June 17th overview

T-storm Warning part

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
 MARION...KUTTAWA...FREDONIA AND EDDYVILLE AROUND 1225 PM CDT...
 STURGIS AROUND 1230 PM CDT...
 UNIONTOWN...WHEATCROFT AND MORGANFIELD AROUND 1235 PM CDT...
 WAVERLY...PROVIDENCE...PRINCETON AND FRYER AROUND 1240 PM CDT...

Line of storms

A line of severe storms is moving across Western Kentucky. With potenial to produce damaging winds from 50 to 70MPH

This will be in

West Paducah- NOON
Mayfield- 12:15-12:30pm
Calvert City 12:45-1pm
Henderson 1:20-1:45pm
Hopkinsville- 1:30-1:50pm
Owensboro- around 2PM



SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGKYC007-039-075-083-105-145-MOC133-161700-/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0172.090616T1634Z-090616T1700Z/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KYISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY1134 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... SOUTHERN BALLARD COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WICKLIFFE... CARLISLE COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BARDWELL... FULTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...HICKMAN...FULTON... NORTHWESTERN GRAVES COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MAYFIELD... HICKMAN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CLINTON... SOUTHEASTERN MCCRACKEN COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...* UNTIL NOON CDT...* AT 1133 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BLANDVILLE TO BOUNDURANT..AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... LOWES AND CLINTON AROUND 1145 AM CDT... FANCY FARM AROUND 1150 AM CDT... FULTON AROUND 1155 AM CDT... SYMSONIA...MAYFIELD...WINGO AND WATER VALLEY AROUND NOON CDT...LAT...LON 3650 8941 3697 8908 3697 8849 3690 8849 3649 8875TIME...MOT...LOC 1634Z 279DEG 45KT 3695 8892 3649 8928$$TF

June 16th overview.

Extended damaging wind event possible click on the image for more details.

Update on June 15th

Updated map.

T-storm Watch is also in effect for SW KY till 6pm with large hail and damaging winds possible.

June 15th overview

Sometimes I like to be creative with the rundowns and will try to for flash flood, severe, winter, and high wind events, maybe even extreme heat ones to.

I use word clip art for the fun of this and try to do a different picture every rundown.

Click on image to make larger

Active days coming?

A complex pattern is set to descend on the western bluegrass overnight into Tomorrow Morning and though Tuesday Night. Lets get started with an possible MCS is expected form tonight in Nebraska/Kansas area some models have this dying out over SE MO and not even making it into Western Kentucky. While there some possibility that the MCS might actually increase in strength starting around 3-7am in South/Central MO before moving into West KY/S IL/ S IN and parts of North Tennessee as it scrapes on by tommorow morning into the midday hours.

Also a big uncertainity is whether another MCS if things go right maybe a derecho could form in Kansas from afternoon/evening thunderstorms are move across the western Kentucky area overnight into the morning hours of Tuesday. There may also be an outside chance of another MCS somewhere from Central IL/IN/OH to North Alabama Tuesday evening into the overnight.

The biggest question is will there be leftover cloudcover, how much instablity will be available, and the exact location of important boundaries that sometimes isn't know till about 2 to 6 hours before the event starts.

Lake day of 3 out of 5 for today and tommorow

Lake day of 3 out of 5 will be issued for all of West KY today and tomorrow.

More details later. Here is today's confidence map.

SUrvey coming for Daviess County.

There will be a survey on a possible tornado around the Owensboro area. I will post and give you updated on this survey.

Dangerous Tornado Eastern Daviess COunty

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
541 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

KYC059-112300-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0052.000000T0000Z-090611T2300Z/
DAVIESS KY-
541 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...

...VERY DANGEROUS STORM...WITH TORNADO...REPORTED EAST OF
OWENSBORO...

AT 536 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO
NORTHEAST OF OWENBSORO ON HIGHWAY 405. BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND 89 MPH
WINDS WERE ALSO REPORTED WITH THIS STORM ON THE EAST SIDE OF
OWENSBORO.

THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KNOTTSVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 8683 3771 8686 3769 8685 3769 8686
     3774 8708 3789 8699 3790 8697 3791 8693
     3788 8690 3784 8691 3784 8686 3777 8682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 286DEG 27KT 3775 8696

$$

New Tornado Warning

TORNADO WARNING
INC147-173-KYC059-101-112300-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0052.090611T2218Z-090611T2300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
518 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
 NORTHERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 EASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 SOUTHWESTERN SPENCER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
 SOUTHERN WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT.

