A squall line is aobut to move into West KY. Isoalted Damaging winds and Tornados may be poss please watch this siution closely.
Still 2-4 inches of rain total with some 1 inch 1 hour rainfall totals are poss so a Flash FLood Watch is in effect thu Tomm Morning.
Monday, March 31, 2008
Sunday, March 30, 2008
Call Maps End of March
This is my predicted and unoffical SPC map. This is also very aggresive in nature shows I beleive some severe weather oculd make it into West KY. Always refer to NWS, News, and Local Media for more details on poss Severe Weather. mY West KY call map follows.
The Baby BLue is the SPC day 2 SLight Risk in West KY. the pink color is the area that could poss get up to 3-5 inches of rain. The brown text shows isolated to poss scattered severe and maype even the SPC can give the rest of West KY a Poss Slight Risk update from 5% to slight risk. The colored ciricles are poss rain a little aggresiveo n the rain side tohugh I have to say.
Remeber to a Flash Flood Watch is in effect so a lot of rain could come down in a quick period of time leading to Flash Flooding a very deadly and dangerous event if your not aware. Which could in turn, turn into River Flooding again.
Flash Flood Watch for West KY thu Tue Morning
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY355 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114-311000-/O.NEW.KPAH.FF.A.0002.080401T0000Z-080401T1200Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
355 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.* FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING*
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE QUAD STATE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH SOME LOCAL AREAS RECEIVING UP TO 3 INCHES. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL IN JUST A FEW HOURS...WHICH WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND FLOODING PROBLEMS THROUGHOUT THE AREA.* RECENT RAINS HAVE KEPT THE GROUND SATURATED THROUGHOUT THE QUAD STATE...AND WITH SOME DRAINAGE SYSTEMS ALREADY RENDERED USELESS DUE TO ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS...WATER WILL PILE UP IN A HURRY IN MANY LOCATIONS ONCE THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT.THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ENCOUNTERFLOODED ROADWAYS...AND FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES TO REACH THEIRDESTINATIONS. BY ALL MEANS...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A BARRICADE...PLEASEMAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEADTO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTIONSHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.$$DRS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY355 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114-311000-/O.NEW.KPAH.FF.A.0002.080401T0000Z-080401T1200Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
355 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.* FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING*
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE QUAD STATE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH SOME LOCAL AREAS RECEIVING UP TO 3 INCHES. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL IN JUST A FEW HOURS...WHICH WILL LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND FLOODING PROBLEMS THROUGHOUT THE AREA.* RECENT RAINS HAVE KEPT THE GROUND SATURATED THROUGHOUT THE QUAD STATE...AND WITH SOME DRAINAGE SYSTEMS ALREADY RENDERED USELESS DUE TO ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS...WATER WILL PILE UP IN A HURRY IN MANY LOCATIONS ONCE THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT.THOSE PLANNING TRAVEL MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ENCOUNTERFLOODED ROADWAYS...AND FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES TO REACH THEIRDESTINATIONS. BY ALL MEANS...IF YOU ENCOUNTER A BARRICADE...PLEASEMAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEADTO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTIONSHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.$$DRS
Monday, March 24, 2008
Strong Winds tomm, locally Heavy Rains later on
Strong Winds will be possible poss 30 to 35 awhile due to a gradient high pressure. Tommrow is also gonna to be slighty warmer and is the start of the warmer and more wetter pattern. Tuesday the daytiem hours should be dry, but nighttime showers may begin and continue Wed-Fri showers and Thudnerstorms chances are there. At this moment there is some concern that a few inches of rain could be possible in flood prone Northwest Kentucky and adjacent areas of Illnois and Indiana esp if the frotn stalls along the Ohio River. Right now it is a wait and see moment on that. A strong storm cannot be ruled out in the Thurs Night-Fri Night period but the severe threat is uncertain and not really impressive at the junction in our lives.
Sunday, March 23, 2008
SNow Showers in Easter
Not ANy to acculamte, but enough snow showers to to cause the white stuff to breifly fall from the sky in Northwest Kentucky. So you can say you saw a little snow in Easter if the next generation doenst get that lucky.
Easter Eggs under the riverwater
Minor to Major River Flooding is occuring this Easter.I hope all the familes displaced from these bad floods have someone nice ot go to celebrate Easter.
Here is a quick update.MAJOR FLOODING STILL EXPECTED ALONG THE OHIO RIVER AT GRAND CHAIN,CAIRO, and POSS EVEN PADUACH. This will effect BALLARD, MCCRACKEN, LIVINGSTON COUNTIES IN WEST KY.
Also Moderate Flooding is occuring along the OHio River at Shawneetown and may come close to MDT at Mount Vernon and JT MYers Lock and Dam. Minor Flooding in some cases too close for the confront to Moderate is the story along the Ohio for the river at Evansville, Owensburo, Golcanda, and Smithland and other places.The River is at the stage where it could flood a lot of unprotected lands along the river including homes and some main routes may flood or come close to flooding
.Also Moderate Flooding is occurring at the Green River at Calhoun and Paradise. Paradise just reached there crest and they should start falling Though Tuesday and Wednesday., more backwater flooding will take Calhoun from dropping anytime soon. A lot of lowland is probably flooded in this area and poss roads closed.
Also the Mississippi River at NEw Madrid which effects Ballard, Carlisle, Hickman, and Fulton counties is to crest in MDT flood stage. That means the ferry between Hickman and New Madrid will close and bottom land and possibly some roads around the river may flood.
Remember TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN
Here is a quick update.MAJOR FLOODING STILL EXPECTED ALONG THE OHIO RIVER AT GRAND CHAIN,CAIRO, and POSS EVEN PADUACH. This will effect BALLARD, MCCRACKEN, LIVINGSTON COUNTIES IN WEST KY.
Also Moderate Flooding is occuring along the OHio River at Shawneetown and may come close to MDT at Mount Vernon and JT MYers Lock and Dam. Minor Flooding in some cases too close for the confront to Moderate is the story along the Ohio for the river at Evansville, Owensburo, Golcanda, and Smithland and other places.The River is at the stage where it could flood a lot of unprotected lands along the river including homes and some main routes may flood or come close to flooding
.Also Moderate Flooding is occurring at the Green River at Calhoun and Paradise. Paradise just reached there crest and they should start falling Though Tuesday and Wednesday., more backwater flooding will take Calhoun from dropping anytime soon. A lot of lowland is probably flooded in this area and poss roads closed.
Also the Mississippi River at NEw Madrid which effects Ballard, Carlisle, Hickman, and Fulton counties is to crest in MDT flood stage. That means the ferry between Hickman and New Madrid will close and bottom land and possibly some roads around the river may flood.
Remember TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN
HAPPY EASTER 2008
Hope everyone has a great Easter. Hope that the river flood victims have a home to go to or family to help out in the midst of this flood event felt in NW KY, MO, IL, IN, AK, OK and surrounding areas.
Some facts:
It is the earliest Easter since 1913. The earliest Easter will ever be 3/22/08 till the 2200's so nobody will be alive by the next time Easter is coming.
Easter is a holy hoilday signaling the ressuraction of Jesus Christ. Like Christmas, Thnaksgiving, NEw Years has become a family hoilday.
Weather- This Easter and last Easter is one of a cold weather variety. Last Easter a very devasting freeze occured during the Easter HOilday in which record lows in some places in the low ot mid 20's was set and over a Million dollars of damage was done. Easter 2007 was the coldest Easter ever.
This Easter the temp in most of west ky wont escpae the 40's and a chance of moslty a light rain shower with a very slight chance of a flurry may be poss but not a sig event with any precip.
Also in 2003 a F1 tornado and a downburst hit the Crofton KY area and caused some moderate damage in the area. Also half dollar size hail fell in Murray.
Some facts:
It is the earliest Easter since 1913. The earliest Easter will ever be 3/22/08 till the 2200's so nobody will be alive by the next time Easter is coming.
Easter is a holy hoilday signaling the ressuraction of Jesus Christ. Like Christmas, Thnaksgiving, NEw Years has become a family hoilday.
Weather- This Easter and last Easter is one of a cold weather variety. Last Easter a very devasting freeze occured during the Easter HOilday in which record lows in some places in the low ot mid 20's was set and over a Million dollars of damage was done. Easter 2007 was the coldest Easter ever.
This Easter the temp in most of west ky wont escpae the 40's and a chance of moslty a light rain shower with a very slight chance of a flurry may be poss but not a sig event with any precip.
