Saturday, April 3, 2010

Same post about the Super Outbreak just another year has past.

The Super Outbreak of April 3rd 1974. Deadly tornadoes IN, OH, KY,TN,AL devastated. 6 F5's and 24 F4's

West KY didn't get hit by a tornado but got hit by several storms producing baseball sized hail. Central KY and Mid TN was a different story.

In Middle TN 38 deaths occurred more than the Super Tuesday Outbreak. As a strong 986MB low moved across North IL to Central MI area bringing a strong cold front until the area. A very strong pacific jet along with a gulf jet collided ahead of the strong cold front. Strong Instability, Off the charts shear, lift, and great moisture return were all present. Several F3 and F4 tornadoes hit the area of Mid TN

One of the most damaging tornadoes in Mid TN was Putnam County. A tornado formed around Macedonia. This tornado rapidly booked to the northeast across SE outskirts of Cookeville. It went though the Upper Cumberland Regional Airport before entering the Poplar Grove area. There it crossed I-40 between Rocky Springs and Sand Springs before crossing the north outskirts of Monterey and moving ton Fentress County along the Green Pond and Hanging Limb areas.

One hit in Fentress County NE of a town called Obey City to just Se of Jamestown. In a subdivision to the south of Jamestown 50 homes were completely demolished. 7 deaths occurred

In Pickett County the Moodyville area suffered 5 deaths with houses demolished.

In Livingston TN 2 tornadoes struck the town of Livingston. One of them was an F1 the most devastating one was an F3 that destroyed a good deal of the buildings in the town and killed 3 people.

The most devastating one was an upper end F4 originally an F5 but changed to an upper end F4 in Lincoln and Franklin counties in TN. another F4 hit the same area after the first F4 struck the area causing homes to be destroyed foundation and all. it started around Vantown along AL border. one F4 went into Flintville the other to a mile to the east so after. the town of Lexie TN got hit by two F4's back to back and was devastated. Than one F4 went more NE into the Arnold AFB. into Coffee county. the other smacked into Estill Springs and finally came to rest in Woods Reservoir.

The first one that came from Alabama is the most devastating one and the deadliest Mid TN tornado. Originally it was rated a F5 but upon investigation was changed to a upper end of F4.

Friday, April 2, 2010

April 2nd Tornado Outbreak: 4 years ago

The following image is of a tornado just to the north of Hopkinsville Kentucky on the night of April 2nd 2006.

Today is the third year anniversary of the April 2nd 2006 Tornado Outbreak.

This outbreak features a handful of tornadoes in West KY and West Mid TN, and also a serial derecho across Northwest Kentucky.

A F-3 crossed Christian and Todd counties and impacted the north part of Hopkinsville, and the communities of Allegre and Sinking Fort as well. Around 30 injuries and 38 million dollars of damage occurred in those two counties luckily no fatalities occurred.

A F-1 caused damage across the Camden TN area of Benton County TN.

A brief F-0 tornado touched down in Gage KY on the Ballard/McCracken county line.

Widespread wind damage occurred across Henderson and Owensboro due to a Serial Derecho.

Sadly there were fatalities in West TN, Thankfully Mid TN and West KY got spared that aspect of the event, still hold prayers for some of the victims in Dyer, and Gibson Counties in West TN.

Links for more details.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/?n=apr0206event
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/060402_rpts.html
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/?n=stormsurvey04022006

Tornado Warnings for the Two main Supercells
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2006-O-NEW-KOHX-TO-W-0021
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2006-O-NEW-KPAH-TO-W-0053
http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/vtec/#2006-O-NEW-KPAH-TO-W-0054

Red Flag Warning for east of the lakes

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
424 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

.ANOTHER DAY OF GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ENTRENCHED
OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD.

INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ010>022-021730-
/O.NEW.KPAH.FW.W.0001.100402T1700Z-100402T2300Z/
GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-CRITTENDEN-LYON-
TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-
DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
424 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND PARTS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE
RED FLAG WARNING AREA IS EAST OF KENTUCKY LAKE...AND IT INCLUDES
THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES NATIONAL RECREATION AREA.

