Flash Flood Warning

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
CALLOWAY COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
CARLISLE COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
FULTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
GRAVES COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
HICKMAN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN HOPKINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN MCCRACKEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...
MUHLENBERG COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
TODD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
TRIGG COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

Ponding of roads

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ017&warncounty=KYC047&firewxzone=KYZ017&local_place1=Hopkinsville+KY&product1=Flood+Advisory
Flood Advisory watch out for ponding on the roads in Western KY from a Bardwell to Princeton to Crofton to Lake Malone KY line southward.

Links and info about the past two outbreaks.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=80298&source=0

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=79781&source=0

Solar Storm Link

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=80298&source=0

Today's weather

Red Flag Warning for SW and far West KY today, and a chance for a dusting to 1 inch of snow tonight in portions of NW KY

Overview

Prayers to those hit hard in Southern Indiana, Central KY/Eastern KY, and portions of TN/AL. No fatalities have been reported in Western KY, but some damage(wind or tornado) has been reported around Madisonville/Bremen,and possible tornado touchdowns in Webster, Henderson, and Daviess counties. Storm surveyors will be out to determine whether damaging winds or tornadoes were involved.

Outbreak likely update

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
High Risk of Severe Weather from Gracey KY to Sebree KY line East. Moderate Risk elsewhere. Severe WX outbreak likely a High Risk Tornado threat of 4 out of 5 east of that line other thoughts don't change

Links

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/
Use these pages and local media to monitor storms today. I will be busy till 2:30pm so will able to track later parts of this event. You can refresh these pages to get the latest warnings, and plus they are straight from the NWS.

http://www.radioreference.com/apps/audio/?ctid=1012 -Christian County spotter feed.
http://www.radioreference.com/apps/audio/?ctid=1006 - Calloway County spotter feed.
http://www.radioreference.com/apps/audio/?ctid=1061 - McCracken County spotter feed.
http://www.radioreference.com/apps/audio/?ctid=1077
- Muhlenberg County spotter feed.
http://www.radioreference.com/apps/audio/?ctid=1039
- Henderson County spotter feed.

- Spotter feeds are above.

Outbreak likely

Severe Weather Outbreak Outbreak get prepared now!!!

Message to school kids.

Anyone with relatives in school or school students follow the order of adults and know where to take cover at in school. Western KY and NW Middle TN will have this event during school hours. It is better to be on the school floor taking cover then to be injured in the storm. This threat appears to fire during the school hours.

Leap Day Outbreak 2012 overview.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=pah&storyid=79781&source=0

4 tornadoes have been confirmed in Western KY.

Tornado 1: Pulaski IL/Ballard/McCracken/Massac IL counties(EF-2) Damage occurred in Oscar/Bandana/Ragtown with 4 injuries. Several homes damaged and mobile homes destroyed.

Tornado 2: Henderson County (EF-1) A few poorly constructed river cabins destroyed and power poles blown over on the north side of Henderson KY along the north bank of the Ohio River no major injuries.

Tornado 3: Muhlenberg County (EF-2) Damage from Southeastern Greenville to Cleaton KY. A mobile home was destroyed with 1 injury, and major roof damage to a middle school southeast of downtown Greenville.

Tornado 4: Muhlenberg County (EF-1) Roof and siding damage to an apartment complex and a few homes on the SW side of Greenville.

- Damage in Hopkins and Christian counties has been suspected to be straight lined winds and not of tornadoes. A few surveys may be completed after tomorrow's event.

Like a Lion

- Some hailers possible in the purchase tonight.
- Western KY could be impacted by a possible nasty and potentially deadly tornado outbreak on Friday. The area from Murray to Henderson eastward, that the SPC has a MDT risk out for is the main concern for the possible tornado outbreak.

Moderate Risk

Moderate Risk of Severe Weather on Friday from a line that extends from Murray KY to Jackson TN eastward. Very Large Hail, Extremely damaging winds, and tornadoes are expected. Sadly it has the potential to be a repeat of yesterday, and maybe even worse in some areas. All of Western KY needs to watch out.

Be careful Friday

Concerned about another event sadly like this one Friday afternoon and evening. We will need to watch at this time Western KY and Middle TN may be in the bullseye, but that could change.

EF2 tornado

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201203010148-KPAH-NOUS43-PNSPAH
Oscar/Bandana/Ragland KY tornado has been given an EF-2 rating.

Leap Day Outbreak 2012

Severe storms have struck Western KY.

Ballard and NW McCracken have had 5 injuries and major damage with some severe injuries near Ragland. An EF-1 has been confirmed on the north side of Henderson near Ellis Park with 2 injuries. Possible tornadoes or at least damaging straight lined winds struck Madisonville, Greenville/Bremen KY areas, and the northern and northwest outskirts of Hopkinsville.

Update

- Tornado warning for Ballard County till 515 Barlow and La Center are concerns.

- Broken squall line could contain damaging winds and tornadoes throughout the morning across West KY.

Tornado Watch 44

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0044.html
Tornado Watch till 9am for Western KY.

Will stick with a 1-2 confidence level of tornadoes through 9am for all of Western KY.

New update

New update

Update

Thinking that there may be two rounds of strong to severe weather. One from 1am-8am across Western KY and West Middle TN that could contain damaging winds and maybe a brief spinup. Another round may occur(don't know how severe this one will be) from about a Hopkinsville KY to Paris TN line eastward in the late morning-midday hours Wednesday and move east with damaging winds and maybe an isolated tornado as it moves across Middle TN and South Central KY.

A major outbreak isn't expected but still monitor the weather tonight and tomorrow.

Overview and severe wx chances.

- Severe storms possible tonight with a Slight Risk across much of West KY with a squall line possible.
- Reformation of storms may occur tomorrow morning into midday. I think the worst of this will be just to the east of Western KY, but any storm that reforms may produce damaging winds and an isolated tornado. 1-2 inches of rain is also likely across Western KY tonight into tomorrow.
- Another severe threat is setup for Friday Afternoon into the early evening hours. There is questions on how intense this event becomes, but severe weather is becoming likely during Friday, so it is worth watching.

Feb 27th overview

Stormy times ahead.

Severe storm threat in Western KY on Tuesday Night/Wednesday Morning, and again on Friday. Be on your guard everyone as each timeframe could contain damaging winds and even tornadoes.

Red Flag Warning

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ017&warncounty=KYC047&firewxzone=KYZ017&local_place1=Hopkinsville+KY&product1=Red+Flag+Warning
Red Flag Warning for Western KY. Not a good day to be burning stuff.

Some threat this week.

May need to watch for a possible low instability/high shear severe event on late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Use this.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pah/
Use this and radio/media sources for any updates on possible severe weather today.

Since I won't be available till 5pm.

Severe threat

Timeframe for severe weather is between 2-8pm.