Also in 2003 a F1 tornado and a downburst hit the Crofton KY area and caused some moderate damage in the area. Also half dollar size hail fell in Murray.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
River Flood Threat Continues
Moderate FLooding is occurring at the Green River now. Paradise is at crest right now around 388 ft which equals moderate flooding. The Green River at Calhoun is in Moderate River Flood stage it may rise a foot or two for a crest on Monday/Tuesday time frame before starting to fall.
Miss River at New Madrid which effects Ballard, Carlise, Hickman, and Fulton county is forecast ed to reach MDT flood stage.
Cairo and Grand Chain up in Illinois which effects Ballard, Mccracken, Fulton, Hickman, and Carlisle counties is expected to hit major flood stage. With several evacuations and a lot of land damage poss in that area of West KY.
Paduach riverfront areas are starting to flood and expected to flood esp unprotected towns in the area of Mccracken, Ballard, and Livingston Counties. The crest should be reached around Tues and Wed but it may be several more days to get this area out of Moderate to Major Flood Stage so make sure you store on supplies.
Also Minor to Moderate Flooding is possible for the rest of West Ky counties along the Ohio River (From Smithland to Owensburo) . SOme road closures and homes near the river may flood.
Remember the Golden Rule of Flooding: Turn around and Don't Drown
Miss River at New Madrid which effects Ballard, Carlise, Hickman, and Fulton county is forecast ed to reach MDT flood stage.
Cairo and Grand Chain up in Illinois which effects Ballard, Mccracken, Fulton, Hickman, and Carlisle counties is expected to hit major flood stage. With several evacuations and a lot of land damage poss in that area of West KY.
Paduach riverfront areas are starting to flood and expected to flood esp unprotected towns in the area of Mccracken, Ballard, and Livingston Counties. The crest should be reached around Tues and Wed but it may be several more days to get this area out of Moderate to Major Flood Stage so make sure you store on supplies.
Also Minor to Moderate Flooding is possible for the rest of West Ky counties along the Ohio River (From Smithland to Owensburo) . SOme road closures and homes near the river may flood.
Remember the Golden Rule of Flooding: Turn around and Don't Drown
Thursday, March 20, 2008
Henderson County State of Emergancy
Henderson C0unty is a state diaster area. Flooded roads have laid out debris and over 3-4 feer of water in the area. courtesty of News 25 out of Evansville.
AN intense river flooding situation is occuring along the Green and Ohio River areas. More updates.
AN intense river flooding situation is occuring along the Green and Ohio River areas. More updates.
NW KY Road Closures courtesy of NEWS 25
The Kentucky Transportation Cabinet also reports that US 60 near the Henderson-Union county may be closed for the next two days. They also sent us the following list of highway closures:
Daviess KY 764 - closed 0 - 2 mile marker KY 2127 - open with signs up KY 56 - high water signs up KY 762 - closed 0 - 2 mile marker KY2 98 - closed 2 - 3 mile marker KY 142 - closed 4 - 5 mile marker
Union KY1637 (000-003) KY1452 (000-002) KY667 (000-017) KY130 (015-017) KY1508 (003-005) KY 871 (003-006) KY 668 (000-001) KY 492 (009-011) KY 760 (001-003) KY 130 (011-014) US 60 (023-027) KY 56 (008-009) KY141 (016-018) KY 360 (003
HENDERSON KY 136- 021-022 KY 136- 000-001 KY 1574- 000-003 KY 2260- 002-004 KY 1557- 002-003 KY 812 -003-005 KY 145- 005-006 KY 1539- 001-003 KY 268- 000-003 KY 3522 -000-001 KY 2183- 001-003 KY 2247 000-001 KY 285 -001-002 KY 351 008-009 KY 812 003-005 KY 1299 003-007 KY 2248 000-001
Ohio KY. 762 3 MM KY. 2670 2-3 MM US. 62 9-10 MM KY. 764 8 - 9 MM KY. 1414 8-9 MM KY. 2668 2-3 MM KY. 764 8-9 MM KY. 54 2-3 MM KY. 1414 15-16 MM KY. 764 6-7 MM
Webster KY 138 10-11 KY 132 13-14 KY KY 132 25-26 Flagging KY 874 1-2 KY 293 6-7 KY 270 7-9 KY 138 10-11 KY 132 11-14 KY 1340 0-1 KY 109 10-12 Flagging KY 2836 0-1 KY 120 10-11 KY 494 1-2 KY 1525 0-1 KY 132 5-6 KY 132 5-6
HOPKINS US 41-A @ 11-12 MP KY 70E @ 23-24 MP KY 70W @ 11-12 MP KY 1034 @ 7-8 MP KY 481 @ 1.6-2 MP KY 3059 @ 0-3.8 MP KY 254 @ 1-3 MP KY 502 @ 1-3 MP KY 502 @ 4-5 MP KY 813 @ 10-11 MP KY 70W @ 13-14 MP KY 1033 @ 1-2 MP
HANCOCK KY 2181-004-005 KY 1403 000-001
Muhlenberg KY 1163 MM 3-4 KY 70 W MM 1-2
Christian KY-124 high water sign - 9:20am KY-287 high water sign - 10:30am KY-345 0-1 mm
Daviess KY 764 - closed 0 - 2 mile marker KY 2127 - open with signs up KY 56 - high water signs up KY 762 - closed 0 - 2 mile marker KY2 98 - closed 2 - 3 mile marker KY 142 - closed 4 - 5 mile marker
Union KY1637 (000-003) KY1452 (000-002) KY667 (000-017) KY130 (015-017) KY1508 (003-005) KY 871 (003-006) KY 668 (000-001) KY 492 (009-011) KY 760 (001-003) KY 130 (011-014) US 60 (023-027) KY 56 (008-009) KY141 (016-018) KY 360 (003
HENDERSON KY 136- 021-022 KY 136- 000-001 KY 1574- 000-003 KY 2260- 002-004 KY 1557- 002-003 KY 812 -003-005 KY 145- 005-006 KY 1539- 001-003 KY 268- 000-003 KY 3522 -000-001 KY 2183- 001-003 KY 2247 000-001 KY 285 -001-002 KY 351 008-009 KY 812 003-005 KY 1299 003-007 KY 2248 000-001
Ohio KY. 762 3 MM KY. 2670 2-3 MM US. 62 9-10 MM KY. 764 8 - 9 MM KY. 1414 8-9 MM KY. 2668 2-3 MM KY. 764 8-9 MM KY. 54 2-3 MM KY. 1414 15-16 MM KY. 764 6-7 MM
Webster KY 138 10-11 KY 132 13-14 KY KY 132 25-26 Flagging KY 874 1-2 KY 293 6-7 KY 270 7-9 KY 138 10-11 KY 132 11-14 KY 1340 0-1 KY 109 10-12 Flagging KY 2836 0-1 KY 120 10-11 KY 494 1-2 KY 1525 0-1 KY 132 5-6 KY 132 5-6
HOPKINS US 41-A @ 11-12 MP KY 70E @ 23-24 MP KY 70W @ 11-12 MP KY 1034 @ 7-8 MP KY 481 @ 1.6-2 MP KY 3059 @ 0-3.8 MP KY 254 @ 1-3 MP KY 502 @ 1-3 MP KY 502 @ 4-5 MP KY 813 @ 10-11 MP KY 70W @ 13-14 MP KY 1033 @ 1-2 MP
HANCOCK KY 2181-004-005 KY 1403 000-001
Muhlenberg KY 1163 MM 3-4 KY 70 W MM 1-2
Christian KY-124 high water sign - 9:20am KY-287 high water sign - 10:30am KY-345 0-1 mm
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Well it has begun major river floodign problems.
MAJOR FLOODING- Grand Chain and Cairo and poss PAduch the Ohio River. Severe damage is possible in this area. Evacuate Quickly if it is not too late.
The rest of the Ohio River is in Minor to Moderate FLood Stage and road closures and poss.
ALso Highway 109 in Webster County is closed. Mdt floodign is poss in Miss River.
The rest of the Ohio River is in Minor to Moderate FLood Stage and road closures and poss.
ALso Highway 109 in Webster County is closed. Mdt floodign is poss in Miss River.
