Sunday, March 16, 2008

Storm of the Irish Post 1

A very dynamic system is starting to form in the Colorado Rockies. This storm will effect the West KY with the area aimed at another weather event.

The SE trend of the low moving along the Ms River to the Ohio RIver Valley area is a tricky track. Gulf moisture wil be intact for surplus of moisture. Another problem is it also appears that training of moisture may occur along the low pressure for several lows as it slowly curves though the West KY area. This will cause big problems in parts of the Green and Ohio River which is already in Flood Stage. If southern counties can get enough in the warm sector then severe storms may be possible. Now by the SPC forecast the big money severe threat is to the south and west.

A widespread 2-5 inch rainfall is possible in West KY along with a slight risk as it stands in SW KY. Updates will come on this pot strong storm system. With could bring gusty winds and heavy rain/flooding.

Check out the confidence levels to the left. (this is a great system the NWS B-ham uses)
1- enough confidence to be mentioned but confidence is on the low end
(2-3)- Moderate Confidence of the event happening
(4-5)- A major event poss of what is listed and high confidence of it happening.

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