We all know that October 2009 for Paducah is the wettest October on record. With this rain event and one upcoming it won't be close.
After a gradual rain event we are having now the attention pans to a system in the Thurs Night/Friday time frame.
The models are slowing a system down and streaming moisture on in. This could result in rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms some Thursday night and round Friday when the low system comes in. With the recent saturated grounds and record rainfall this is grounds for a potential flooding event. The best chance and heavier rains are most likely west of I-24 in which 3 to 5 inches or rain is quite possible and could cause a lot of issues.
Also even though there isn't a lot of instability a narrow line or cluster of severe storms may form along the front Friday and if this happens damaging winds are possible especially which such strong winds in the mid to upper levels of the atmosphere.
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
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