West kY not as bad as expected
Still some flooding of low water crossings andi soalted to scatered flooding being reproted. An inch maype loclaly 1.5 inch more is expected to bring rainfall amounts of 2-5 inches total in West KY. Here is the warning
FLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY600 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-039-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-225-233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-191700-PULASKI IL-ALEXANDER IL-MASSAC IL-JOHNSON IL-UNION IL-POPE IL-HARDIN IL-WILLIAMSON IL-SALINE IL-GALLATIN IL-JACKSON IL-FRANKLIN IL-PERRY IL-HAMILTON IL-WHITE IL-JEFFERSON IL-WABASH IL-EDWARDS IL-WAYNE IL-VANDERBURGH IN-PIKE IN-GIBSON IN-WARRICK IN-SPENCER IN-POSEY IN-HENDERSON KY-DAVIESS KY-UNION KY-MCLEAN KY-WEBSTER KY-HOPKINS KY-CRITTENDEN KY-LIVINGSTON KY-CALDWELL KY-BALLARD KY-MCCRACKEN KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-CARLISLE KY-GRAVES KY-HICKMAN KY-STODDARD MO-SCOTT MO-WAYNE MO-BOLLINGER MO-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARTER MO-PERRY MO-MISSISSIPPI MO-BUTLER MO-NEW MADRID MO-RIPLEY MO-FULTON KY-600 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS EXTENDED THE* FLOOD WARNING FOR... DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY MCLEAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS WABASH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS WHITE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS BOLLINGER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI CAPE GIRARDEAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI NEW MADRID COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI RIPLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI SCOTT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STODDARD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS GALLATIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS JOHNSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS MASSAC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS POPE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALINE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS UNION COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS GIBSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA SPENCER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA VANDERBURGH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA BALLARD COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY CARLISLE COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY FULTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY GRAVES COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY HICKMAN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY MCCRACKEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY* UNTIL NOON CDT.* AT 600 AM CDT...WIDESPREAD FLOODING PERSISTED ACROSS MUCH OFSOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND TOA LESSER EXTENT IN WESTERN KENTUCKY. RADAR ESTIMATES AND REPORTSFROM OBSERVERS INDICATE THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN HASFALLEN OVER MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. WHILETHE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER AND MUCH MORE INTERMITTENTTODAY...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ACT TO EXACERBATE AN ALREADYSERIOUS SITUATION. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TOREMAIN BELOW ONE INCH.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTOAREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLYDEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFULENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODEDROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.LAT...LON 3639 8997 3663 8996 3649 9113 3708 9122 3731 9015 3782 9001 3781 8969 3821 8959 3821 8916 3847 8914 3855 8719 3821 8708 3820 8680 3793 8699 3768 8683 3716 8733 3676 8847 3650 8850 3650 8952 3636 8955TIME...MOT...LOC 1052Z 180DEG 0KT 3758 8903$$RJP/DLL
FLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY600 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-185-191-193-199-INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC007-033-039-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-149-157-225-233-MOC017-023-031-035-133-143-157-181-201-207-223-191700-PULASKI IL-ALEXANDER IL-MASSAC IL-JOHNSON IL-UNION IL-POPE IL-HARDIN IL-WILLIAMSON IL-SALINE IL-GALLATIN IL-JACKSON IL-FRANKLIN IL-PERRY IL-HAMILTON IL-WHITE IL-JEFFERSON IL-WABASH IL-EDWARDS IL-WAYNE IL-VANDERBURGH IN-PIKE IN-GIBSON IN-WARRICK IN-SPENCER IN-POSEY IN-HENDERSON KY-DAVIESS KY-UNION KY-MCLEAN KY-WEBSTER KY-HOPKINS KY-CRITTENDEN KY-LIVINGSTON KY-CALDWELL KY-BALLARD KY-MCCRACKEN KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-CARLISLE KY-GRAVES KY-HICKMAN KY-STODDARD MO-SCOTT MO-WAYNE MO-BOLLINGER MO-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARTER MO-PERRY MO-MISSISSIPPI MO-BUTLER MO-NEW MADRID MO-RIPLEY MO-FULTON KY-600 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2008THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS EXTENDED THE* FLOOD WARNING FOR... DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY MCLEAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY UNION COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS WABASH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS WHITE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS BOLLINGER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI CAPE GIRARDEAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI CARTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI NEW MADRID COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI PERRY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI RIPLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI SCOTT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STODDARD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS GALLATIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS JOHNSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS MASSAC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS POPE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALINE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS UNION COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS GIBSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA SPENCER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA VANDERBURGH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA BALLARD COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY CARLISLE COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY FULTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY GRAVES COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY HICKMAN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY MCCRACKEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY* UNTIL NOON CDT.* AT 600 AM CDT...WIDESPREAD FLOODING PERSISTED ACROSS MUCH OFSOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND TOA LESSER EXTENT IN WESTERN KENTUCKY. RADAR ESTIMATES AND REPORTSFROM OBSERVERS INDICATE THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN HASFALLEN OVER MUCH OF THE WARNED AREA DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. WHILETHE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER AND MUCH MORE INTERMITTENTTODAY...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ACT TO EXACERBATE AN ALREADYSERIOUS SITUATION. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TOREMAIN BELOW ONE INCH.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTOAREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLYDEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFULENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODEDROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.LAT...LON 3639 8997 3663 8996 3649 9113 3708 9122 3731 9015 3782 9001 3781 8969 3821 8959 3821 8916 3847 8914 3855 8719 3821 8708 3820 8680 3793 8699 3768 8683 3716 8733 3676 8847 3650 8850 3650 8952 3636 8955TIME...MOT...LOC 1052Z 180DEG 0KT 3758 8903$$RJP/DLL
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Flooding cocked towards
That shows parts of Henderson, Union, Ballard, Livingston COunties in 3 inch range. More rain 3-5 inches mroe is poss. Major floodign is still possible some minro floodign is already starting to occur in NW KY. It will spread southward thu the ngiht esp though 6am be careful turn around and dont drown.SOme storms may rotate a Tornado Watch is in effect till 2am
Flood//River Flood/Flash Flood terms by NOAA
Flash Flood Warning- Issued to inform the public, emergency management, and other cooperating agencies that flash flooding is in progress, imminent, or highly likely.
Flash Flood Watch-Issued to indicate current or developing hydrologic conditions that are favorable for flash flooding in and close to the watch area, but the occurrence is neither certain or imminent
Flood Stage-
An established gage height for a given location above which a rise in water surface level begins to create a hazard to lives, property, or commerce. The issuance of flood (or in some cases flash flood) warnings is linked to flood stage. Not necessarily the same as bankfull stage.
Flood Statement (FLS)-
In hydrologic terms, a statement issued by the NWS to inform the public of flooding along major streams in which there is not a serious threat to life or property. It may also follow a flood warning to give later information.
Flood Warning-(FLW) In hydrologic terms, a release by the NWS to inform the public of flooding along larger streams in which there is a serious threat to life or property. A flood warning will usually contain river stage (level) forecasts.
Flood Watch- Issued to inform the public and cooperating agencies that current and developing hydrometeorological conditions are such that there is a threat of flooding, but the occurrence is neither certain nor imminent.
Flood-Any high flow, overflow, or inundation by water which causes or threatens damage.
Flood Categories-Terms defined for each forecast point which describe or categorize the severity of flood impacts in the corresponding river/stream reach. Each flood category is bounded by an upper and lower stage (see Example 1). The severity of flooding at a given stage is not necessarily the same at all locations along a river reach due to varying channel/bank characteristics or presence of levees on portions of the reach. Therefore, the upper and lower stages for a given flood category are usually associated with water levels corresponding to the most significant flood impacts somewhere in the reach. The flood categories used in the NWS are: *Minor Flooding* - minimal or no property damage, but possibly some public threat. *Moderate Flooding* - some inundation of structures and roads near stream. Some evacuations of people and/or transfer of property to higher elevations. *Major Flooding* - extensive inundation of structures and roads. Significant evacuations of people and/or transfer of property to higher elevations. *Record Flooding* - flooding which equals or exceeds the highest stage or discharge at a given site during the period of record keeping. Note: all three of the lower flood categories (minor, moderate, major) do not necessarily exist for a given forecast point. For example, at the level where a river reaches flood stage, it may be considered moderate flooding. However, at least one of these three flood categories must start at flood stage.
Flood Control Storage- In hydrologic terms, storage of water in reservoirs to abate flood damage
Flood Crest-
Maximum height of a flood wave as it passes a certain location
River Flood Statement- This product is used by the local National Weather Service Forecast Office (NWFO) to update and expand the information in the River Flood Warning. This statement may be used in lieu of a warning if flooding is forecasted, imminent, or existing and it presents no threat to life or property. The statement will also be used to terminate a River Flood Warning.