BURNING CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO THURSDAY...EXCEPT THAT
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER TODAY IN THE WARNING
AREA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 25
PERCENT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 15 MPH IN
OPEN AREAS...WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. FUEL
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN BELOW THE CRITERIA FOR A RED FLAG WARNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE VERY
HIGH FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

YORK

Monday, March 29, 2010

College is cranking

If you noticed the lack of posts this month it is due to college. In April unless a serious weather event, or a watch or warning gets issued there may not be a lot of posts. Don't worry, I will still be on top of any severe weather that may occur on April, and post it on here.

April severe predictions

Although just for fun, due to the fading el nino, and the subtropical jet this is my fun prediction for April severe weather. The gulf should finally start to be open for business in April, and cause severe weather in the Southern portion of the US from Eastern New Mexico to areas along and south of I-40 in Arkansas and TN and the gulf coast states, and the Carolinas. Severe weather may head into North Mid TN and West KY west towards Kansas later in the month, but of course it is way too far to judge in Late April.

Thursday, March 25, 2010

The watch has been canceled. 35 mph gusts are possible in West KY throughout tonight as the low moves though.

Thunderstorm Watch 35 for sw KY and West Mid TN

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0035.html

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Four Leaf Clovers got buried in 1892.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=ohx&storyid=45231&source=0

On this date in 1892 Mid TN was buried in snow. Good luck finding the four leaf clovers. The powerful nature of the system also caused several inches of snow to be reported into West KY as well.

Friday, March 12, 2010

NWS PAH special weather statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
157 PM CST FRI MAR 12 2010

KYZ008-009-011-012-122045-
LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-TRIGG KY-CALLOWAY KY-
157 PM CST FRI MAR 12 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

AT 150 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SHOWER WITH HAIL. THIS SHOWER WAS LOCATED NEAR HARDIN...MOVING EAST
TO NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS SHOWER MAY PRODUCE A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER AND HAIL UP TO
DIME SIZE AS IT MOVES ACROSS KENTUCKY LAKE NEAR FAIRDEALING
AND AURORA THROUGH 230 PM. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS
THE TRACE IN THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES AREA...NEAR ENERGY AS
WELL.

THIS STORM PRODUCED DIME SIZE HAIL IN HARDIN FROM AROUND 140 TO 145
PM.

FARTHER NORTH IN MARSHALL COUNTY...SIMILAR CONDITIONS MAY EXIST AS A
BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVES THROUGH. THIS AREA
WILL PASS ACROSS THE NORTHERN END OF THE LAKES AREA...AND AFFECT THE
CALVERT CITY...AND GRAND RIVERS AREAS.

$$

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Tonight's update for tonight and tomm.

Click on the map to enlarge.

Tornado Watch 27 for 4 counties in West KY

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 27
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010

TORNADO WATCH 27 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC007-039-075-105-110800-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0027.100311T0150Z-100311T0800Z/

KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALLARD CARLISLE FULTON
HICKMAN
$$

Mesoscale Discussion watch out for SW KY

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0173.html

Some supercells could form in SW KY.

I still think the main threat will be wind or hail with the strongest storms, but if a super-cell can get organized an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out in SW KY, but the main threat if any severe storms form will be wind, hail, and lightning.

March 10th Slight Risk

Click to enlarge the image.

Most of the Western Kentucky threat if not all of it should occur after 11PM.

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Watch out due to dry vegetation, and debris the fire danger could be elevated. So beware of that threat. Some small fires have broken out over the weekend due to this.

Warmth continues some thunderstorms

Temps will warm into the upper 60's and lower 70's for tomorrow. Slight chance of rain, but the bigger chance of rain and thunderstorms will be tomorrow night into Thursday. Some storms may be strong across Fulton, Graves, and Hickman county, but no widespread strong to severe storm threat is expected.

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Something I posted on Facebook

A nice post I have been following over at the Tennessee Weather Forum, and also in other weather forums like Talkweather, and such has brought an interesting question to the surface. How can people be so interested and so pumped up about severe weather which causes billions of dollars of damage, kills (60 a year people with Tornadoes and straight line winds), and over 60 with lightning, not including flash flood death tolls from any flooding threat that may occur during the severe event. It is an interesting question and on this little not thing I will try to give my answer.

First of all it is important to know that within the community of spotters, and chasers, meteorologists and weather lovers, that nobody wants to see total destruction, and or death and injuries. We all love our severe storms, and we love to track them on radar, or chase them in live time, but for people who have any type empathy including the weather people seeing a tornado tear up a town, or a derecho producing 100+MPH winds go though a metropolitan areal makes your heart sink. In matter of fact many chasers will tell you that they like there tornadoes in rural areas with no structures, and people around, and very little chance of any type of damage to occur.