* AT 514 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS
REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD   NEAR EUREKA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
 OWENSBORO...
 ROCKPORT...
 KNOTTSVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GREATER THAN ONE AND A HALF INCH SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3774 8683 3771 8686 3769 8685 3769 8686
     3778 8731 3795 8726 3793 8698 3790 8697
     3791 8693 3788 8690 3784 8691 3784 8686
     3777 8682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 282DEG 24KT 3786 8717

$$

SMITH

Dangerous Storm coming to Ownesboro

A potentially dangerous storm with damaging winds in excess of 75MPH and a possible tornado. This could effect Owensboro.

Take cover in the path of this storm.

Another extyension to the warning

TORNADO WARNING
INC147-163-173-KYC059-101-112215-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0051.090611T2151Z-090611T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
451 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
 NORTHWESTERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 SOUTHWESTERN SPENCER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
 EASTERN VANDERBURGH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
 SOUTHWESTERN WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT.

* AT 449 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 3 MILES
 SOUTHWEST OF NEWBURGH...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
 EUREKA...
 STANLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGER THAN ONE INCH SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3797 8710 3779 8715 3789 8754 3797 8752
TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 279DEG 20KT 3791 8744

$$

SMITH

Tornado Watch 381 for West KY

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 381
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM EDT THU JUN 11 2009

TORNADO WATCH 381 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC001-003-005-009-021-027-029-031-033-045-047-053-055-057-059-
061-085-087-091-093-099-101-107-111-123-137-141-143-149-155-163-
167-169-171-177-179-183-185-207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-
227-229-233-120500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0381.090611T2145Z-090612T0500Z/

KY
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR                ALLEN               ANDERSON
BARREN               BOYLE               BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT              BUTLER              CALDWELL
CASEY                CHRISTIAN           CLINTON
CRITTENDEN           CUMBERLAND          DAVIESS
EDMONSON             GRAYSON             GREEN
HANCOCK              HARDIN              HART
HENDERSON            HOPKINS             JEFFERSON
LARUE                LINCOLN             LOGAN
LYON                 MARION              MCLEAN
MEADE                MERCER              METCALFE
MONROE               MUHLENBERG          NELSON
OHIO                 OLDHAM              RUSSELL
SHELBY               SIMPSON             SPENCER
TAYLOR               TODD                TRIGG
TRIMBLE              UNION               WARREN
WASHINGTON           WEBSTER
$$


ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...

North Henderson KY tornado Warning

TORNADO WARNING
INC129-163-173-KYC101-112215-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0050.090611T2132Z-090611T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
432 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
 NORTHERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...
 EASTERN POSEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
 SOUTHERN VANDERBURGH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...
 SOUTHWESTERN WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT.

* AT 427 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTH OF
 KASSON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
 EVANSVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3801 8741 3785 8744 3791 8775 3803 8772
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 276DEG 17KT 3793 8764

$$

SMITH

Strong to severe storms possible today.

Severe to Strong storms possible today. Low confidence level means like more than likely they will be isolated in nature.

Confidence Level of 1 severe t-storms

West KY Tornado Watch

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0370.html

Tornado Watch till 4am for parts of West KY

June 10th overview

T-Storm Watch 359 for the purchase

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 359
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2009

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 359 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC007-039-075-083-105-145-100400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0359.090609T2040Z-090610T0400Z/

KY
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALLARD              CARLISLE            FULTON
GRAVES               HICKMAN             MCCRACKEN
$$

Watch for some storms later on

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1009.html

Mesoscale discussion includes far west KY. Currently the concern is over storms forming in SE MO. There might be enough instability for at least an isolated hail/wind threat to spread into West KY this evening.

Severe threats for West KY

Several potential severe threats for Western Kentucky exist. Some part of West KY is under a slight risk for the next 3 days.

Today
Severe Storms- Confidence Level of 1 (isolated damaging winds/large hail)
Wednesday- Confidence Level of 1 to 2 (some large hail, damaging winds, and maybe a tornado possible)
Thursday- Confidence Level of one mostly south of US 60 with a large hail and damaging wind threat possible.

June 8th overview

Weather Update

T-storm watch remains in effect till 8pm.

A line of thunderstorms could produce wind gusts up to 57mph, small hail up to penny size, and locally heavy rain along with locally heavy rain.

June 3rd overlook SPC slight risk

Clusters of Thunderstorms are expected today across West KY. Some storms could become severe. Esp. this afternoon and evening a SPC slight risk is in effect for this area. The main threats are damaging winds and large hail.

June 2nd Outlook

T-Storm Watch for Henderson and Union counties till 8pm

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2009

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 321 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC101-225-030100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0321.090602T1725Z-090603T0100Z/

KY
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HENDERSON            UNION
$$