River Flood Warning-
This is product is issued by the local National Weather Service Forecast Office (NWFO) when forecast points (those that have formal gaging sites and established flood stages) at specific communities or areas along rivers where flooding has been forecasted, is imminent, or is in progress.
Flooding is defined as the inundation of normally dry areas as a result of increased water levels in an established water course. The flood warning is based on the RVF product from the River Forecast Center (RFC) in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The flood warning normally specifies crest information. It usually occurs 6 hours or later after the causative event and it is usually associated with widespread heavy rain and/or snow melt or ice jams. It will contain the forecast point covered by the warning, the current stage (if it is available), and the established flood stage. It will also contain the forecasted crest from the River Forecast Center (RFC) in Minneapolis, Minnesota. From this forecasted crest, the NWFO will be able to determine which areas will be affected by the river flooding. This information will be included in the warning. Finally, the statement will include a site/event specific call to action.
River Flooding-The rise of a river to an elevation such that the river overflows its natural banks causing or threatening damage.
River Forecast-
An internal product issued by RFCs to other NWS offices. An RVF contains stage and/ or flow forecasts for specific locations based on existing, and forecasted hydrometeorologic conditions. The contents of these products are used by the HSA office to prepare Flood Warnings (FLW), Flood Statements (FLS), River Statements (RVS), as well as other products available to the public
Flash Flood Watch-Issued to indicate current or developing hydrologic conditions that are favorable for flash flooding in and close to the watch area, but the occurrence is neither certain or imminent
Flood Stage-
An established gage height for a given location above which a rise in water surface level begins to create a hazard to lives, property, or commerce. The issuance of flood (or in some cases flash flood) warnings is linked to flood stage. Not necessarily the same as bankfull stage.
Flood Statement (FLS)-
In hydrologic terms, a statement issued by the NWS to inform the public of flooding along major streams in which there is not a serious threat to life or property. It may also follow a flood warning to give later information.
Flood Warning-(FLW) In hydrologic terms, a release by the NWS to inform the public of flooding along larger streams in which there is a serious threat to life or property. A flood warning will usually contain river stage (level) forecasts.
Flood Watch- Issued to inform the public and cooperating agencies that current and developing hydrometeorological conditions are such that there is a threat of flooding, but the occurrence is neither certain nor imminent.
Flood-Any high flow, overflow, or inundation by water which causes or threatens damage.
Flood Categories-Terms defined for each forecast point which describe or categorize the severity of flood impacts in the corresponding river/stream reach. Each flood category is bounded by an upper and lower stage (see Example 1). The severity of flooding at a given stage is not necessarily the same at all locations along a river reach due to varying channel/bank characteristics or presence of levees on portions of the reach. Therefore, the upper and lower stages for a given flood category are usually associated with water levels corresponding to the most significant flood impacts somewhere in the reach. The flood categories used in the NWS are: *Minor Flooding* - minimal or no property damage, but possibly some public threat. *Moderate Flooding* - some inundation of structures and roads near stream. Some evacuations of people and/or transfer of property to higher elevations. *Major Flooding* - extensive inundation of structures and roads. Significant evacuations of people and/or transfer of property to higher elevations. *Record Flooding* - flooding which equals or exceeds the highest stage or discharge at a given site during the period of record keeping. Note: all three of the lower flood categories (minor, moderate, major) do not necessarily exist for a given forecast point. For example, at the level where a river reaches flood stage, it may be considered moderate flooding. However, at least one of these three flood categories must start at flood stage.
Flood Control Storage- In hydrologic terms, storage of water in reservoirs to abate flood damage
Flood Crest-
Maximum height of a flood wave as it passes a certain location
River Flood Statement- This product is used by the local National Weather Service Forecast Office (NWFO) to update and expand the information in the River Flood Warning. This statement may be used in lieu of a warning if flooding is forecasted, imminent, or existing and it presents no threat to life or property. The statement will also be used to terminate a River Flood Warning.
River Flood Warning-
This is product is issued by the local National Weather Service Forecast Office (NWFO) when forecast points (those that have formal gaging sites and established flood stages) at specific communities or areas along rivers where flooding has been forecasted, is imminent, or is in progress.
Flooding is defined as the inundation of normally dry areas as a result of increased water levels in an established water course. The flood warning is based on the RVF product from the River Forecast Center (RFC) in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The flood warning normally specifies crest information. It usually occurs 6 hours or later after the causative event and it is usually associated with widespread heavy rain and/or snow melt or ice jams. It will contain the forecast point covered by the warning, the current stage (if it is available), and the established flood stage. It will also contain the forecasted crest from the River Forecast Center (RFC) in Minneapolis, Minnesota. From this forecasted crest, the NWFO will be able to determine which areas will be affected by the river flooding. This information will be included in the warning. Finally, the statement will include a site/event specific call to action.
River Flooding-The rise of a river to an elevation such that the river overflows its natural banks causing or threatening damage.
River Forecast-
An internal product issued by RFCs to other NWS offices. An RVF contains stage and/ or flow forecasts for specific locations based on existing, and forecasted hydrometeorologic conditions. The contents of these products are used by the HSA office to prepare Flood Warnings (FLW), Flood Statements (FLS), River Statements (RVS), as well as other products available to the public
Monday, March 17, 2008
Update of storm
Several concerns for Tommrow and WedensdaySevere storms are poss in West Ky and Mid Tn. Some storms could be severe or at least elevated in the morning is the start.Then later from 11pm Tues night thu Wed midday a squall line will form. RIght now a torando and damging wind event may occur depending on dyanmics some wind gusts could be violent.Heavy Rain and floodign I mentioend it a lotSome areas of West KY could get locally 7 to 9 inches the heaviest amounts around PAduach. Training is an issue major river flooding is poss.Storng Non Thunderstorm winds of 40 to 50mph are possible.
Sunday, March 16, 2008
Interesting PAH discussion
...A FOURTH PERIOD WATCH WILL BE INEFFECT FROM 12Z TUESDAY TO 12Z WEDNESDAY FOR AREAS MAINLY NW OFTHE OHIO RIVER AND ALSO THE WRN PART OF SWRN IND. AS THE SYSTEMMOVES EWD...THE REMAINDER OF THE COUNTIES WILL LIKELY BE PUT UNDERA FLOOD WATCH TUESDAY NIGHT. SVR WX WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSSPARTS OF WRN KY DUE TO STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR. THE MAINLIMITING FACTOR WILL BE INSTABILITY...WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE ANDTHUS CLOUDINESS STREAMING NWD FROM THE GULF AHEAD OF THE FRONTDURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. SEE HPC DISCUSSION FOR DETAILS
Interesitng forecast discussion expect all 22 west counties to eventualyl go under a flood watch.
Interesitng forecast discussion expect all 22 west counties to eventualyl go under a flood watch.
Class of 2008 SUperstorm Call Map
There is two areas
Carlise. Mccracken, Ballard red (5-9 inches of rain) locally 10
Rest of West KY (3-6 inches of rain) locally 8
Storm of the Irish post 2
Carlisie, Ballard, and Mccracken counties are under a Flood Watch widespread 2-4 inches of rain could fall in this area. With I wouldn't rule out as high as 6 inches on a local level esp in those 3 counties in the Flood Watch.
Also with the farther north track it seems a warm sector will be bigger so the severe threat increases and possible hail and damaging winds are possible across all of West KY.
Also with the farther north track it seems a warm sector will be bigger so the severe threat increases and possible hail and damaging winds are possible across all of West KY.
Storm of the Irish Post 1
A very dynamic system is starting to form in the Colorado Rockies. This storm will effect the West KY with the area aimed at another weather event.
The SE trend of the low moving along the Ms River to the Ohio RIver Valley area is a tricky track. Gulf moisture wil be intact for surplus of moisture. Another problem is it also appears that training of moisture may occur along the low pressure for several lows as it slowly curves though the West KY area. This will cause big problems in parts of the Green and Ohio River which is already in Flood Stage. If southern counties can get enough in the warm sector then severe storms may be possible. Now by the SPC forecast the big money severe threat is to the south and west.
A widespread 2-5 inch rainfall is possible in West KY along with a slight risk as it stands in SW KY. Updates will come on this pot strong storm system. With could bring gusty winds and heavy rain/flooding.