The thrill of severe weather comes not from the destruction of people and places, but from the awe of what can happen when Weather is behaving badly. We as humans are always interested in the unknown, and there is still a lot of an unknown factor in severe weather. We might have 14 minute lead times on tornado warnings, and be able to call a potential High Risk Day out 3 or 4 days in advance, but there is still so much to learn about severe weather. Some severe weather days don't pan out, or you have very early November,6th, 2005 where the activity overachieves. I think it is a God given ability to humans, to be curious about the unknown. This is the same reason several humans are into Space, and Philosophy, and things of that nature. With tornadoes it is the same way, we tend to stare at tornadoes with wonder, and look at videos of past tornado outbreaks, and bring up dates like 3/18/1925, 4/3/1974, 4/2 and 4/7 2006, and 2/5 and 2/6/2008.

It is painful for many people including myself to think back about some of the disasters that occurred on the dates that have been listed above, but it is part of life as we know it. We have to go though the tornadoes, and the severe weather days to learn about it, and help prepare for it so that less life will be lost, less injury occurs, and less property will need to be destroyed. We have to in any tragedy not just weather related. have to pick up the pieces, pray, and hope for a better day.

The sad part of tornadoes isn't going to stop me from tracking storms, or hopefully one day chasing them. Instead it will help me realize that in life everything can change in a blink of an eye. Just like on Super Tuesday Outbreak of 2008 when it was 76 degrees in February, and we were hanging out in the classroom that afternoon wondering about how beautiful it was. Than at the end of the following night learning that it can all change.

The main idea isn't just all about my idea onsevere weather, but it is important that you live life to the fullest, enjoy the people you care about, and have fun in doing whatever it is that you do; because tomorrow is not promised

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Quick winter wrap up

Winter 09-10 was 6th coldest on record for Paducah KY. 13th for Evansville IN. The winter was the coldest since 83-84 more details later on.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=48713&source=0

Sunday, February 28, 2010

KY tornado page

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lmk/?n=sspm#recent_ky_tors


Gov. Steve Beshear has declared the Month of March to be severe weather awareness month.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Tornado Drill for TN

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=meg&storyid=48831&source=0

Tornado Drill for TN. At 9:15am this is not real, but for Severe Weather Awareness Week it is good for practice your tornado safety.

Sunday, February 21, 2010

Rainy Feb. Day

Showers and non-severe thunderstorms are moving across Far West KY. From a Fulton KY to Wickliffe KY line moving North and East. Rain with maybe a rumble of Thunder will move across Western Kentucky this evening, and into tonight.

Meanwhile highs got into the low 60's in NW KY, and the Mid to even Upper 60's across the rest of Western Kentucky.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Results from FEb 14th-15th storm

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/?n=valentinenight2010

Amounts ranged from a half inch in far SW KY to 5.5 inches in Owensboro. Sunny days and warmth maybe up to the 40's which will feel a little warmer could melt some snow that has been on the ground for over 7 to 10 days.

Sunday, February 14, 2010

Saturday, February 13, 2010

Winter Storm Watch for NW KY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
920 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2010

.A POTENT MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MARCH EAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN KENTUCKY SUNDAY NIGHT.

ILZ075>078-080>083-086-087-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-
141100-
/O.NEW.KPAH.WS.A.0004.100215T0000Z-100215T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-SALINE-GALLATIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-
SPENCER-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...
POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN
920 PM CST SAT FEB 13 2010

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

* STEADY SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY EVENING OVER THE
WARNED AREA...WHICH IS GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
PINCKNEYVILLE ILLINOIS...TO SHAWNEETOWN ILLINOIS TO CALHOUN
KENTUCKY. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT...THEN
TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST MONDAY MORNING.

* MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE MAINLY BE ON TRAVEL CONDITIONS FROM THE
POSSIBILITY OF 4 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOWFALL. MOTORISTS SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
THE MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 64
CORRIDOR OF ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL
BELOW FREEZING BY MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

Winter wx advisory cancelled for West KY tonight but still a dusting to an inch possible by late morning in Sunday. main snow event will be Sunday Afternoon though Monday Midday.

First round call map

Tonight from 10PM-10AM doesn't include Sunday afternoon into Monday