Graduation Ends

ANd West KY still has one month in the spring severe weather season to go. An active pattern is setting up.

Today- Pulse storms should form in a highly moisture and unstable enivorment hail and damaging wind are poss. Severe threat may be limited due to lack of great trigger and good shear.

Tomm- Far SW KY and TN can see hail and damaging wind and poss a MCS

Mon- Summer time storms and start of MCS in NW Mid TN and West KY

Tues- A bigtime MCS/Possible Derecho with damaging winds poss widespread is poss. stay tuned the effected area is Northwest KY.

Friday- A bigtime plains system moves though and impacts West KY

Slight Risk tomm

Slight Risk of severe weather across parts of West KY tomm. Convctive debris should limit the threat but hail and damaging winds appear possible.

Slight Risk for most of West KY

A slight Risk is in effect for West KY along US 68 which about from Benton to Hopkinsville to Elkton KY north. If the MCS in IL and IN takes a right turn an damaging wind and hail threat may exist.

Also an isolated thunderstorm may form in NW KY and could be severe but without a sig trigger the severe threat may wait to nightime.

All of West KY has a slight risk of pot. hail and damaging winds. But the lignering MCS may stablize the atmosphere.

Walk The Isle Sequence of Events

A High Risk is in effect for Omaha NE where damaging Winds in excess of 130 MPH, Hail up to Softballs , and a pot. Ef-4 and Ef-5 tornadoes are poss during our HHS and CCHs Graduation day.

Our severe threat for West KY is Sat. and maype a severe or two tomm if the derecho moves faster than expected and takes a right turn.

Temps in the low to mid 80's for most of us Today for graduation,

Tomm for rest of West kY gradauting temps could flurt with or poss crack 90 for the first time.

Sat is a chance of thunderstorms a few may contain gusty winds and or small hail.

Forecast for West KY

Henderson/Owensburo- Rain tapering off tonight along with thunderstorms. Wed-Fri shoudl be nice rain returns Saturday and Sat Night some storms may be strong to severe. Same forecast in PAH area.

Hopkinsville/Elkton/Ft.Campell- Rain taPEring off by Wed afternoon Wed-Fri should be nice but showers and thunderstorms return Sat the severity is very unknown but the better severe threat may be to the north and east.

Strong storms poss in West KY

A few storms may be strong maype briefly severe and produce hail about the size of quarters and wind of 58-60mph.

This should occur north of US 62(West KY Parkway)

Cloudcover should limit the intensity of the storms.

T-storm Watch for West KY till 2am

There is a T-storm watch for West KY. Storms all of a sudden may fire up and produce strong to severe weather like hail 3/4 inch in diameter or bigger and/or some damaging wind episodes.

Memoral Day Storms

A few storms are expected during Memorial Day. Biggest chance wil be north of West KY Parkway in which storms will b poss thoughout the day. And more scattered out south of the Parkway. Today is sunny and warm temps in mid 80's a stray shower may make it across far nw KY but it is a very low chance. Tomm Mid to Upper 80's with chances going from 40% sw KY to 70% in NW KY temps in Mid to Upper 80's. Some storms Monday and maype tues may briefly produce hail/damaging winds

Memorial Day Forecast Let the SUn Shine

Let that Sun shine

First Number High/Second Low that morning(by NWS)

SAT SUN MON

Henderson KY- 77/55(Mostly Sunny) 84/55(Sunny) 86/63(30%Rain)
Hopkinsville KY- 78/58(Mostly Sunny) 86/58(Sunny) 85/65(30% Rain)
Paducah KY- 80/60(Mostly Sunny) 86/60(Sunny) 87/64(20% Rain)
Owensburo KY- 77/55(Mostly Sunny) 84/54(Sunny) 86/63(30% Rain)

Memorial Day isolated thunderstorms are possible.

Memorial Day Weekend forecast

Friday- Best and only respectable chance of rain isolated (not a washout) thunderstorms and showers.

Memorial Day weekend is warm mid to upper 80's and sun

CAP won

the CAP won so just isolated thunderstorms no severe expected except a very slim chance of a a strong one

Todays weather

Nice with temps in Mid 70's across West KY. Isolated thunderstorms may be possible a big IF if the cap can get eroded a few may produce hail and wet microbursts.

Been awhile since i updated

It is a nice pretty day. IT looks like we are trying to get into a summer pattern. We are in a slight risk for hail and wind in summer pattern with those summer like thunderstorms. Make sure you enjoy these pretty days.

Winds aftereffects

The Winds aftereffects included some tree damage across all of west ky 22. Winds gusted on Mothers Day 45 to 55 MPH. SOme storng winds

Monster Winds

Winds gust of poss 40 to 50MPH will continue across the area till about 8pm

Severe update.

It appears that severe weather is becoming more likely as the storms move across MO and ARK. These will produce an isolated tornado/maype hial threat across SW KY intially than organize more into a squall line/derecho and produce widespread damaging winds. SUpercells may be poss out ahead of the line with isolated tornado pot.