Check out the confidence levels to the left. (this is a great system the NWS B-ham uses)
1- enough confidence to be mentioned but confidence is on the low end
(2-3)- Moderate Confidence of the event happening
(4-5)- A major event poss of what is listed and high confidence of it happening.
The SE trend of the low moving along the Ms River to the Ohio RIver Valley area is a tricky track. Gulf moisture wil be intact for surplus of moisture. Another problem is it also appears that training of moisture may occur along the low pressure for several lows as it slowly curves though the West KY area. This will cause big problems in parts of the Green and Ohio River which is already in Flood Stage. If southern counties can get enough in the warm sector then severe storms may be possible. Now by the SPC forecast the big money severe threat is to the south and west.
A widespread 2-5 inch rainfall is possible in West KY along with a slight risk as it stands in SW KY. Updates will come on this pot strong storm system. With could bring gusty winds and heavy rain/flooding.
Check out the confidence levels to the left. (this is a great system the NWS B-ham uses)
1- enough confidence to be mentioned but confidence is on the low end
(2-3)- Moderate Confidence of the event happening
(4-5)- A major event poss of what is listed and high confidence of it happening.
Friday, March 14, 2008
Hail, WInd poss in West KY
A line of thunderstorms will form in east arkansas and west tn. These storms could form hail some hail could be large. Damaging Winds could also be possible and amype an isoalted tornado esp to the south.
Isolated Hailers today and early tomm
Isolated hail storms may be possible in SW KY . If any form which the chances amy not be that great a hailstone can be of decent size slightly better in chance in Middle TN
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Poss Heavy Rains River Flooding may be huge.
This may not good news for people of West Ky esp in flood prone areas. Notice that a lot of what is presented will and can change but hopefully for the best.
Severeal Threads and issues to be though
Mar 14th-15th - a dynamic sytstem shows at least a poss large hail threat across West Ky. If the warm fornt moves closer a more varied and more sig severe weather scene is poss. Also heavy rain is an issue poss widespread 2-3 inch rainfall in west ky and mid tn.
Mar 16-19th- Easter is coming in. Spring is supposed to be a nice time all things are peaches and cream. That statement would be true except this is West Ky and we dont get out of spring with at least something of interest occuring. Spring roses will dampen by March showers and these showers can be very heavy poss if models are true the rain could pour down quick and fast. So this could be a poss flood event esp for River Flooding but Flash Flooding can't be ruled out at this juncture. Depending on exact low track severe wx may occur side by side with the flooding. Stay tuned esp if you live near rivers and flood prone areas.
Another I will start doing on blogspot is very alike what the NWS of B-ham does. Confidence Level stats. 1- means the threat is enough to be mentioned, but still at low confidence. 5 is very high confidence in the event I will try to post that on a diff section of the blogspot.
Right Now (West KY)
Severe Storms Fri Night- 1
Heavy Rain/Flooding March 16th-19th- 2
Strong Winds Fri- Early Sat- 1
Severeal Threads and issues to be though
Mar 14th-15th - a dynamic sytstem shows at least a poss large hail threat across West Ky. If the warm fornt moves closer a more varied and more sig severe weather scene is poss. Also heavy rain is an issue poss widespread 2-3 inch rainfall in west ky and mid tn.
Mar 16-19th- Easter is coming in. Spring is supposed to be a nice time all things are peaches and cream. That statement would be true except this is West Ky and we dont get out of spring with at least something of interest occuring. Spring roses will dampen by March showers and these showers can be very heavy poss if models are true the rain could pour down quick and fast. So this could be a poss flood event esp for River Flooding but Flash Flooding can't be ruled out at this juncture. Depending on exact low track severe wx may occur side by side with the flooding. Stay tuned esp if you live near rivers and flood prone areas.
Another I will start doing on blogspot is very alike what the NWS of B-ham does. Confidence Level stats. 1- means the threat is enough to be mentioned, but still at low confidence. 5 is very high confidence in the event I will try to post that on a diff section of the blogspot.
Right Now (West KY)
Severe Storms Fri Night- 1
Heavy Rain/Flooding March 16th-19th- 2
Strong Winds Fri- Early Sat- 1
Severe storms poss in SW Kentucky
A warm front and dynamic system is expected to set up. The exact track will matter in this localized possible severe event. Large Hail is a threat Friday Night, depending on far the warm front creeps north isoalted tornadoes and possibly a minor but locally intense damaging wind even is poss.
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Minor River flooding occuring, more possible
Minor flooding is possible along the Ohio, Green rivers thu this week. Not a major flood event, but roads around the river may close depending on how high the crests will be.
There is growing concern that some areas of the Ohio River will not fall below flood stage by the weekend, as a heavy rain and poss flooding event could spring forward like the start of spring in the weekend thu the 18th and 19th of March.
Stay tuned for info on the local rivers and the potenial for them to flood more.
There is growing concern that some areas of the Ohio River will not fall below flood stage by the weekend, as a heavy rain and poss flooding event could spring forward like the start of spring in the weekend thu the 18th and 19th of March.
Stay tuned for info on the local rivers and the potenial for them to flood more.
Monday, March 10, 2008
Is the threat for winter storms over?
After getting slammed by a sizable Winter Storm in West KY, TN and surrounding areas. You wonder since it is March and official spring equinox is soon that means the threat for winter storms is getting slim. Is it totally gone the answer is a NO, sometimes and some storms a big NOOO.
Besides Superstorm 1993 and this past March snowstorm other storms have hit in March some even after March 15th and this isn't all of them there are quite a few 1+ from March 15th after.
March 24th 1940- Nashville got 4.4 inches in this. This was Nashville's TN latest 4inch+ snowfall.
March 19-20th 1996- The name from Tn Weather Zone " The Room Service Storm" was appropriate during this storm that in several areas was worse in the storm this past weekend. As you had to call for Room Service because you didn't want to even try to venture outside. Parts of West Ky east of the Lakes and TN received 8 to 12 inches of wet snow that drifted 6 to 10 feet deep.
April 13th 2004- This surprise storm is a perfect storm of what the world of meteorology can bring you. 4.5 inches of snow was reported in Southern Muhlenberg County
April 25th 1910- Latest freeze and also the absolute latest measurable snowfall both occurred temps fell below freezing and 1.5 inches of Ice Crystals clumped together in Nashville (In my minds the Winter Storm in KY and TN isn't 100% over till April 25th is a saying I like to believe in.)
April 18th 1983- Paduach and West Ky got some decent snow on this date latest snowfall in Paduach and Evansville.
Besides Superstorm 1993 and this past March snowstorm other storms have hit in March some even after March 15th and this isn't all of them there are quite a few 1+ from March 15th after.
March 24th 1940- Nashville got 4.4 inches in this. This was Nashville's TN latest 4inch+ snowfall.
March 19-20th 1996- The name from Tn Weather Zone " The Room Service Storm" was appropriate during this storm that in several areas was worse in the storm this past weekend. As you had to call for Room Service because you didn't want to even try to venture outside. Parts of West Ky east of the Lakes and TN received 8 to 12 inches of wet snow that drifted 6 to 10 feet deep.
April 13th 2004- This surprise storm is a perfect storm of what the world of meteorology can bring you. 4.5 inches of snow was reported in Southern Muhlenberg County
April 25th 1910- Latest freeze and also the absolute latest measurable snowfall both occurred temps fell below freezing and 1.5 inches of Ice Crystals clumped together in Nashville (In my minds the Winter Storm in KY and TN isn't 100% over till April 25th is a saying I like to believe in.)
April 18th 1983- Paduach and West Ky got some decent snow on this date latest snowfall in Paduach and Evansville.
Sunday, March 9, 2008
Unoffical Snow Amounts courtesy of NWS
WESTERN KENTUCKY: BALLARD ...2 CALDWELL ...6 CALLOWAY ...5 CARLISLE ...4 CHRISTIAN ...7 CRITTENDEN ...2 DAVIESS ...6 FULTON ...2 GRAVES ...3 HICKMAN ...2 HENDERSON ...6 HOPKINS ...6 LYON ...6 MARSHALL ...4 MCCRACKEN ...2 MCLEAN ...7 MUHLENBERG ...10 TODD ...8 TRIGG ...5 UNION ...6 WEBSTER ...7
This are just average for the county. Since the storm is so varied there is some areas in the individual counties that picked up more or less. EX: Morton's Gap in Hopkins County picked up 7.5 inches of snow while other areas of Hopkins county only got 4 to 5 so it averaged to 6 inches. In Christian County Hopkinsville got 5 to 5.5 inches of Snow while just north of town they got 7.5 inches and in a small village of Gracey between Cadiz and Hopkinsville got 8 inches.
