to 2 inches of snow is expected Sunday, along with 30-40MPH winds, which could cause blowing and drifting of snowfall, windchill values start to get very low starting Sunday.

Dec. 11th-12th event update

Overview of the Eye of December

A high bust potential for the forecast. Here is what it is starting to look like for post-frontal snow chances.
Clarksville TN: 1 inch to 1.5 inches
Nashville TN: Around 1 inch
Lawrenceburg TN: Half inch to 1 inch
Hopkinsville KY: Half inch to 1 inch
Henderson KY: Around 1 inch
Cookeville TN: Around 2 inches
Jamestown TN: 2 to 4 inches
Crossville TN: 2 to 3.5 inches
Altamont TN: 1 to 1.5 inches

These predictions are based on model runs, NWS thoughts, and past events. This is post-frontal so this has a high bust potential. A Half inch to inch of rain is expected, before we changeover to snow overnight. Far Western Kentucky(Paducah,Mayfield) look to only receive a dusting to half inch amounts

Update

- The low has trended northward.
- A little weaker, but still pretty dynamic.

* Rain fall amounts starting early tomorrow, should amount to about an half inch to an inch.
* Some snow will mix in after midnight, and into Sunday, before changing to all snow.

There is some uncertainty in to how much post-frontal moisture will remain for snow. Right now a dusting to an inch for NE parts of Western KY, and a few flurries to an half-inch for everyone else seems reasonable. With temperatures dropping, black ice could be a concern.

- Wind Chill Values Sunday Afternoon, and esp. Monday and Tuesday Morning could be an concern, with some Wind Chill values of 0 to -5 possible esp closer to Henderson/Owensboro on Monday and Tuesday Morning.

The 3 Low Flavors

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=60847&source=0

Shows lows for this weekend system
- Northern track is mostly rain to maybe an dusting to half inch at best at the end
- Middle Track is rain changing to maybe an dusting to half inch from Murray to Hopkinsville, with maybe an inch in Northwest KY
- Southern track is more wintry then the other two for all of Western Kentucky.

Right now will wait and see, and see where this trends.

December Ol December Weather

- It will warm to just above freezing today
- Drop down into the Teen's tonight, but Tomorrow should start the warming trend.

Friday-Sunday is interesting, a storm could impact us. For now will go with mostly rain for all of Western Kentucky that will eventually change over to Snow late Saturday Night/Sunday. How much moisture is left over when this occurs, is a big uncertainty. If a more southern track of the low verifies, and there is still some moisture on the back side of this system, then some snow accumulations are possible. If a more northern track occurs, it will be mostly rain, with only tapering light snow showers at the end.

Regardless it will get quite cold Next Week, with lows in the Single Digits and highs barely reaching the 20's a good possibility.

Since Facebook has that number game everyone is playing, here are Western Kentucky's Current Numbers.

#14 how cold it is in Hopkinsville KY, #11 how cold it is in Henderson KY, #16 how cold it is in Murray KY.

More Cold

Today was certainty a cold one, and some areas even got light snow accumulation.

Overview
* Lows in the Teen's and Highs struggling to get to Freezing today, and again Wednesday.
* Warm up Friday and Saturday out ahead of the system well into the 50's maybe warmer depending on the strength of the system.
* This system is one to watch will start as rain, but may or may not stay that way. Depending on the track rain could change to snow, or it could be rain, with only a chance of a flurry or light snow shower at the end.
* The map above is a predicted Euro Run for Next Week, this system will be air even colder than what it is this week.

- Will continue to follow the system, and the cold air.

Slick spots in NW KY

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pah&wwa=special%20weather%20statement

Happy December

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_state.htm?KY,MW

Happy December
- Drought Monitor has improved(but we could still use some rain) Good thing is this winter should be wet, so by early Spring hopefully we will see the drought go bye-bye.
- Colder this week, and next week, powerful cold front should usher in some pretty chilly weather.
- Chance of rain mixing in with flurries this weekend, Minor Snow Accumulations are possible from Central Indiana, and possibility the Bluegrass area of Kentucky, but the fun stuff should miss Western Kentucky.
- A Strong -NAO could keep us on the cool-cold side for the next seven days at least. With a little moderation this weekend.

Cold front as of now is just east of Mayfield to Dixon to Owensboro. Owensboro is under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. Mayfield and Paducah are already in the 40's.

HAPPY THANKSGIVING