Threats:
Damaging Winds in excess of 80MPH
Isolated Tornadoes
LArge Hail
Locally Heavy Rain
Lightning

Time Frame for West KY 22 will be 9PM-3AM:

For Mid TN will be 10PM-8AM

Pot SIg Severe across West KY

Widspreading damaging winds and hail and maype an isolated tornado may now poss across West KY.

Isolated Hail/wind in Far west KY

Isolated events of hail and wind will exist in Far west KY the best chance will be in the slightrisk from Cadiz to PAduach KY west.

Isoalted severe today

FOr west ky Isoalted severe msotly hail, wind, brief tornado is poss in SW West Ky mostly.

Friday threat

Friday threat for esp SW KY for large hail and damaging winds. The tornado threat is uncertain but cant be ruled out.

Severe week my friends

A pot. Sequence of severe weather is possible across the Bluegrass and Voulnteer states starting up tomm afternoon starting in West TN and moving east thu Friday Afternoon into the evening hours.
Right now the biggest threat is from a Fulton to Hopkinsville line south and down towards Mid TN and west towards Paris and back towards Memphis.

Tommorows threat will be scattered out and scattered severe even tohugh a cluster or supercell could form a MCS. Sat/SUn This complex system with strong low could be a monster with pot for squall lines, supercells, and anything else. more details later but could be a sig mothers day weekend.

Isoalted strong today

Isolated strong storms poss today an isoalted severe with some hail/wind isnt out of the question later tnonight. After clouds and light showers pass by sunner skies shall return than a cance of showers and thunderstorms.

Survey of Mid Tn

A family of EF-1 tornadoes was found to be the culprit of the damage in Montgomery County TN on the 2nd and 3rd from 11:50pm-12:15am

PRom IS Nice

Nice temps in mid to upper 60's. For Prom Day. ALso cool lows in the 40's led to cool conditions for those wild after Prom Parties outside.

Storms werent quite as severe as they could fo been in West KY but a few good storms occured. And damage reported in Palymra and Fairgrounds of Clarksville TN a poss tornado. ANd a roof of a building torn of in SW Benton COunty TN

Severe threat back up

It only took some outflow boundaries and some good shear to save us from a bust.

Now were backi n business with pot of storng tornadoes in the Purchase area a Tornado EWarned storm there now. Also a damaging wind threat with poss isolated tornadoes elsewhere. Whether the rain in NW KY and how that effects things remains kinda of a mystery.

Isolated Tornados/ Hail/ Wind

Isolated tornadoes also damaging winds and hail may be poss. Storms developing east of the MCS could become supercells and pose a severe threat. The area of West KY likely to see this will be south of a Wickliffe/Paduach line to Princeton and west of the Land Between the Lakes and over towards Murray KY/PAris TN

Threat update

SW KY best threat

Threat has decreased somewhat from this morning and yesterday. Instablity stayed somewhat low and the system moved too fast. Flash flooding is a problem in NW KY with training MCS. SW KY still a potent severe threat.

End of Playing

Tornado Watchi si n effect till 3PM

Isoalted supercells and bow echos along with a pos s line of thudnerstorms is poss.

Stay safe and stay touned to Noaa, TV sations, Radio, or anything to keep oyu safe in Severe WX

Play time is over

A MDT risk is effect for the West KY 22.

Damaging Winds, LArge Hail, and poss isolated strong and or long tracked tornadoes are all possible today.

Be prepared for a poss severe thunderstorm/maype tornado outbreak.

The main frame for West Ky is 5pm-2am

Time to not Play around

A severe threat exists again. It is hard to bust two in a row and this is a setup that also looks pretty good. You have a poss supercell threat followed by the an intense line or lines of storms. The timing appears amype after 5pm this can start. Squall Line timing should be 8 or 9pm along the MS river coutnies of West KY and clear Hopkinsville/Henderson and Owensburo area by 1 or 2am on Prom Day.

This line should also extend along Mid TN storms may form as early as early evneing along NW Mid TN. The main threat could be a squall line that forms around Midnight and storms that can produce damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

In West Ky Damaging Winds in excess of 80 MPH, Large Hail, and Tornadoes some may be long tracked instablity and eventual timing of LLJ and with the seriousness of this event increased cant rule out a strong tornado either.

Right now all of West KY and even a deal of Mid TN can see severe weather biggest tornado threat appears to be farther west you go so the biggest tornado threat from around Mayfield and PAduach west with an respectable threat still remains across West KY particualry NW KY.

Play Prom Props

A threat that could contain widespread damaging winds, isolated tornadoes, and hail is poss across West Ky. The MDT risk exists from Mayfield to Paduach west. Stay tuned for more details sotrms may linger on Prom Day esp in the morning along US 41 and east.

This is a Day 2 MDT risk for part of West KY.

Right Now a Moderate Risk of Severe Weather exists in West KY from Mayfield to Paduach West. A severe threat with damaging wind as the main threat is poss. Also poss of hail and isolated tornadoes cant be ruled out across all of West KY with the Jackson Purchase area at the greatest threat.