This are just average for the county. Since the storm is so varied there is some areas in the individual counties that picked up more or less. EX: Morton's Gap in Hopkins County picked up 7.5 inches of snow while other areas of Hopkins county only got 4 to 5 so it averaged to 6 inches. In Christian County Hopkinsville got 5 to 5.5 inches of Snow while just north of town they got 7.5 inches and in a small village of Gracey between Cadiz and Hopkinsville got 8 inches.
Saturday, March 8, 2008
Snow Ice Cream takes good
Snow cream tastes good you sohuld try it by the end of the day before it melts and freezes.
Widespread 10 inches in some local areas in West KY too. Several areas east of the lakes got 4-10 inches. While there was more 2.5-5 inch amounts west of the lakes and some local totals even more.
Widespread 10 inches in some local areas in West KY too. Several areas east of the lakes got 4-10 inches. While there was more 2.5-5 inch amounts west of the lakes and some local totals even more.
After the Snowstorm
I got a very pretty 5.5 inches of snow on the ground. Changes from a few miles just to my north it is a little over 7 inches. due to banding but some areas in West KY picked up very local 9 to 10 inches. Houston County TN picked up a foot of snow with 3 foot drifts.
Friday, March 7, 2008
Winter Weather Stone Update
There are two areas of concern this morning thu lunch hour. That is occuring in West KY and NW Mid TN.1) There is band of mostly sleet with some snow appaering to form and even backbuild from Ashland City to Clarksville to PEmbroke to Greenville Into Owensburo. Mosto f this south of West kY parkway is sleet but mostly snow north. This is one of the bands were talking aobut so we need to watch this band closely.
2) Is a blob with some banding of what is snow is in apporaching West ky it is already coming down in Ballard County and towards West Paduach. This will slowly shift into the east and eventually all this moisture will effect West KY and MID TN. Zero visibity and brief near whiteouts could be poss. with this blob as it will thu 11am effect mostly Paduach to Uniontown KY north in the few hours. Then shift more to include all of West KY and into TN as the day progesses and we approach evening hours.
Still at the end of the night and tomm morning widespread 4-8 inch snowfall shoudl be poss with locally 10 in a snowband.
2) Is a blob with some banding of what is snow is in apporaching West ky it is already coming down in Ballard County and towards West Paduach. This will slowly shift into the east and eventually all this moisture will effect West KY and MID TN. Zero visibity and brief near whiteouts could be poss. with this blob as it will thu 11am effect mostly Paduach to Uniontown KY north in the few hours. Then shift more to include all of West KY and into TN as the day progesses and we approach evening hours.
Still at the end of the night and tomm morning widespread 4-8 inch snowfall shoudl be poss with locally 10 in a snowband.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
Stone Cold March Storm
This is a no Joke Storm.
THIS STORM COULD BE VERY SIG. UNNECCESARY TRAVEL TOMM MORNING THU SAT MORNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED Across a good deal of KEntucky, Tennessee, Indiana, Ohio and other states. Here in West KY the entire western bluegrass is in trouble pretty much everybody could see 3-4 inches of snow. The snow love is snow bands and poss. thunder snow that is how amounts of snow of 8-12 inches is poss. WITH STRONG WINDS NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN WEST KY AND SOME COMMUNTIES COULD BE SHUT DOWN FOR AS MUCH AS 24 to 48 HOURS. Right now the heaviest snow appaers to be falling from a Henderson KY to Clarksville TN area any shift in track of the low can shift it.
You have tonight go to the grocery go get enough goods to last 2-3 days. Dollar Store, Freds, Walgreens, Wal- Mart, K- Mart, the Bomb Shelter, anywhere with good food for 48 hours.
Prepaare for the Near Blizzard conditions, poss Thundersnow, travel gwtting halted even on I-24, West Ky, Jackson, Pennryle Parkways, main roads may recieve snow drifts less travel roads could get drifted shut with drifts as high as several feet deep.
Stay tuned to NWS, Blogpsot and bloggers on the fav links, News Stations, Radio, Newspaper you need to be aware of a big time March snowstorm.
Out like Stone
Models see to be out like stone esp the GFS. NAM is consistent and showing the consistent NW trend with this NW trend my last call map predicting snowed in nation could be inaccuarate.Widespread 2-6 snow tonight-sat
Widspread 2=6 inch snowfall wist isolated 8-12 inch is possible somewhere in west ky
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
Winter Storm Huge Snow Maker
This could produce the widespread snow fall and heavy snow banding that only occurs in classical March Events. Classical is a strong word and this is gonna to be a gigantic snow maker. Everyone in West KY can see at least 4 inches of snow a widespread snow event wasnt seen like this since 2004. Some snow bands locations can pick up outlandish snowfall and have their jaws drop like in 2004. Local snow bands could form over 8 inches of white stuff on the ground. I'm am not joking either a classic APPALACHIAN RUNNER track will track effect and nail West KY or it should. Beware this system could have bust potential if it comes too far NW.
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
Severe wx awareness May 2003 5 years back
This is such a big event known as the 11 days of the May or the 2003 tornado fest. Several tornadoes occured in both Tornado and Dixie Alley and even as far north as the northest most NWS offices in the centrla and eastern areas had a event and sometimes 4 to track and survey in thier areas.
This following list is tornadoes that effected the West KY and Middle Tn areas only.
May 4th (the most proflic day of this sequence and a top 10 event in number of tornaodes in West KY and Mid TN)
Overall- With the left exit jet and a strong low along with ample May instabity a recipe for diaster was presented. At first SPC issued a slight and then a MDT risk for West KY and Mid TN. At the end the final outlook issued was a high risk in far west Ky and MDT risk for the rest of the area.
The Hailers (Historic West KY hailstorms) Before we can even get to tornadoes two supercells formed out of the blue in West KY. One tracked from SE Missouri and into Ballard County this storm caused 30- 40 Million dolalrsi n Hail damage and some injuries as it tracked into Lone Oak the hail became the size of tennis balls. Cars, Trees, builings, some cars in garages got extensively damaged. Roofs had to be replaced and multiple car insurance claims were filed. Then it moved into Livingston then finally into Marshall county. This is where the biggest hail feel it was baseball sized. Roof were damaged and every car in the hailstorms path was damaged. There are hail pictures and more information in this section. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/storm/may4_03/hail.php
The Twisters:
Start with West KYSupercell 1- The Murray area F-2 Tornado. This supercell formed in Graves County then moved into Calloway COunty. Around 10:30pm this storm formed the biggest event an F2 torndo that started from 3 miles Northeast of Murray then moved a mile before ending. This caused enough for $350,000 dollars of damage several barns damaged and destroyed with minor to moderate damage. Many trees got split opened. Later on downbursts from 65 to as high as 85mph occured in Graves and Calloway County.
Supercell 2- ( the long one from Northeast corner of Ballard COunty to St. Joseph in SW daviess county) This produced 10 of the 11 tornadoesi n this outbreak with just this one supercell. Started in Ballard COunty into Mcracken into SOuth IL but came out around Livingston COunty some minor to moderate damge was reported in Livingston County some F1 damage occured as the cell apporached Marion the tornadoes did stop in Marion area then a tornado touched down severla miles east of Marion KY. The most damage occured as it approached Webster COunty several areas of damage as 3 tornadoes poped up and bounced up and down producing f-1 and f-2 damage in the city of Clay. Some decent damge was done as this storm moved on to St. Joseph KY area.
Mid TN
Nine Tornadoes occured in the Mid TN area. One deadly tornado occured just to the west in the jackson TN area as a F4 followed by a F3 went though the Jackson TN area then weakened into Lexington TN area.
One main storm formed in Stewart COunty then the supercell produced the strongest tornado of the day in Mid TN. A F2 in Clarksville TN area in SOuthern Montgomery area causing heavy damage to several homes. This strong but weaken to a F1 ias it did heavy damage to a factory in the Cross Plains TN area.
Also tornadoes touched down breifly in Thompson Station and La Vergne Tn areas.
May 5th
A high risk but wasn't as sinister as May 4th. A f0 tornado touched down near Kingston Springs TN. The biggest tornado of the day touched down in Petersburg Tn area in Lincoln COunty along highway 431 a two were heavily damaged to destroyed and rated a high end F-1
Several hail reports of quarter size and damaging winds did occur in South West Ky and Mid TN
May 6th
In Mid Tn serious flooding and flash flooding occured in Middle TN. ANother high shear day getting in touch with May heat occured.
