Be careful Friday

Concerned about another event sadly like this one Friday afternoon and evening. We will need to watch at this time Western KY and Middle TN may be in the bullseye, but that could change.

EF2 tornado

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201203010148-KPAH-NOUS43-PNSPAH
Oscar/Bandana/Ragland KY tornado has been given an EF-2 rating.

Leap Day Outbreak 2012

Severe storms have struck Western KY.

Ballard and NW McCracken have had 5 injuries and major damage with some severe injuries near Ragland. An EF-1 has been confirmed on the north side of Henderson near Ellis Park with 2 injuries. Possible tornadoes or at least damaging straight lined winds struck Madisonville, Greenville/Bremen KY areas, and the northern and northwest outskirts of Hopkinsville.

Update

- Tornado warning for Ballard County till 515 Barlow and La Center are concerns.

- Broken squall line could contain damaging winds and tornadoes throughout the morning across West KY.

Tornado Watch 44

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0044.html
Tornado Watch till 9am for Western KY.

Will stick with a 1-2 confidence level of tornadoes through 9am for all of Western KY.

New update

New update

Update

Thinking that there may be two rounds of strong to severe weather. One from 1am-8am across Western KY and West Middle TN that could contain damaging winds and maybe a brief spinup. Another round may occur(don't know how severe this one will be) from about a Hopkinsville KY to Paris TN line eastward in the late morning-midday hours Wednesday and move east with damaging winds and maybe an isolated tornado as it moves across Middle TN and South Central KY.

A major outbreak isn't expected but still monitor the weather tonight and tomorrow.

Overview and severe wx chances.

- Severe storms possible tonight with a Slight Risk across much of West KY with a squall line possible.
- Reformation of storms may occur tomorrow morning into midday. I think the worst of this will be just to the east of Western KY, but any storm that reforms may produce damaging winds and an isolated tornado. 1-2 inches of rain is also likely across Western KY tonight into tomorrow.
- Another severe threat is setup for Friday Afternoon into the early evening hours. There is questions on how intense this event becomes, but severe weather is becoming likely during Friday, so it is worth watching.

Feb 27th overview

Stormy times ahead.

Severe storm threat in Western KY on Tuesday Night/Wednesday Morning, and again on Friday. Be on your guard everyone as each timeframe could contain damaging winds and even tornadoes.

Red Flag Warning

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ017&warncounty=KYC047&firewxzone=KYZ017&local_place1=Hopkinsville+KY&product1=Red+Flag+Warning
Red Flag Warning for Western KY. Not a good day to be burning stuff.

Some threat this week.

May need to watch for a possible low instability/high shear severe event on late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Use this.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/
Use this and radio/media sources for any updates on possible severe weather today.

Since I won't be available till 5pm.

Severe threat

Timeframe for severe weather is between 2-8pm.

Windy Thursday

Wind gusts at or above 40MPH possible for Western KY today. A wind advisory may be required.

Windy Thursday

Wind gusts at or above 40MPH possible for Western KY today. A wind advisory may be required.

Earthquake in SE MO

Breaking News: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/Quakes/usb000834r.php
A 4.0 Earthquake just occurred near East Prairie Missouri which is just about 15-20 miles just west of Columbus KY in Hickman County.

Update on the light snow

Looking at around 1 inch of snow in Western KY from Fulton to Dawson Springs to Livermore line southward. 1 to locally 1.5-2 from Dover to Clarksville down towards Nashville TN.

Latest Update

http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_48HR.gif
Here is the latest NAM it appears to be an outlier, but it has trended further north compared to other models with the snow. This will go down to the wire still best areas for measurable snow are along the TN/KY border and the Green River from Calhoun southward.

Overview

- 50's today
- Concern over a system tonight but the worst impacts should be to the east of Western KY.
- Some light snow accumulations from Murray to Greenville KY southward of around 1 inch are possible.
- Warming trend nexr week

There is a model one that shows winter goodness for the KY/TN border area this weekend. This will likely be either a total miss or a big hit.

Update

Measurable snow has been reported in SE MO. Uncertain on how much measurable snow and sleet Western KY will get the best chances will be closer to the Ohio River. Watch out for hazardous conditions on bridges and overpasses tonight.

- The winter precip will end by 6am and temperatures will warm up so kids do your homework.

Winter WX possible

Winter WX Advisory precipitation amount is unknown but 1+ inch snow/sleet accumulation is possible especially towards the Mississippi and Ohio Rivers.

Update

Winter threat is trending downwards. Still time for a surprise the biggest trouble spots look to be the Purchase areas and along the Ohio River.

Winter event

A winter event is still on tap for Western KY. 1 to 2 inches of snow/sleet is expected as of now with a Winter Weather Advisory likely, before ending as rain early Tuesday and ending. Higher amounts of snow and sleet could occur if snow and sleet stays the dominant precipitation type. Timing of the main event appears to be 2-4pm in far Western KY and 4:30-6:30pm towards the Oak Grove/Elkton/Guthrie KY area.

Look at Monday

A possible winter mess on Monday and Monday night before changing to rain and clearing out by Valentine's day. More details later today.

Quick morning update

Travel hazards are expected and continuing across US 45 corridor westward due to slick roads and light snow accumulation be careful in that area.

A Brrr type of day

Beware of black ice on bridges and overpasses and wind chills into the single digits today a brrr type of day.

Earthquake land

Today is the 200th anniversary of the last and most destructive earthquake in the 1811-1812 New Madrid Earthquake Sequence.

Thought I posted this yesterday

Thought I posted this yesterday but I didnt

The Super Tuesday Outbreak of Feb 2008 occurred 4 years ago today.

5 Tornadoes hit the Western KY area on the evening of 2/5/2008. One supercell produced EF-1 damage in Pottersville(Calloway County.EF-1), near Canton(Trigg County EF-1), near Cadiz(Trigg County EF1), in Northern Christian(Crofton EF2) and Sadly a deadly tornado in the Greenville,Powderly,Central City KY area(Muhlenberg County EF3)

Fog in NW and far Western KY

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ016&warncounty=KYC107&firewxzone=KYZ016&local_place1=Earlington+KY&product1=Special+Weather+Statement
Patchy fog to freezing fog across far Western and Northwestern KY today.