West KY got this one better. Not as sig as the deadly tornado in SOuth Illnois. Wickliffe Ky got the strongest tornado a F2 tornado touched down just west and south of Wickliffe and caused a lot of tree damage. This storm produced a f1 tornado south of paduach and a long string of tornadoes into Graves and Marshall County KY
A F1 formed into south Graves County from Hickman county
May 11th
This was the last tornado day was from 1-4am May 11th,
Sacramento KY tornado This tornado was formed in supercell and start of a big squall line event. This tornado started in the southern outskirts of Sacramento then moved into town and in the eastern side of town. Several homes damaged and a moblie home was diensembled. This tornado was rated an F03 and 2 minor injuries occured.
Middle TN (Nashville area F1 and Northern Rutherford County F3)This tornado moved tohugh Nashville and to Gallatin during house damage and tree damage.
A tornado in Northern Rutherford COutny destroyed a 2 story house.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/surveys/ss051103.htmhttp://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/surveys/ss050503.htm
This following list is tornadoes that effected the West KY and Middle Tn areas only.
May 4th (the most proflic day of this sequence and a top 10 event in number of tornaodes in West KY and Mid TN)
Overall- With the left exit jet and a strong low along with ample May instabity a recipe for diaster was presented. At first SPC issued a slight and then a MDT risk for West KY and Mid TN. At the end the final outlook issued was a high risk in far west Ky and MDT risk for the rest of the area.
The Hailers (Historic West KY hailstorms) Before we can even get to tornadoes two supercells formed out of the blue in West KY. One tracked from SE Missouri and into Ballard County this storm caused 30- 40 Million dolalrsi n Hail damage and some injuries as it tracked into Lone Oak the hail became the size of tennis balls. Cars, Trees, builings, some cars in garages got extensively damaged. Roofs had to be replaced and multiple car insurance claims were filed. Then it moved into Livingston then finally into Marshall county. This is where the biggest hail feel it was baseball sized. Roof were damaged and every car in the hailstorms path was damaged. There are hail pictures and more information in this section. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/storm/may4_03/hail.php
The Twisters:
Start with West KYSupercell 1- The Murray area F-2 Tornado. This supercell formed in Graves County then moved into Calloway COunty. Around 10:30pm this storm formed the biggest event an F2 torndo that started from 3 miles Northeast of Murray then moved a mile before ending. This caused enough for $350,000 dollars of damage several barns damaged and destroyed with minor to moderate damage. Many trees got split opened. Later on downbursts from 65 to as high as 85mph occured in Graves and Calloway County.
Supercell 2- ( the long one from Northeast corner of Ballard COunty to St. Joseph in SW daviess county) This produced 10 of the 11 tornadoesi n this outbreak with just this one supercell. Started in Ballard COunty into Mcracken into SOuth IL but came out around Livingston COunty some minor to moderate damge was reported in Livingston County some F1 damage occured as the cell apporached Marion the tornadoes did stop in Marion area then a tornado touched down severla miles east of Marion KY. The most damage occured as it approached Webster COunty several areas of damage as 3 tornadoes poped up and bounced up and down producing f-1 and f-2 damage in the city of Clay. Some decent damge was done as this storm moved on to St. Joseph KY area.
Mid TN
Nine Tornadoes occured in the Mid TN area. One deadly tornado occured just to the west in the jackson TN area as a F4 followed by a F3 went though the Jackson TN area then weakened into Lexington TN area.
One main storm formed in Stewart COunty then the supercell produced the strongest tornado of the day in Mid TN. A F2 in Clarksville TN area in SOuthern Montgomery area causing heavy damage to several homes. This strong but weaken to a F1 ias it did heavy damage to a factory in the Cross Plains TN area.
Also tornadoes touched down breifly in Thompson Station and La Vergne Tn areas.
May 5th
A high risk but wasn't as sinister as May 4th. A f0 tornado touched down near Kingston Springs TN. The biggest tornado of the day touched down in Petersburg Tn area in Lincoln COunty along highway 431 a two were heavily damaged to destroyed and rated a high end F-1
Several hail reports of quarter size and damaging winds did occur in South West Ky and Mid TN
May 6th
In Mid Tn serious flooding and flash flooding occured in Middle TN. ANother high shear day getting in touch with May heat occured.
West KY got this one better. Not as sig as the deadly tornado in SOuth Illnois. Wickliffe Ky got the strongest tornado a F2 tornado touched down just west and south of Wickliffe and caused a lot of tree damage. This storm produced a f1 tornado south of paduach and a long string of tornadoes into Graves and Marshall County KY
A F1 formed into south Graves County from Hickman county
May 11th
This was the last tornado day was from 1-4am May 11th,
Sacramento KY tornado This tornado was formed in supercell and start of a big squall line event. This tornado started in the southern outskirts of Sacramento then moved into town and in the eastern side of town. Several homes damaged and a moblie home was diensembled. This tornado was rated an F03 and 2 minor injuries occured.
Middle TN (Nashville area F1 and Northern Rutherford County F3)This tornado moved tohugh Nashville and to Gallatin during house damage and tree damage.
A tornado in Northern Rutherford COutny destroyed a 2 story house.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/surveys/ss051103.htmhttp://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/surveys/ss050503.htm
T-storm High Wind and TOrnado Warning review
Moblie homes are not safe places to bein severe storms or high windsanytime you are under a tornado, t-storm, or high wind warning you need to get out of your moblie home.
What is a Tornado, Thunderstorm, and High WInd Warning you will be suprised that some people don't know the answer?
Tornado Warning- A tornado is likely or imminent or could already be forming in your area. There are two types of tornado warnings plus the very rare Tornado Emergancy which means a " Powerful tornado is about to take a direct hit on a community.
1) Doppler Indicated- Means that strong enough rotation was present enough for a possibile tornado that could form. Or a tornado may be occuring on the ground and not reported. If not the tornado hail, strong winds sometimes as much as 120MPH can possible, so take cover, and when in doubt take cover.
2) Tornado Confirmation Warning- This bascially means that a tornado has been reported and you need to take cover no if's and or but's on that.Severe Thunderstorm Warning- This is issued when a storm is capable of becoming severe. This storm could produce and has potenial to produce at least penny sized hail and/or damaging winds in excess of 58MPH. Beware that some damging winds can sometimes cause as much damage as a small and weaker tornado. Take shelter in a sturdy building and abandon moblie homes.
High Wind Warning- This means that gusts this includes non-thudnerstorm gusts can and has the ablity to gust 58mph and excess. These non thunderstorm winds can cause as much damage as thier thunderstorm counterparts. These gusts can last a few hours. Hickman Ky was heavily damaged by non thunderstorm wind gusts on Jan 29th 2008. Take cover in a sturdy building during the duration of this event.Tihs defiantions are important to know.
What is a Tornado, Thunderstorm, and High WInd Warning you will be suprised that some people don't know the answer?
Tornado Warning- A tornado is likely or imminent or could already be forming in your area. There are two types of tornado warnings plus the very rare Tornado Emergancy which means a " Powerful tornado is about to take a direct hit on a community.
1) Doppler Indicated- Means that strong enough rotation was present enough for a possibile tornado that could form. Or a tornado may be occuring on the ground and not reported. If not the tornado hail, strong winds sometimes as much as 120MPH can possible, so take cover, and when in doubt take cover.
2) Tornado Confirmation Warning- This bascially means that a tornado has been reported and you need to take cover no if's and or but's on that.Severe Thunderstorm Warning- This is issued when a storm is capable of becoming severe. This storm could produce and has potenial to produce at least penny sized hail and/or damaging winds in excess of 58MPH. Beware that some damging winds can sometimes cause as much damage as a small and weaker tornado. Take shelter in a sturdy building and abandon moblie homes.
High Wind Warning- This means that gusts this includes non-thudnerstorm gusts can and has the ablity to gust 58mph and excess. These non thunderstorm winds can cause as much damage as thier thunderstorm counterparts. These gusts can last a few hours. Hickman Ky was heavily damaged by non thunderstorm wind gusts on Jan 29th 2008. Take cover in a sturdy building during the duration of this event.Tihs defiantions are important to know.
Green River flooding
FLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY1204 PM EST TUE MAR 04 2008...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE KY HAS ISSUED A FLOODWARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY...GREEN RIVER AT WOODBURYGREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTERAFFECTING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY...BUTLER...MUHLENBERG...OHIO...WARREN..PARTS OF THE GREEN RIVER BASIN HAVE SEEN RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESSOF THREE INCHES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THESE RAINS HAVE CAUSEDRAPID RISES ON PARTS OF THE GREEN RIVER.SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER ATTEMPT TO CROSS ANY FLOODING ROADS. THIS ISESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIOOR COMMERCIAL BROADCASTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE AFFECTEDBY THESE CRESTS TAKE ANY NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ATWWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LMK (ALL LOWER CASE).THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TUESDAY EVENING.KYC031-177-183-050504-/O.NEW.KLMK.FL.W.0023.080305T1708Z-080309T0100Z//RCHK2.1.ER.080305T1708Z.080307T0000Z.080308T1900Z.NO/1204 PM EST TUE MAR 04 2008THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE KY HAS ISSUED A* FLOOD WARNING FORTHE GREEN RIVER AT ROCHESTER.* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY EVENING.* AT 12:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET.* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON ANDCONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.8 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RIVERWILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...A FEW ROADS NEAR RIVER FLOOD. FERRY IS SHUTDOWN.* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.8FEET ON FEB 7 1997.$$--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Flood WarningFLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KENTUCKY918 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH, KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED AFLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY...GREEN RIVER AT PARADISE AFFECTING MUHLENBERG COUNTYGREEN RIVER AT CALHOUN AFFECTING MCLEAN AND WEBSTER COUNTIES.HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TORISE.SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODEDAREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOWCHILDREN TO PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHERRADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE UPDATEDFORECASTS.ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ATHTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PAH /LOWER CASE/KYC177-051918-/O.NEW.KPAH.FL.W.0024.080304T1644Z-000000T0000Z//PRDK2.2.ER.080304T1644Z.080306T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/918 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH, KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A* FLOOD WARNING FORTHE GREEN RIVER AT PARADISE.* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.* AT 7:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 376.1 FEET.* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.* FLOOD STAGE IS 380.0 FEET.* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUETO RISE TO NEAR 387.2 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.$$
Monday, March 3, 2008
Wacky Weather Update
few sig events have occured
Severe threat- Around the Lawrenceburg isoalted tornado or wind is possible.
Flood Event- Flooding of low lands and rivers is coming true reportso f ponding have just begun and flooding is imminent in West Ky and Parts of the TN river counties of MId TN. River flloodign wil lbe big in the next few days.
Wind event- WInd gusts of 20 to 40mph may continue this wind threat has been deadly in Mid TN
WInter Threat- This quick cold front push has caused the chance for some winter pickup in parts of West KY mostly dusting to an inch. Changeover in West KY could be poss in the next few hours.
2-5 inches widespread of rain is expected in West KY isolated amounts of 4 to 6 inches may be poss in isolated areas.
Severe threat- Around the Lawrenceburg isoalted tornado or wind is possible.
Flood Event- Flooding of low lands and rivers is coming true reportso f ponding have just begun and flooding is imminent in West Ky and Parts of the TN river counties of MId TN. River flloodign wil lbe big in the next few days.
Wind event- WInd gusts of 20 to 40mph may continue this wind threat has been deadly in Mid TN
WInter Threat- This quick cold front push has caused the chance for some winter pickup in parts of West KY mostly dusting to an inch. Changeover in West KY could be poss in the next few hours.
2-5 inches widespread of rain is expected in West KY isolated amounts of 4 to 6 inches may be poss in isolated areas.
Temps falling heavy rain coming
Tempartures are 39 at Henderson and 54 in Hopkinsville quite the temaprture gradient the cold front looks like it may slow down. The only severe threat is in Mid TN south of I-40 some storms could form as dewpoints raise into the mid to upper 50's and increabile shear comes along not too sig but enough. Strong winds and steady moderate to heavy rain is possiblie 2-4 inches event wise is not off the counter. Already strong winds have taken a life in Mid TN so be careful.
Less Severe heavy rain/river flooding in West KY
There is a heavy rain bands forming from Arkansas and Missouri and into West KY. Now heavy rain and possible thudnerstorms though not severe will move though that area of west ky possible flash flood or flood warnings may be possible in this area so beware. Turn around and dont drown
Severe storms poss today and tonight
Some storms are possible across all of west ky and could be severe. ESp if a squall line forms right now the sun is shinhg so that doesnt help. Isolated tornados with poss damging winds with some hail cant be ruled out today and tonight mostly from a 4:30-11pm time frame.
Sunday, March 2, 2008
TN Call Map
The green is basically strong to severe with isolated hail maybe a isolated tornado poss with strong gusty wind poss some damaging wind. This is a slight risk type event Most all of West KY can be involved in this to.The Maroon Red is where the most sig weather in TN will be More likely to occur may be extended into the west or northwest. A little cape is involved with nasty shear so damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes depending exactly on low track are possible and any tornadoes that form can be damaging and poss strong in this strong sheared atmosphere.
Guys in Mid and Deep South keep those noaa's ready because to me this seems like a 6-Midnight event in Western half of Mid TN and 9pm-4am in the Eastern Half of Middle TN. Those times are estimates. For West KY 5pm-11pm seems right.
Severe weather tomm
Severe weather is poss in West KY from a Paduach to Calhoun KY south. Severe weather at least isoalted could be poss across all of west ky the biggest chance is in SW part of West KY. Including damging winds, hail, and a isolated tornado or two.
Flooding is a problem a flood watch is in effect for Monday and Monday Night River Flooding will be a big issue next week.
A dusting to poss up to 1 or 2 inches is poss in esp far west ky Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Flooding is a problem a flood watch is in effect for Monday and Monday Night River Flooding will be a big issue next week.
A dusting to poss up to 1 or 2 inches is poss in esp far west ky Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Slight Risk for Jackson Purchase
A slight risk of severe weather is in store for the jackson purchase area. The models are trending more severe heavy rain, ponding of roads, hail, damaging winds are possible.
Saturday, March 1, 2008
The Jury may well maype it is a Hung Jury
The models are very confusing to say the least.
Anyway to a slight severe threat to heavy snow. One thing is for sure some Heavy Rain poss. 2-4 inches is possible Sun-Mon Night.
So a flood watch is probably possible to likely soon so stay tuned.
Anyway to a slight severe threat to heavy snow. One thing is for sure some Heavy Rain poss. 2-4 inches is possible Sun-Mon Night.
So a flood watch is probably possible to likely soon so stay tuned.
March starts like a Lion
There is a lot of factors and storms and events to go into to from Sunday thu Thursday/Friday. Lets break it down.
Round 1-(Sun Night-Mon Night) This is a heavy rain event a strong thunderstorm may be poss. mostly south of west ky though. Widespread rain amounts as much as 2-4 inches with localized 4-5 inch rain amounts are poss. in West KY. This could led to flooding issues esp on rivers and this will increase the levels of the rivers.
Round 2- (Mon Night- Early Tues Evening) This could get wintry guys and gals. As heavy snow from another system progged from MS moving into North AL and as far west as Mid TN this track of the low is huge in determining where the biggest snowfall is and this could possibliy be several inches.
Round 3- (Thurs/Fri) ANother wintry storm with potenial for a big rain/snow event. Could be a nor easter could be like Dec 15th and cause bust for Mid TN to NYC. This could bang and cause several inches and a big March snowstorm something big along with Tuesday to watch.
SO high winds, heavy rain and poss river and street flooding and big snow events dot all of next week.
Iti s also KY's severe weather awareness week.
Round 1-(Sun Night-Mon Night) This is a heavy rain event a strong thunderstorm may be poss. mostly south of west ky though. Widespread rain amounts as much as 2-4 inches with localized 4-5 inch rain amounts are poss. in West KY. This could led to flooding issues esp on rivers and this will increase the levels of the rivers.
Round 2- (Mon Night- Early Tues Evening) This could get wintry guys and gals. As heavy snow from another system progged from MS moving into North AL and as far west as Mid TN this track of the low is huge in determining where the biggest snowfall is and this could possibliy be several inches.
Round 3- (Thurs/Fri) ANother wintry storm with potenial for a big rain/snow event. Could be a nor easter could be like Dec 15th and cause bust for Mid TN to NYC. This could bang and cause several inches and a big March snowstorm something big along with Tuesday to watch.
SO high winds, heavy rain and poss river and street flooding and big snow events dot all of next week.
Iti s also KY's severe weather awareness week.
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